Market Regime Radar

Market Regime Radar - know what kind of market you are in before you act

Most trading methods only work in one type of market. A trend-following approach gets chopped to pieces inside a range. A mean-reversion approach gets run over during a strong trend. A breakout setup looks great until volatility collapses. The setup is rarely the problem. Using it in the wrong context is.

Market Regime Radar is a context filter. It tells you what kind of market you are in right now - and how confident it is about that - so you (and your robots) can choose the right approach or simply stand aside. It does not tell you to buy or sell. It tells you whether your usual playbook even fits the current conditions.

The four regimes

• Trend Up - directional, persistent upward movement. Trend and momentum tools have room to work.
• Trend Down - directional, persistent downward movement.
• Range - sideways, mean-reverting conditions where chasing breakouts tends to get whipsawed.
• Volatile - expanded, erratic movement with no clean direction; size and stop assumptions from calmer periods no longer hold.

Every reading comes with a confidence percentage so you can tell a clear regime from a borderline one.

How it decides (no black box, no repaint)

The classification is fully explainable and computed only on closed bars, so a regime label does not change after the fact - it does not repaint.

1. A trend score is built from three independent measures: 0.40 weight on ADX (directional strength), 0.35 weight on the Kaufman Efficiency Ratio (how much of the movement is actual progress versus noise), and 0.25 weight on EMA 21 / 50 / 200 alignment (structure).
2. If the trend score meets the cutoff, the market is classified as Trend, with direction taken from the EMA stack (Up or Down).
3. Otherwise, if current ATR relative to its own average exceeds the volatility threshold, it is classified as Volatile.
4. If neither condition is met, it is classified as Range.

Confidence reflects how strongly the individual measures agree. When ADX and the Efficiency Ratio disagree, the reading is flagged as mixed, so you are never handed false certainty.

On-chart panel

A compact panel sits on your chart and shows, at a glance:

• The current regime and its confidence percentage.
• All four underlying measures, color-coded so you can see exactly why the verdict was reached.
• An optional regime-colored background tint on the chart for instant visual context.
• A higher-timeframe confluence row, so you can see whether the bigger picture agrees with your trading timeframe.
• An alert on regime change (popup and push), so you know the moment conditions shift.

Multi-pair, multi-timeframe scanner matrix

Beyond the single chart, a scanner matrix surveys many symbols across many timeframes at once. Each cell is color-coded for its regime (UP, DN, RG, VL). An Align column summarizes timeframe confluence per symbol, so you can immediately spot which markets are cleanly trending, cleanly ranging, or in disagreement. Click a symbol to load it on the current chart. The row for your current symbol is highlighted so you never lose your place.

The key differentiator: it talks to your robots

This is what sets Market Regime Radar apart from a chart-only tool. It publishes the current regime so your own Expert Advisors can read it and adapt automatically:

• Via GlobalVariables: RR_<symbol>_<timeframe>_regime and RR_<symbol>_<timeframe>_conf (the included demo EA builds the exact name for you).
• Via iCustom buffers: buffer 0 is the regime code, buffer 1 is the confidence.

That means any robot you run can check the regime before it acts and auto-pause in unfavorable conditions instead of trading blindly into a market that does not suit its logic. The product ships with RegimeFilterDemo.mq5, a copy-paste gate that simply displays ALLOWED or PAUSED based on the current regime. It places no trades - it shows you exactly how to wire the filter into your own EA - and is accompanied by integration documentation.

Privacy and safety

Market Regime Radar is a fully offline indicator. It makes no external connection, no account data ever leaves your MT5 terminal, and it performs no trading actions of any kind. It reads price, classifies the regime, and shows you the result. Nothing more.

Who it is for

• Manual traders who want to confirm that the current market actually suits their strategy before they take a position.
• EA users who want their robots to stand aside in the wrong conditions instead of forcing trades.
• Prop-firm traders who need to avoid low-quality conditions and protect their evaluation or funded account from regime-driven drawdown.

Note

This is a utility and a context filter, not a buy or sell signal, and it makes no claim about results. It does not predict the future or place orders. As with any tool, test it on a demo account first and confirm it fits the way you trade before relying on it.