BTC Pullback H4
- Uzmanlar
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Chonlasit Thupchoti
I design and stress-test systematic trading systems for MetaTrader 5, focusing on gold and Bitcoin. - Sürüm: 1.0
- Etkinleştirmeler: 10
BTC Pullback trades Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on H4. It buys dips and sells rallies inside the trend, during New York hours.
LAUNCH PRICE: 199 USD for the first 10 copies, then 299 USD.
HOW IT TRADES
• Signals on closed bars only, one position at a time, a stop loss on every trade.
• No martingale, no grid, no averaging down. It only touches its own orders (magic number).
• Risk per trade from your inputs (tested: 1 % of equity). The lot is calculated from the stop distance.
• If the smallest lot would risk more than your setting, the trade is skipped.
HYPOTHETICAL BACKTEST (Oct 2023 to Oct 2026, 1 % risk per trade)
• 160 trades, win rate 41 %, max drawdown 5.5 %, longest losing streak 9.
• About 4.4 trades a month. Most trades lose a little; a few win a lot.
HOW IT WAS TESTED
Double spread plus commission, random execution delays, settings moved 20 % up and down, the 2020 crash, 2,000 Monte Carlo reshuffles, walk-forward re-optimisation, 15-split purged cross-validation and a market-regime breakdown.
Result: it passed every check.
SETUP
1. Attach it to a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart on H4.
2. Keep the default inputs (they are the tested settings), allow Algo Trading.
3. Account: $5,000 or more, or a cent account (below that the smallest lot, 0.01, risks more than 1 % on a Bitcoin stop).
4. Run it on a demo account for at least 2 weeks first.
RISK WARNING
Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. All results are hypothetical: simulated on historical data, not from a live account. Simulated results do not reflect real slippage, liquidity or emotions, and past or simulated results do not predict future results. No profit is promised.
