From theory to practice - page 1646

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Martin Cheguevara:
So a black swan and what? Once in a century it happened and now that's it, the whole world is upside down?
Nothing has changed except your world view. If the market had changed you could see that statistically. And it hasn't.

Well, by your own logic.

the returns are up to 100% a year.

You can make money if the swan goes down once in two years?

also consider the premise of this swan

at that time everybody was buying it and it kept falling and falling and then bam, black swan.

This is exactly the kind of time no TS works.

because it's not 95, it's 100%.

 
Renat Akhtyamov:

Well, by your own logic.

the return on investment is up to 100% a year.

You'll earn if the swan bangs once every 2 years?

also consider the premise of this swan.

at the time, everyone was relentlessly buying.

Of course I will, I'm telling you it doesn't matter if the volatility is 100,000 pips.
From 1000 pips oy volatility I will earn 300 pips from 100000 pips volatility 30000 pips. I don't see anything wrong with that.
The statistics doesn't change and that's the most important thing.

Everything works fine if you follow the right path.

 
Martin Cheguevara:
Of course I will, I'm telling you it may be 100,000 points of volatility, what difference does it make?
From 1000 pips oy volatility I will earn 300 pips from 100000 pips volatility 30000 pips. I don't see anything wrong with that.
The statistics don't change, which is the most important thing.

You think they'll give you one? It could go even higher than your TS can handle.

And it's more about the crowd

So if the crowd buys, the quote will fall.

 
Renat Akhtyamov:

Do you think they'll give you one? He could fly away more than your TS can handle.

And we're talking more of a crowd.

So if the crowd buys, the quote goes down.

My TS has no concept of "will hold" or "won't hold". I am not resisting the market, I am following it, following its laws of motion according to the probability distribution.
 
Renat Akhtyamov:

You think they'll give you one? It could go even higher than your TS can handle.

and it's more about the crowd.

So if the crowd buys, the quote goes down.

Rena... you know what separates you from me?
You're talking about things you can't and never will know. I'm just talking about facts. About what's possible to know and calculate about any market whether it's forex or securities.

So I don't need to make things up.
 
Martin Cheguevara:
Rena...you know what separates you from me?
You're talking about things you can't and never will know. I'm only talking about facts. About what it is possible to know and calculate about any market, be it forex or securities.

So I don't need to make things up.

No, the difference between us is that you're a theorist and I'm a practitioner.

And that's how I did it today.

Average wins: 15 consecutive losses: 0


And I'm pretty sure you're 50/50.

 
Renat Akhtyamov:

No, the difference between us is that you're a theorist and I'm a practitioner.

and that's what I've got today.

Average wins: 15 consecutive losses: 0

So if you open a grid and then close it, it will count all your trades as you close them in a row.

 
Martin Cheguevara:
The market doesn't care if it's a crowd or a crowd. It makes no difference at all.
There is only one way of combining 24 options ( sell 50/500,500/50; buy 50/500,500/50) in which you can make a profit.
I do not care if someone reads me or not. I would like to know who would be interested in it.

If you add a spread, it will be even prettier.

 
multiplicator:

so if you open a grid and then close it, it will count all the trades you have closed in a row.

not

That's a different strategy.

did you make any limits?
 
Renat Akhtyamov:

No, the difference between us is that you're a theorist and I'm a practitioner.

and that's what I've got today.

Average wins: 15 consecutive losses: 0


And more than sure you have 50/50.

You're making it up again.

I got one trade in the + today.
But 100% of profitable trades all the time.

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