Audusd Linear Regression Range Reversion MT4

2

The AUDUSD Linear Regression Range Reversion (H1) is an algorithmic trading strategy for MetaTrader, tested on AUDUSD using the H1 timeframe from January 2, 2015, to August 22, 2025. There is no need to set up parameters, all settings are already optimized and fine-tuned.


Recommended broker RoboForex because of EET timezone.


You can find the strategy source code for StrategyQuant at the link: https://quantmonitor.net/audusd-linear-regression-range-reversion-h1/



Key details are:


Main Chart: AUDUSD, H1


Trading Options

Weekend Trading: Not applicable

Daily Exit: Disabled

Friday Exit: Enabled at 19:00

Max Trades/Day: No limit (duplicate trades disabled)

Stop Loss (SL) and Profit Target (PT): SL = 1.9 × ATR(35), PT = 5.6%


Entry Signals

Long setup: Triggered when the Open two bars ago is below the Lower Bollinger Band (period 50, deviation 2.4, PRICE_CLOSE).

Short setup: Triggered when the Open two bars ago is above the Upper Bollinger Band (same settings).


Entry Rules

Instead of entering at market, the EA places pending STOP orders at dynamic levels derived from:

Linear Regression (period 17) as a directional/mean reference,

plus/minus a range component (SmallestRange/BiggestRange period 68) to adapt entry distance to recent market structure.


LONG: place a Buy Stop at LinReg[1] + SmallestRange[2]

SHORT: place a Sell Stop at LinReg[1] - BiggestRange[2]


Pending orders remain valid for 36 bars. Replacing existing pending orders is allowed.


Exit Rules

Time-based exit: close the position after 14 bars.

Friday risk control: forced exit on Friday at 19:00 to reduce weekend gap exposure.


Validation

After the initial build, the strategy went through multiple out-of-sample (OOS) validations and a dedicated TRUE OOS test to reduce overfitting risk and confirm that the underlying logic remains stable beyond the development sample.


Risk Disclaimer

Trading involves risk. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Always forward-test on a demo account first.


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jalawrence
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jalawrence 2026.05.15 17:50 
 

I'm adding a preliminary review and maybe I will comeback and update it. I've been testing it on my live account for just over a week. While a sl of $2 with a 0.01 lot size is okay, a tp of $40 is overambitious. Adding an update after testing for three weeks. I won't be continuing with it. I had one profitable trade and two losses within a three week period. As I said the tp level is too ambitious.

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