Jason Smith
Jason Smith
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Innovating the Future of Trading with Precision and Strategy

Welcome to my MQL5 profile! I’m TraderSmith, a passionate and results-driven trader committed to developing Expert Advisors (EAs) that transform complex market data into simple, actionable trading decisions.

Through developing trading bots, I aim to eliminate the emotional biases that often lead to impulsive decisions.
Every strategy I design is rooted in robust market analysis, precise risk management, and an understanding of market dynamics, ensuring that each trade has a solid foundation.

I focus on creating tools that are adaptable to a wide range of trading styles and risk profiles.
From high-frequency scalping to trend-following strategies, my EAs are built to execute trades with speed, accuracy, and discipline—freeing you from emotional reactions and enabling you to trade with confidence.

Every Expert Advisor I develop is designed with a clear trading philosophy.
I avoid random, “black-box” approaches and instead focus on precise, rule-based systems that are backtested, validated, and optimized to adapt to current market conditions.
Whether you’re executing strategies with pending orders, focusing on ATR-based risk management, or leveraging complex thresholds, my EAs are built to excel in dynamic market environments.

Comprehensive Support and Education
Trading is a journey, and I’m here to support you along the way.
Not only do I provide customer support to help you with any setup or technical questions, but I also offer educational resources and guidance on how to fully leverage the bots in various market conditions.
My goal is to ensure you not only use the tools effectively but also understand the underlying strategies that drive them.

My Commitment to You
As an active trader, I am constantly analyzing market trends and refining my tools to keep up with the latest advancements in algorithmic trading.
My mission is to give you the edge you need—whether you’re managing a prop account, building a portfolio, or just getting started.
I’m committed to creating robust, high-performance solutions that allow you to trade smarter, not harder.

I believe in building long-term relationships with my clients, so your feedback and success are always important to me.
If you have any questions, need advice, or simply want to discuss strategies, don’t hesitate to reach out. I’m here to ensure your trading journey is as successful as possible.
Thank you for considering my tools for your trading endeavors. I look forward to helping you achieve your trading goals!

Through algorithmic trading, you will develop discipline and patience—core traits for consistent performance. These bots will enforce rule-based execution, removing emotional bias and promoting data-driven decision-making. Over time, you'll learn that edge comes from systematic testing, risk management, and long-term consistency. Each trade, whether a win or a loss, becomes part of a feedback loop that sharpens both your strategy and your mindset. Once you’ve set up the bot, let it work.
Avoid the urge to micromanage every trade. Trust in the strategy and parameters you’ve defined.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hidden Markov Bots Forex
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Treat your men as you would your own beloved sons, and they will follow you into the deepest valley.— Sun Tzu

Every step forward could trigger hidden dangers — you walk carefully because betrayal is everywhere.
Recognize manipulation and treachery before it reaches the battlefield — sometimes the best defense is awareness.

In fact I think we'd be fooling ourselves.
If we had an audience this large and didn't realize that there were some enemies present
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hmm - Hidden Markov Model (Python shell's)
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
The system handles multiple assets by running a separate Hidden Markov Model instance for each individual symbol.
You have full control to build your own custom watchlist, giving you the flexibility to track any combination of assets that matter to you.

Whether you want to monitor major indices like the S&P 500 and FTSE, energy commodities such as WTI and Brent crude, or precious metals including gold and silver, the system lets you add or remove symbols effortlessly.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Markov Bot default setting -

Markov.py --symbol AUDCAD --fixed-lots 0.2 --journal audcad.db --magic 1 --auto-reconnect --mt5-timeout 60 --mt5-retries 5 --mt5-path \"C:\Program Files\MetaTrader 8 IC Markets Global\terminal64.exe\" --max-positions 1 --quiet --signal-max-age 7000 --zero-on-hold

Full Trading System Available for Purchase -

The suite includes:
A Hidden Markov Model-based allocator that detects market regimes and manages portfolio allocation.
An interactive dashboard for monitoring system performance and signals.
A Python trading bot that executes trades based on HMM outputs.
An MT5 bot — currently undergoing a rewrite to improve compatibility and performance with the HMM
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 어제
Dm me for more information
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hidden Markov Model Python Bot (part 1)
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hidden Markov Model Python Bot (part 2)
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hidden Markov Model Python Bot (part 3)
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hidden Markov Model Dashboard
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hidden Markov Model
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Dear Jason Smith
I am a virtual MQL5.com assistant.
Please select your question category
You
Account
MQL5 Helper
What would you like to do?
You
Delete account
MQL5 Helper
Do you really want to delete eddymorrow account from MQL5.com?

This cannot be undone.
You
Delete
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MQL5 team has received your request. Your account will be deleted within 3 working days.
Do you have any other questions?
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No
MQL5 Helper
I hope I have been helpful.
See you!
Amr Abdelhay Yousef Kamel
Amr Abdelhay Yousef Kamel 수요일
why you delete?
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Thought of the day : Manipulation

Bitcoin already bullish, two large H4 candles.
The third H4 candle was also bullish but initially only around half the size of the previous candles.

Then news was released that Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) had purchased another substantial amount of Bitcoin, worth hundreds of millions of dollars.
Following that announcement, the third H4 candle expanded significantly and appeared much stronger.

However, what happened next was interesting.
Over the following x21 H1 candles, 17 closed bearish despite the bullish news and strong H4 structure.

This suggests the news may have been used as a liquidity event rather than a genuine catalyst for immediate upside.
The announcement attracted buyers, providing liquidity for larger market participants.
Instead of continuing higher, the market sold off across multiple hourly candles.

To me, this looked like a setup designed to draw in late buyers.
Amr Abdelhay Yousef Kamel
Amr Abdelhay Yousef Kamel 2026.06.24
man it is more simple.. despite the technical analysis , the bitcoin is going to visit 30k back before any major bull run again
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.06.24
$30,000? I don't see that happening. Bitcoin is now a multi-trillion-dollar asset, and it recently reached highs around $126,000. A drop to $30,000 would mean losing more than 75% of its value from the peak, which is a very different environment from previous cycles.
What do you base that on
Amr Abdelhay Yousef Kamel
Amr Abdelhay Yousef Kamel 수요일
it is based on previous cycles :). bitcoin always loss more than 70% before bull run again. just stay away from it brother. dont fight big guys, wait for the next bull run in 1 and half year or 2 years from now.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
An Allocator using a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a smart system that dynamically shifts your investments between different assets.
It detects unobservable "market regimes" (like high-volatility vs. calm growth) by looking at observable data like prices and volume.
It then adjusts your portfolio risk automatically.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.06.13
This system is for sale.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Markov Matrix Dashboard
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
I’m available for projects.You can ask for me directly in the Freelance section.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Looking to partner with entrepreneur(s). Multi-Model HMM Trading System with Canary Risk Control and Shadow Validation.
I have a fully functional HMM. Hidden Markov Model
The Production model is the main, fully trusted model used for live trading decisions and position sizing.
The Canary model acts as an early warning system; it's a newer model deployed alongside Production to detect market "drift" (statistical changes) by comparing its predictions to real market behavior, and if it detects a significant mismatch, it triggers a risk reduction (e.g., cutting position sizes by 50%) to protect the system.

The Shadow model is a candidate waiting in the wings; it runs completely in the background without affecting trades, collecting performance data (like rolling Sharpe ratio) for a validation period (e.g., 10 cycles).
Only after the Shadow proves it consistently outperforms the current Production model does it get promoted to Canary, and eventually to Production, ensuring the system always uses the most robust available model while continuously testing new ones.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
For months on my profile, I have been highlighting the importance of the potential double-bottom formation on the Bitcoin daily chart.
The pattern has finally played out, likely driven by a combination of profit-taking, institutional repositioning, and selling pressure from larger market participants.

While many traders viewed the decline with concern, I saw it as a significant accumulation opportunity.
Periods of forced selling and heightened fear often create some of the best risk-reward entries for long-term investors.

I used the pullback to increase my Bitcoin holdings at price approximately $61,500.
Whether the exact bottom is in place remains to be seen, but from a risk-versus-reward perspective, the area represented a compelling opportunity to acquire coins at a substantial discount to previous highs.

The key question now is whether this move marks a temporary correction within a broader bull market or the beginning of a more extended period of consolidation.
Either way, major selloffs have historically been where the strongest long-term positions are built.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.06.07
MicroStrategy (now called Strategy), they have accumulated one of the largest Bitcoin positions in the world.
As of early June 2026, Strategy holds approximately 843,706 BTC after a small sale of 32 BTC. Their total acquisition cost is about $63.9 billion, with an average purchase price around $75,700 per Bitcoin. I waited nearly six months for this low.
Now we’re positioned in Bitcoin at institutional-level pricing or better. $61.500
Discipline matters here—entries like this are built, not chased.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith
Hidden Markov Model Engine with Markov State Matrix Dashboard
The dashboard can be securely accessed from any web browser through encrypted endpoints when Ngrok tunneling is enabled, providing real-time remote monitoring from virtually anywhere in the world.
This feature would allow a subscription based sign ups.
The dashboard can display indices, stocks, oil metals, etc.

The HMM comes in 3 parts.
The Allocator - HMM (Hidden Markov Model)
The Markov Python Bot.
Master Dashboard.
Jason Smith
Jason Smith 2026.06.07
Looking to Partner with Like-Minded Developers, Traders, and Entrepreneurs.