From theory to practice - page 1021

 
Alexander_K:

... That's a shame.

I'm sitting here studying the key I gave you. I just remembered it yesterday because I needed it myself. Seems to be working out pretty well. It's working.))

The right side of the graph as if it does not exist yet. The chart still has the same counts in 20s.

SZU Caution. Consult a specialist before you use it. There may be side effects during use.

 
Yuriy Asaulenko:

I'm sitting here studying the key that was given to you. I just remembered it yesterday because I needed it myself. Seems to be working out all right. It's working.))

The right side of the graph as if it does not exist yet. The chart still has the same counts in 20s.

ZS Be careful. Consult a specialist before you use it. You may experience some side effects while using it.

It's not a wrench at all.

I'm not arguing, the measure of central tendency of the process is an extremely important thing. And if polynomial regression gives at least 5% improvement over SMA it's a good thing.

But, how shall I put it... The central tendency and process variance are workhorses that may and should yield at most +10-15% profit per month.

We are talking about the key to the Grail!

This role, IMHO, can be played either by calculation of price movement angles relative to a reference point (see Brownian motion theory) used by Gann, or by instantaneous process rates, or something else...

In short, the key is just a physical quantity having some magic and philosophical meaning and nothing else.

 
There is no key formula and there can't be one on any corner. You have to understand!
 
Alexander_K:

It's not a key at all.

Alexander_K:
The key does not and cannot be on any corner. You have to understand!

The key you are talking about does not exist at all. Accidental processes cannot be reliably predicted in the sense you are looking for.

Good hunting.)

 
Yuriy Asaulenko:

Accidental processes cannot be reliably predicted in the sense you are looking for.

But they do have regularities - proven by Einstein and Smoluchowski.

However, no one needs +10-15% - you won't get any subscribers, and you'll never earn more than a regular salary... Everything loses its meaning...

Therefore, there is an opinion that the market is not exactly a random process. Definitely, there are transitions to non-random movements (trends) - well, like transition of atom from one energy state to another: not just anywhere, but to a certain level. And so to get a definition of the beginning of this movement is a supertask.

 
Alexander_K:

However, no one needs +10-15% - you won't get any subscribers, nor will you ever earn above your normal salary... Everything loses its meaning...

Do you already have them?)

 
secret:

Do you have them yet?)

No. Yeah, I've given up on everything. I'm just hanging out here.

Even if I had this +10% - how much I need to keep on deposit, to cover my monthly salary? I'm not bragging - in Moscow my salary (~$2,000) is considered average.

It was the Grail I was interested in, and the hustle and bustle around 0% that bored me, alas...

 
secret:


Uncle, you should at least look in your personal profile once in a while.

You don't answer any questions, you don't give away any secrets, what are you doing here then? You're just messing with people's heads.

 
Alexander_K:

But, they do have a pattern - proven by Einstein and Smoluchowski.

However, no one needs +10-15% - you won't get any subscribers, nor will you ever earn above your normal salary... Everything loses its meaning...

Therefore, there is an opinion that the market is not exactly a random process. Definitely, there are transitions to non-random movements (trends) - well, like transition of atom from one energy state to another: not just anywhere, but to a certain level. And to get a definition of the beginning of this movement is a supertask.

Let us not speak in vain about Einsteins without concrete facts. We have already heard about Kolmogorov).

The trend is elementary defined with our eyes or with any other tool, when the process has started. And so is the flat. And we do not need any key for this. It is not determined in advance no matter what fairy tales they tell us.

And randomness-unrandomness is a relative concept.) Randomness is only and no more than a measure of ignorance. And you can sing about non-randomness of the market, it will not become less random. In fact, any process in history is no longer random.)

 
Alexander_K:

here was a trend movement today after the news. study it. what was the speed there.


Reason: