ICT Silver Bullet Honest Stats MT4

Trade the ICT Silver Bullet hours without watching the clock. This indicator draws the three windows, waits for the liquidity sweep and the first fair value gap after it, alerts you, and checks on your own chart what price did next.

ICT Silver Bullet Honest Stats marks the London (03:00-04:00), New York AM (10:00-11:00) and New York PM (14:00-15:00) Silver Bullet windows in New York time, draws the liquidity of the two hours before each window, shows when the window sweeps it, and marks the first fair value gap that forms in the opposite direction - with an arrow, the gap zone and the target on the other side. Free, part of the Honest Stats series.

MT5 version | ICT Pro All in One | Killzones (free) | Premium / Discount (free) | Order Blocks (free) | Market Structure (free) | FVG (free) | Liquidity Levels (free) | SMT (free)

NEW: every ICT idea in one indicator -> ICT Pro All in One Honest Stats (9-factor confluence score, alerts and a multi-symbol scanner)

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What it draws

• The three Silver Bullet windows as boxes (New York time, daylight saving handled automatically), last 20 days by default
• Liquidity: the high and the low of the 120 minutes before each window, as dotted lines
• The sweep: a candle inside the window trades beyond that high or low
• The signal: the first fair value gap (a gap between candle 1 and candle 3) inside the window after the sweep - bullish after the low was swept, bearish after the high was swept, one signal per window
• The gap zone, an arrow on the signal candle and the target: the liquidity on the other side of the window
• Gaps smaller than 0.1 x ATR(14) are skipped (ATR = the average size of one candle)

The panel

• The next window and a countdown: "Next: New York AM 10:00 NY, in 1 h 25 min"
• Inside a window: time left, the liquidity levels, and the state: "Waiting for a liquidity sweep", "Low swept - waiting for a bullish gap", "Signal: bullish gap ..."
• The last signal: bullish or bearish, which window, how many candles ago
• The broker time zone it detected

Alerts

• A Silver Bullet signal: window, direction, gap prices and target (on by default)
• A window opens (off by default)
• Popup, sound, push to the MetaTrader app on your phone, e-mail

The honest stats table

The table uses every closed candle loaded on the chart. For every signal, bullish and bearish:

• Silver Bullet signals found, and how many per window
• Then price went 1.0 ATR its way first: from the signal candle's close, did price move 1 x ATR(14) in the signal's direction before it moved 1 x ATR against it (within 50 candles)?
• From a random candle, same direction: the same question from three random earlier candles per signal - the base rate of the market
• Difference: signal minus random, in percentage points

When the difference is bigger than luck alone could produce (95% range), it turns green and a green line under the table says so.

Why the random candles matter

Markets drift, so "price went up after a bullish signal" can simply be the trend of that period. Random candles in the same direction show that base rate, so you see what the Silver Bullet adds on top of it.

Test it on your own chart

Every market, timeframe and setting behaves differently. Switch windows on or off, change the liquidity period, the gap size or the timeframe, and the table shows at once how the Silver Bullet does on your symbol - real numbers instead of guesswork.

Want every ICT idea in one indicator?

ICT Pro All in One Honest Stats adds market structure, order blocks, fair value gaps, premium / discount and OTE, liquidity sweeps, killzones and SMT into one confluence score, with alerts and a multi-symbol scanner.

How to use it

• For M1 to M15 charts (the windows are one hour long); M1 and M5 are the usual Silver Bullet timeframes
• Any symbol: indices, gold, forex, crypto
• Time zone: Auto reads the broker's clock (most brokers run New York + 7 hours); set it by hand if your broker differs
• MetaTrader 4 loads only part of the history at first (often around 2,000 candles). Scroll the chart back (Home key) and raise Tools > Options > Charts > Max bars in chart for a bigger test
• Hover over a box, a line or an arrow to see its prices

Limitations

• The liquidity is fixed when the window opens and the gap is known only when its third candle closes. Signals and the table use only what was known at each candle's close - they are never repainted
• The test uses candle highs and lows. Inside one candle the order of moves is unknown, so a candle that reaches both distances is left out
• Past behaviour does not guarantee future behaviour. This is a drawing and measuring tool, not a trading signal

Inputs

• Windows: London 03:00-04:00, New York AM 10:00-11:00, New York PM 14:00-15:00 (New York time), each on/off with its own colour
• Liquidity: the 120 minutes before the window; signal only after a sweep (on); smallest gap 0.1 ATR(14)
• Drawing: last 20 days, liquidity lines, gap zone and target, colours
• Broker time zone: Auto or manual offset
• Alerts: signal, window opens; popup, sound, push, e-mail
• Honest test: distance 1.0 ATR(14), candles to decide 50
• Panel and table on/off, corners, font size

Support: if something doesn't work as expected, send me a private message first. I answer every message and fix problems quickly.