Experiment - page 246

 
Maxim Kuznetsov #:

The market runs on money

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the essence of "expectations", "memories", "future", "forecasts" and other tears are alien to it...

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there are no shadows of the future in quotation history. It remains undefined, which is wonderful.

but there are enough variations of the past to justify any bad prediction or "NSE" theories.

And do you invest money in the market just for fun, or do you expect that after opening a position the price will move in the right direction? The counterparty to the transaction has its own expectations, which are therefore opposite.

The market is these entities, everything on it is done for the sake of future results, and we can only think about the future in terms of expectations and forecasts.

 
Renat Akhtyamov #:
Not really.
If I know that there are many sellers on the market NOW, I will buy NOW and be able to sell for more. This means that the price will go up.
Only in this example it is a prediction which will come true.
From the example, for all the prognosticators will be told, you can see that the past doesn't matter...
Only in this case, the trader will earn a reasonable profit, not as in the casino - for luck

And how much is "a lot"? 51% or 52% - is it a lot or can it become even more? But to answer this question you need some history.

How do you know for sure? Do you have an aggregator of all open and pending (including virtual, which people have in their heads) positions for all market participants throughout the world? You can't know it, you can only estimate it statistically to some approximation, and for statistics you need history.

 
Renat Akhtyamov #:
Not really.
If I know that there are many sellers on the market NOW, I will buy NOW and be able to sell for more. That means the price will go up.

It is not clear. If there are more sellers than buyers, the price goes down

 
Dmytryi Nazarchuk #:

It is not clear. If there are more sellers than buyers, the price goes down

No
 
Renat Akhtyamov #:
No

If all buyers have been closed at the current price and sellers are still there, they will sell everything cheaper.

 
Dmytryi Nazarchuk #:

If all buyers have been closed at the current price and sellers are still there, they will sell everything cheaper.

In this case, new sellers will sell at the average price. Given the spread, the price will go higher and higher
 
Renat Akhtyamov #:
In this case, the new sellers will sell at the average price. Given the spread, the price will be higher and higher.

At what "average price"? Forget the spread.

You have a market price of $100. At $100, all buyers are closed - there are no buyers at that price. There are still sellers at that price. You only have extra buyers at a price below $100.

 
Dmytryi Nazarchuk #:

At what "average price"? Forget the spread.

You have a market price of $100. At $100, all the buyers are closed - there are no buyers at that price. There are still sellers at that price. There are additional buyers only at the price below 100.

Buyers are closed ;). New ones will come in at ak, i.e. at a price above 100. Which will only make things worse for the sellers. The spread is and always will be, whether you want to forget it or not.
Therefore, limits do not matter at all. Only market ones are in operation and affect the price.
 
Renat Akhtyamov #:
Buyers are closed ;). New ones will come in at the asc, i.e. at a price above 100. Which will only make things worse for the sellers. The spread is and always will be, whether you want to forget it or not.
Therefore, limits don't matter at all. Only market ones are in operation and affect the price.
Buyers at the current price. It is written. In the cup on top of the sellers' bids, and on the bottom of the buyers' bids. If there are more sellers, the price will go down.
 
Dmytryi Nazarchuk #:
Buyers at the current price. It's written. In the cup, there are sellers' bids at the top and buyers' bids at the bottom. If there are more sellers, the price will go down.
No. You can never buy below the market and sell above the market, because it's the other way round. And what is called hoarding is the lot of any speculator.

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