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Coverage note: This report covers the 21 instruments for which four timeframes were available. The 29-instrument daily set is incomplete; CHF/JPY, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, CAD/JPY, AUD/NZD, XAU/USD, XAG/USD and BTC/USD are excluded. Data update times could not be fully aligned.
Overview
Euro weakness and improving AUD momentum are central. USD/JPY retains a buy bias across all timeframes. Gold and silver futures are strongly bearish across all timeframes. WTI has a strong daily buy opposed by short-term selling. The S&P 500’s higher timeframes remain firm, while short-term selling is visible in the Dow and European indices.
FX and crosses
EUR/USD (1.1192): Strong sell on all timeframes, with moving averages and indicators aligned. GBP/USD (1.3264): 5-minute neutral, 15-minute buy, hourly strong buy, daily neutral; daily averages bearish but indicators strongly bullish. USD/JPY (158.44): 5-minute buy and strong buy on all longer timeframes; dip-buy candidate, although short-term momentum has eased. USD/CHF (0.8335): neutral 5-minute, strong buy on 15-minute, hourly and daily; short-term signals conflict. AUD/USD (0.7011): strong buy on 5-minute, 15-minute and hourly, daily buy; improved from selling but daily averages are neutral. NZD/USD (0.5618): neutral 5- and 15-minute, hourly buy, daily strong sell; the daily downtrend persists.
EUR/JPY (177.33) is strongly bearish on 5-minute, 15-minute and daily charts, hourly neutral. GBP/JPY (210.15) is buy on 5-minute and daily, strong buy on 15-minute and hourly; daily averages neutral. EUR/GBP (0.8439) remains strongly bearish across all timeframes. EUR/CHF (0.9329): 5-minute sell, 15-minute buy, hourly strong buy, daily neutral; daily averages and indicators conflict.
Commodities
Gold futures (4,167.97) and silver futures (58.728) are strongly bearish on all timeframes. WTI crude (94.51): strong sell on 5- and 15-minute, hourly neutral, daily strong buy; wait for hourly buying to recover before considering a dip-buy. Natural gas (3.316): sell on 5-minute, strong sell on 15-minute, strong buy hourly and daily; short-term correction within a firmer higher-timeframe trend.
Equity indices
Dow (51,670.10): strong sell on 5-minute, sell on 15-minute, hourly neutral, daily buy. S&P 500 (7,805.64): 5-minute neutral, 15-minute strong buy, hourly buy, daily strong buy. Nasdaq 100 (30,569.48): strong buy 5-minute, buy 15-minute, strong sell hourly, buy daily. DAX (25,259.90): sell 5-minute, strong sell 15-minute and hourly, daily neutral. UK 100 (10,650.33): sell 5-minute, strong sell 15-minute, hourly neutral, daily strong buy. CAC 40 (7,827.63): strong buy 5-minute, neutral 15-minute, strong sell hourly and daily. Nikkei 225 (67,777.52): strong buy 5-minute, neutral 15-minute, strong sell hourly, daily buy.
Trade focus
Aligned dip-buy candidates: USD/JPY, AUD/USD and GBP/JPY. Natural gas and the S&P 500 need short-term improvement after pullbacks. Aligned rebound-sell candidates: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, gold and silver; DAX is a short-term sell candidate, and CAC 40 requires a failed rebound. Wait for better alignment in GBP/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/CHF, crude, Nasdaq 100 and Nikkei 225. Watch whether euro selling and AUD improvement persist and whether crude regains hourly support. Correlated currency and metals positions can concentrate risk.
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