Peak ruble in 2018! Yes ? or..... - page 3

 
On a more serious note, we have a stronger rouble ahead of us, because the law of the genre says that oil has to hit $75. But when you hear comments from officials of various ranks and forecasts from various kinds of "experts" that oil will reach 100 and above and many will start to believe it. Then that's it - that's the signal for a long global fall in oil and the signal to get out of the rouble as soon as possible.
 
What difference does it make about the national debt, etc.? The rouble is considered one of the most undervalued currencies in the world. Even Warren Buffett has it in his pocket. So don't sweat it, we had inflation a few years ahead in 2014) plus for government policy this rouble price is very profitable and they don't want more/less)
 

The rouble is clearly undervalued and should strengthen.

There is an interesting BigMac index.

Table:

Индекс Биг-Мака: доллар в Украине должен стоить 8,9 гривны
Индекс Биг-Мака: доллар в Украине должен стоить 8,9 гривны
  • 2018.01.24
  • ru.tsn.ua
Украинскую гривну признали самой недооцененной валютой мира. Это следует из валютного индекса Биг-Мака, который последние 32 года составляетThe Economist. В основу рейтинга положили теорию паритета покупательной способности. Индекс используют как шуточный показатель стоимости валюты. В январе 2018 года средняя стоимость Биг-Мака в американском...
 
Vitaly Muzichenko:

The rouble is clearly undervalued and should strengthen.

There is an interesting BigMac index.

Table:

In today's world, it is not food that should be compared, but computers/iPhones/PO/Internet.

According to the "iPhone index", the ruble (like the hryvnia), is very overvalued.

 
Taras Slobodyanik:

In today's world, it is not food that should be compared, but computers/iPhones/PO/Internet.

According to the "iPhone index", the ruble (like the hryvnia) is very overvalued.

Food comes first in a person's life. iPhones and pads are in the last place, you will not be satisfied with them, and they will never replace a piece of bread.

So we will compare by the food basket.

 
Vitaly Muzichenko:

Nutrition comes first in a person's life. iPhones and pads come last, you can't get enough of them, and they will never replace a piece of bread.

So we will compare on the basis of the food basket.

Of course, there is a 'Pyramid of Needs', if a person's physiological needs are not met, he is not interested in the rest.

But there are already many countries that have moved up to the higher levels.
And they are not interested in the "cost of a Big Mac," they have a demand for aesthetic needs and self-realization.
Food comes last.

...And it is these countries that print and distribute money (because they are more developed)
 
Sergey Vradiy:
The ruble is basically a dead cert. I think that should be clear to everyone. Tiny Singapore has 30% more exports than the whole of Russia, including oil and gas. Do you need any more explanations? We have nothing to export, so the ruble hangs in the air. Demura predicts 125 rubles per dollar as early as this year. Has he ever been wrong, guys? If anyone is really a genius, it's Demura )))

Said bitcoin would max out at 4 and collapse.

 
Arkadii Zagorulko:

Said bitcoin would max out at 4 and collapse.

Yes said, 500 years said there are only white swans...

 

This is how we see the movement in the next hours

Screenshots of the MetaTrader trading platform

Si-3.18, M15, 2018.03.03

JSC ''Otkritie Broker'', MetaTrader 5, Real

Guessing on the indicators.

Si-3.18, M15, 2018.03.03, Otkritie Broker, MetaTrader 5, Real


 
It seems to me that there will be a ruble collapse after the election. The West will start shouting about pattassing the results and stuff. Not a good sign for investors.
Reason: