Jason Smith
Jason Smith
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1 year
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21
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18
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2
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The best algorithmic developers aren't just programmers - they're traders who code.

I develop and code custom trading strategies, automation tools and custom software across multiple platforms and languages, including TradingView (Pine Script), MetaTrader 5 (MQL5), Python and other modern development frameworks.
Looking for a quantitative developer role.
I can turn trading strategies into fully functional systems.
Extensive experience with Linux (Gentoo, Debian) and Unix systems (FreeBSD, OpenBSD)

I’m available for projects.
You can ask for me directly in the Freelance section.

How Observation Changes Outcomes :
In quantum mechanics, when light (or electrons) passes through two slits, it creates an interference pattern on the screen behind them.
Each particle seems to go through both slits at once, existing in a super position of all possible paths and the resulting pattern reflects the probabilities of where the particle could land.

If you try to measure which slit the particle goes through, the interference pattern disappears.
Observing the particle forces it into a definite state - it goes through one slit or the other.
The act of measurement collapses the wave function and fundamentally changes the outcome.

Before you check a trade, it’s in super position.
From a statistical perspective, your trade has a probability of winning or losing based on your system but you don’t yet know the outcome.
The trade is evolving naturally, just like a quantum system.

The moment you look at it, your observation collapses the “trade wave function” into a definite state - good or bad, winning or losing.
That observation triggers an emotional reaction — stress, fear, or overconfidence—which can cause you to break your plan, over-leverage, or revenge trade.
Just like in quantum mechanics, the act of measurement affects the system.

If you hadn’t looked, the system would have continued evolving naturally and you would have followed your plan without emotional interference.
This analogy mirrors the quantum concept perfectly - observation changes the outcome, not because the market changed, but because your interaction with it changed your behavior.

In other words, checking too often destroys the natural probabilistic outcome of your system, just like measuring the slit destroys the interference pattern.
The trade itself hasn’t changed; your observation changed how you interact with it, which changes the outcome.

Final Thoughts:
Traders, you know what I’m talking about — in a demo, you can leave your strategy untouched for days, weeks, even months.
The moment it goes live, you start checking too often, micromanaging your trades, and suddenly your observation is affecting the outcome
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Ride the tiger -

Compounding profits is one of the most powerful principles in trading.
Instead of chasing unrealistic gains or trying to win big on every trade, the focus is on taking consistent, controlled profits and allowing those gains to build over time.

Small returns, when managed with discipline and proper risk control, can grow into significant results through the power of compounding.
Successful trading is not just about individual wins — it is about consistency, patience, and letting a well-executed strategy work over the long term.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
One of a kind -
As far as I am aware, nothing like this has ever been made available before.
The Markov Matrix represents a rare example of an advanced Hidden Markov Model (HMM) system being made available to retail traders.
Technology of this level is typically found behind closed doors within quantitative trading firms and proprietary hedge fund environments.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.08.01
Markov comes with a powerful trading bot designed to execute trades based on the HMM signals it generates.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.08.01
Exclusive to MQL5
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.08.01
I’m not sure what the best way to handle the sale. I’ll probably need to use the freelance section to manage the Python side of the project while using the MQL5 Marketplace for the MT5 Expert Advisor
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Markov Matrix Trading System for Sale (Python Backend)

The complete trading system includes:
Markov Matrix Allocator (HMM)
Python Dashboard
Python Trading Bot
MetaTrader 5 (MT5) Expert Advisor

The goal is to bring this system to a wider audience while continuing to improve and expand its potential.
Its for sale or you can become a 50 % partner.

This is not hype or a marketing claim.
The Markov Matrix is an advanced system built on sophisticated mathematical modelling.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
I’m going to get around to buying a domain name and uploading this website.
The bots and indicators in the menu will link back here to the MQL5 Marketplace.

There is still a lot of work to do on it, but I have all the data — it’s just a matter of inputting everything.
I’ll finish this project at some point.
The Markov Matrix is very rare — exclusive and something truly special.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Thought of the day - Ability is nothing without opportunity. (Napoleon Bonaparte)

Napoleon did write and speak a lot about merit, ambition, luck, and why some people rise while others don’t.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Bull Bear Pip counter EA menu

Supports multiple timeframes for pip calculations with configurable lookback periods.

Example:
Set the lookback period to 2 days on the H4 timeframe.
The EA will analyse all H4 candles within those 2 days (12 candles in total), count the number of bullish and bearish candles, calculate the total pips for each direction, and identify the dominant market bias.
You can then trade in the direction with the stronger bullish or bearish momentum.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.31
It's that fresh—just look at the name it has :)
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.31
I have another fully featured bot (Alligator) that I was considering making the source code freely available through the CodeBase here on MQL5.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
This EA is a fully automated trading bot built from the Bull Bear pip counter indicator logic.
It takes the manual visual analysis and turns it into an auto-trading system that scans the market, detects when bulls or bears are dominating based on cumulative pip movement, and automatically executes buy or sell trades with built-in risk management.

Perfect for traders who want to capitalize on strong directional momentum without constantly monitoring the charts - the bot does the analysis, triggers signals, calculates ATR-based stop losses and take profits, and manages positions automatically, all while displaying real-time stats on your chart so you always know what it's doing.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.31
I have more products ready to upload, but I'm not quite ready to get around to it yet.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
This MT5 indicator is a weighted market strength meter that measures the true force behind price action by calculating total pip ranges of bullish vs bearish candles over a set period - giving you a clear "who's in control"
I also created an Expert Advisor (EA) based on this indicator.
Both the indicator and the EA are almost complete.
I just haven't finished the product pages and adverts yet, so they're still a work in progress.
The indicator will be available for free, while the Expert Advisor (EA) will be a paid product.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.31
I designed and developed this indicator from the ground up, and the EA version turned out really well.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Anchor bot was primed a few days ago on all Forex pairs (28) and was set at 1% of the daily percentage movement.

The D1 chart is only being shown for clarity.
The timeframe itself is irrelevant, as the position was calculated and placed based on percentage movement rather than a specific time period.

Amazing bot — a powerful EA --> This is in the same league as Pro 15.
Note:- Inverse mode enabled.

With the Markov Matrix, Pro 15, or this bot, there is a level of edge that is extremely rare.

The combination of these tools creates a serious opportunity for traders who are looking for something beyond the standard approach.
There is enough potential here to seriously consider stepping away from what you are currently doing and getting involved.

I’m still fine-tuning the Markov Matrix and have been working on it every single day for the past 6 months.

At this stage, all I can say is that the results and potential I’m seeing are extremely promising.
If it can continue to perform the way I have planned and intended, then this could be something very special.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.31
Anchor Bot has been uploaded and has successfully passed all verification checks. The only thing left to do is hit the publish button.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Release the Kraken - Why use the pro version - Lower fees (the biggest reason)

The basic app is convenient but convenience costs money.
Instant buying/selling generally includes a higher fee structure and spread.

Kraken Pro uses a maker/taker fee model, where fees are based on trading volume and are generally much lower for active users.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
I see a potential triple top forming on Bitcoin (D1) around the $67k level, and I expect price could eventually reach that area.
Price has just broken above $64k, so the question is whether it continues higher than 67k or pulls back from it.
Either way, the focus isn’t on predicting every move — it’s about trading the opportunities along the way and managing the moves until price reaches that target area.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
I’m not trading the GBP/CHF pair itself.
I’m converting my GBP into Swiss francs (CHF) and holding the currency directly.
When I see an edge or an opportunity, I then convert the CHF into another currency within a different currency group and continue moving between currencies.

The idea is not to trade individual pairs, but to rotate capital between different currencies by tracking relative strength and weakness across currency groups and moving into the currencies showing the best opportunities.
Conor Mcnamara
Conor Mcnamara 2026.07.30
in what way do you convert the currency? through online banking? why do use multiple terminals to monitor the currencies - doesn't it show everything in marketwatch?
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
To convert the currencies, you can use Kraken Pro. It offers more advanced trading tools, lower fees in many cases, and a better experience for placing and managing trades.
Kraken is primarily a cryptocurrency exchange, but it also lets you convert one currency to another within the platform. For example, you can convert GBP to USD or exchange one cryptocurrency for another
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
Regarding the 8 MT5 terminals, we use them to create a currency strength heat map. It's a bit too much to explain in a comment box, so give me a little time and I'll put together a proper post showing exactly how it works. I also have a unique way of using trade copiers that I haven't seen anyone else use. I'll try to cover that in a separate post as well.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
A rose that grew from a crack in the concrete.🌹
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
I came from the gutter, 100%. I’ve faced challenges, made mistakes, learned from them, and kept pushing forward. If I can improve, overcome obstacles, and build something better for myself, then you can too. No matter where you start, your future is shaped by the choices you make and the effort you put in every day.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Until the world blows, we will excel

No matter how long things go on or how difficult life becomes, we will keep pushing forward and continue to succeed.
Progress and self-improvement won’t stop under any circumstances.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
Life would get boring without constantly trying to improve, learn, and move forward. Progress and new challenges are what keep things interesting.
Conor Mcnamara
Conor Mcnamara 2026.07.30
The dream is to make your own trading systems your full time job
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
My goal is to understand the markets so well that I can trade them consistently and confidently. I want financial freedom—not just for myself, but so I can help others.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Thought of the day - Directional FX trading, Synthetic currency pair trading.

Trading the synthetic GBP/CHF pair.
Taking a directional position on the synthetic GBP/CHF market.
Trading a synthetically routed FX cross on Kraken.

Kraken provides a synthetic GBP/CHF market where the exchange rate is derived through underlying currency markets rather than a direct GBP/CHF order book.
By buying CHF with GBP and later selling it back, I am taking a directional spot FX position, essentially betting on CHF strengthening or weakening against GBP.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
Getting fed up with Bitcoin and spot trading, so I’m looking for something new to explore.
I’ll keep you updated on how it goes.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
I haven’t fully got my head around it yet or figured out exactly how to do it successfully, but I think I have an edge. I just need to work out the correct way to execute it. Fees and costs are going to be an important factor, and you need to use Kraken Pro for it.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.30
My plan is simple. I have a unique way of analysing currency groups rather than just looking at individual pairs. I can see all the pairs within a group and track how they move relative to each other over time, almost like a live heat map that updates on the fly.
This allows me to spot relationships, strength, weakness, and potential opportunities across the whole currency group rather than focusing on one pair at a time. Example: Start with £1,000 GBP and move through a currency cycle: GBP → CHF → JPY → GBP → USD The idea is to convert GBP into CHF, then CHF into Japanese yen, then convert the yen back into GBP, and finally move into USD. By tracking the relationships between these currencies, I can look for pricing differences or opportunities within the currency group.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Markov Matrix – Unrealized Profit
Algorithmic trading is automatically disabled at 21:30 GMT and re-enabled at 00:00 GMT.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
At the start of each trading week, the Markov bots remain inactive until 02:30 GMT. They then trade automatically without interruption until 21:30 GMT on Friday.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Universal Dollar Amount Stop Loss, Take Profit, Break-Even, and Trailing Lock

Key Features
USD-Based Take Profit -
Automatically closes trades when your target profit in USD is reached.

USD-Based Stop Loss -
Protect your account by closing losing trades at your predefined dollar loss.

Automatic Breakeven
Move the stop loss to breakeven (or lock an initial profit) once your trade reaches a specified profit level.

Smart Profit Lock Trailing -
Locks in profits automatically as your trade moves further into profit.

Example:

* Profit reaches $56 → Take Profit
* Loss reaches $28 → Close Trade
* Profit reaches $10 → Activate Break Even
* Profit reaches $2 → If profit increase by $2 from break even, Lock in 2 Dollar Profit. (This will pay for commission, swap)
* Profit reaches $25 → Lock $25 (25 + the 2 dollars. You would have 27 locked at $35. Then at $60, It would lock $54
* The locked profit increases in user-defined dollar increments.

This is a global utility—add it to any chart, and it will automatically manage all trades.
You can set the Magic Number to **0** to manage **all trades**, or specify a unique Magic Number to manage only the trades associated with that number.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
Professional Risk Management Tool Take full control of your trades with a powerful, fully customizable risk management tool designed to protect profits, limit losses, and automate trade management.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
I haven't published it yet (it will be priced at $99), but if any of you traders would like a free copy, let me know and I'll be happy to help you out.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
Give this post a like, then send me a DM to get your free download. I can temporarily switch it from $99 to free just for you, so you can download it at no cost.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Matrix movie - The world has been pulled over our eyes to blind us from the truth.

That line captures a feeling many people have: that the visible story of the world is not the whole story — that there are deeper forces shaping events that ordinary people do not always see.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Thought of the day - Future generations will struggle to understand it

We can predict the results.
Hugh number of innocent people killed, economic destruction, famine, mass migration and deepening authoritarianism at home.
That's what they're demanding because that's what they want.
What can we do to stop it. Nothing
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
If oil declines, AI/data centers consume huge amounts of electricity and water, and robots become widespread, what happens to society?
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
The people who understand those shifts early — energy, computing, automation, finance, demographics — are often the ones best positioned to adapt.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Markov Matrix - HMM (Hidden Markov Model)
Fresh models trained and deployed.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
The HMM regime labels are being ignored for alignment purposes. They're just informational. The actual trading decision uses the percentage change alignment.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.07.29
This system is for sale