Creating a positive IO - page 5

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jelizavettka:
And where do we enter on the trend?
Yes, where shall we enter? There are 2 variants - a breakout of the previous extremum along the trend and a pullback from the previous extremum along the trend.
Are there more variants? We do not work in the flat.
 
jelizavettka: It's all just forwards that need to be calculated.

Unfortunately, forwards are also a thing of the past. It's kind of the future for the TS, but for us it's still the past....))

And we trade on future data....))))

The most important question - do we need this positive MO in the past for profitable trading in the future?

 

I.e.

Creating a positive MoD is

1. Increasing the percentage of profitable trades, and

2. Increasing the average gain relative to the average loss.

And that's pretty much it.

Solve these two problems and all your questions will be answered.

 
DmitriyN:
Yes, where shall we enter? There are 2 options - on a break of the previous trend extremum and on a pullback from the previous trend extremum.
Any other options? In a flat - we do not work.

Wait a minute...

And how will we know that the trend has begun? That it is time to apply the miracle that we are about to compose for the trend?

 
Alligator:

I.e.

Creating a positive MoD is

1. Increasing the percentage of profitable trades, and

2. Increasing the average gain relative to the average loss.

And that's basically it.

Solve these two problems and all your questions will be answered.


These are all tasks you will solve on past data.

How does solving these problems in the past relate to profitable trading in the future?

 
prikolnyjkent:

Wait a minute...

How will we know that TREND has started? That it's time to apply the miracle we're about to compose for TREND...?

The trend has started if it is already there. If it is not there, then it has not started yet.
 
LeoV:

The most important question is whether this positive MO in the past is necessary for profitable trading in the future.

So MoM in the future by definition cannot be calculated.

But if the past MO has been good for a long time, the future is likely to be better than a system with bad MO in the past.

 
DmitriyN: The trend has begun, if it is already there.

When we make this decision, the trend may end ))))
 
LeoV:
This is what neural networks have brought you to :) You don't believe in the future anymore.
 
The trend has started, one of its phases has probably already ended, you have to assume from the first movement that it has started. But this way I think the advantage will be negligible.
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