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Neural Networks Explained in Plain English with Ron Leplae
The goal of the webinar is to demystify neural networks, explain neural
networks in plain English, and share easy to understand code examples
how NN can be used.
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Something Interesting in Financial Video October 2013
Sergey Golubev, 2013.09.30 11:19
Interview With Richard Duncan, Author of The New Depression
Richard Duncan's web site: http://www.richardduncaneconomics.com
The New Depression: The Breakdown of the Pap
the United States stopped backing dollars with gold in 1968, the nature
of money changed. All previous constraints on money and credit creation
were removed and a new economic paradigm took shape. Economic growth
ceased to be driven by capital accumulation and investment as it had
been since before the Industrial Revolution. Instead, credit creation
and consumption began to drive the economic dynamic. In The New Depression: The Breakdown of the Paper Money Economy,
Richard Duncan introduces an analytical framework, The Quantity Theory
of Credit, that explains all aspects of the calamity now unfolding: its
causes, the rationale for the government's policy response to the
crisis, what is likely to happen next, and how those developments will
affect asset prices and investment portfolios.
In his previous book, The Dollar Crisis
(2003), Duncan explained why a severe global economic crisis was
inevitable given the flaws in the post-Bretton Woods international
monetary system, and now he's back to explain what's next. The economic
system that emerged following the abandonment of sound money requires
credit growth to survive. Yet the private sector can bear no additional
debt and the government's creditworthiness is deteriorating rapidly.
Should total credit begin to contract significantly, this New Depression
will become a New Great Depression, with disastrous economic and
geopolitical consequences. That outcome is not inevitable, and this book
describes what must be done to prevent it.
Alarming but essential reading, The New Depression
explains why the global economy is teetering on the brink of falling
into a deep and protracted depression, and how we can restore stability.
Here's a summary of the points discussed:
1. The book starts with a discussion of fractional reserve banking,
observing the connection between debt and money and how debt and
inflation go together.
2. Richard views the current monetary system as flawed and in trouble,
but does not view a return to a gold standard of any kind as possible.
Rather, he thinks the best hope is for governments to attempt to borrow
at very low rates and invest not in consumption but in growth -- invest
in projects that will offer a high economic return. He cites investing
in a new energy grid as an example.
3. Richard does not view China dumping US Treasuries, or the world
decoupling from the dollar as a viable threat. This seems to be part of
why he believes there are a few more years left where low interest rates
4. In terms of investments, Richard favors real estate that can be
turned into rental income. He finds public stocks to be a bit too close
to the derivatives crisis, and does not think gold is immune to a severe
decline if growth cannot be obtained.
Something Interesting in Financial Video May 2014
Sergey Golubev, 2014.05.23 18:35
The Crab Pattern - Harmonic Ratios and Explanation :
The Deep Crab Pattern - Harmonic Ratios and Explanation :
The charts were made by using free HWAFM tool for Metatrader 5
Stock Market Review Ichimoku, Candlestick and Fibonacci analysis for September 3rd 2015
Sergey Golubev, 2014.05.22 10:30
Strategy Video: Strategy For Low and Extreme Volatility Conditions
Volatility readings slid to extreme lows this past session - implying a
correction in activity levels and markets may soon be at hand. From the
equities-based VIX, a slide between 12 percent draws us to levels only
seen two other times in the past seven years. Readings in FX and other
financial assets have sported similar elevations. Our natural
inclination is to project a reversal to match the magnitude of our
current extremes. However, that eventual systemic change may take time
and numerous false starts. There are more immediate opportunities for
oscillations in activity levels. We look at this situation from a short,
medium and long-term perspective while also highlighting the different
trade options through the scale in today's Strategy Video.
VIX & VXN Volatility Indexes
The $VIX is the 30-day annualized implied volatility of the S&P 500 Index
Options. In addition, the $VXN is the 30-day annualized implied volatility of
the Nasdaq 100 Index Options. When markets crash or move downward quickly, put
options become popular. Traders bid up the price of these put options, which
manifests itself as an increase in the implied volatility level; thus an
increase in the $VIX and $VXN index. The basic relationship between stock and
index prices and the $VIX and $VXN is presented next:
This basic relationship is summed up by a famous traders' saying: "When the
VIX is high it's time to buy; when the VIX is low it's time to go."
The following chart of the S&P 500 exchange traded fund (SPY), top half
of chart, shows the inverse relationship between it and the $VIX Volatility
Index, bottom half of chart:
Notice how an uptrend in the price of the S&P 500 is accompanied by a
downtrend in the level of the $VIX.
The next chart of the Nasdaq 100 exchange traded fund (QQQQ) shows how great
buying opportunities are when the $VXN spikes higher:
When the $VIX or $VXN spike (usually they both spike during the same periods)
buy. If history repeats itself, which it has done often, buying $VIX and $VXN
spikes has proven quite profitable. Nevertheless, the Mutual Fund mantra
applies: "Past performance is not indicative of future performance".
Sergey Golubev, 2014.05.21 10:08
How To Use Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci Retracements can help traders find significant price points
and predict levels of support and resistance. It is based on the
Fibonacci sequence of numbers, identified by Leonardo Fibonacci in the
thirteenth century. The relationships between those numbers are shown
as ratios, and those ratios are used to identify possible reversal
Something Interesting in Financial Video August 2013
Sergey Golubev, 2013.08.24 08:28
Something Interesting in Forex Video May 2013
Sergey Golubev, 2013.05.02 15:03
This is very short video of 3 minutes 17 seconds: Why Watching the News Can Hurt Your Trading by Alexander Elder - trader and author, explains why he feels business TV can be detrimental to one's trading and believes standing aside can sometimes be the best approach.
Who is Alexander Elder? read this article Interview with Dr. Alexander Elder: "I want to be a psychiatrist in the market"
Something Interesting in Financial Video September 2014
Sergey Golubev, 2014.09.17 17:02
John Ehlers - Anticipating Turning Points - webinar