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Cointegration Pair Trading Indicator

Indicador de cointegração entre ativos

Indicador para estratégias de arbitragem estatística e quantitativa. Podendo realizar Long&Short ou Long&Long/Short&Short entre dois ativos distintos.

O indicador realiza uma série de testes estatísticos entre os ativos e mostra se o par é cointegrado ou não.


Estratégias sugeridas de uso

(a) Verificar se o par está cointegrado pelo teste ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test). 0% o par não está cointegrado; 90% 95% 97.5% e 99% o par está cointegrado (o maior é melhor).
(b) Verificar se o beta é positivo ou negativo e a correlação do par.
Caso o beta for positivo verificar se a correlação é positiva (Teste de Fisher sempre maior que zero, Min > 0%).
Caso o beta for negativo verificar se a correlação é negativa (Teste de Fisher sempre menor que zero,Max < 0%).


Para beta positivo e Fisher maior que zero (Long&Short):
Quando a linha do resíduo (azul) chegar na banda superior vender o ativo principal e comprar o ativo secundário (esperando uma reversão a normalidade).
Quando a linha do resíduo (azul) chegar na banda inferior comprar o ativo principal e vender o ativo secundário (esperandouma reversão a normalidade).

Para beta negativo e Fisher menor que zero (Long&Long ou Short&Short):
Quando a linha do resíduo (azul) chegar na banda superior vender o ativo principal e vender o ativo secundário (esperando uma reversão a normalidade).
Quando a linha do resíduo (azul) chegar na banda inferior comprar o ativo principal e comprar o ativo secundário (esperandouma reversão a normalidade).

Proporção de lotes

A proporção de lotes é dada pelo beta. Para saber os lotes do ativo secundário multiplique o lote do ativo primário pelo beta.
Ex: Para beta 0.5 e lote do ativo primário = 10 o lote do ativo secundário será 5.


Lista de parâmetros

Second symbol: Ativo secundário
Timeframe: Qual timeframe usar nos cálculos
Candles to calculate: Quantos candles para efetuar os testes (ADF, Fisher)
Regression: Tipo de regressão linear, simples ou múltipla (com tendência)***
Beta candles: Quantos candles calcular para a variação de beta/beta rotation (linha amarela)
Deviation first line: Quantos desvios padrão plotar a primeira linha
Deviation second line: Quantos desvios padrão plotar a segunda linha
Save CPU: Recalcular somente quando fechar um candle (e não a toda mudança de preço)
Play Alarm: Tocar um alarme quando estiver além da primeira linha de desvio

Importante! Cointegração AxB é diferente de BxA

A correlação (ratio e Fisher) é a mesma mas a cointegração é diferente (teste ADF, regressão linear, resíduo e desvios padrão)
Então, AxB pode não estar cointegrada mas BxA pode estar cointegrada.\


*** Aviso: os cálculos de regressão linear múltipla é um processo que demanda muito do processador. Principalmente para calcular um período maior de beta rotation. Quando em uso é esperado um aumento do uso do processador. Se o indicador se tornar muito lento pode tentar diminuir o Beta Candles.


Comentários 5
Cassio Bittencourt
384
Cassio Bittencourt 2020.05.31 17:42 
 

Otimo indicador,porem o desenvolvedor poderia ter um melhor contato!

katatummo
34
katatummo 2019.09.27 15:07 
 

Good indicator.

metatrading
96
metatrading 2021.01.10 15:33 
 

Indicator is good and calculates correctly, but EA is missing. Without trade statistics on backtesting you will experience massive drawdowns at least from time to time.

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"TPA Sessions"  indicator is a very important tool to complement  "TPA True Price Action"  indicator . Did you ever wonder, why many times the price on your chart suddently turns on a position you can't explain?  A position, where apparently no support or resistance level, or a pivot point, or a fibonacci level is to identify? Attention!!!   The   first run   of the TPA Session indicator   must be in the open market   for the lines to be drawn correctly. Please visit our blog to study actual
50 USD
Better Volume MT5
Illia Zhavarankau
Description: The indicator of tick volumes Better Volume MT5 allows you to assess the general mood of the market and quite accurately catch the moments of the formation of large movements. The indicator is a color histogram in an additional window. In the calculation of Better Volume MT5 the Price Action combinations are taken into account, the values of the volumes with the height of columns and color marking are displayed. Input parameters: MAPeriod - period for calculating the moving average
80 USD
Elder Force Index With ATR Channels
Financial Trading Seminars Inc.
Adding Average True Range (ATR) channels to Force Index had been suggested by Kerry Lovvorn. Adding these channels turns Force Index into an excellent tool for identifying intermediate tops and bottoms. Force Index with ATR channels does not catch all turns, but the ones it identifies deserve very serious attention. Note: the word “true” in Average True Range refers to dealing with price gaps. Since there are no gaps in Force Index, here ATR is the same as the Average Range. Whenever the Force I
50 USD
Belkhayate Gravity Center MT5 Custom
Ahmed Alaoui Chrifi
Belkhayate Gravity Center MT5 Custom The Belkhayate center of gravity indicator is best used to confirm major turning points, and distinguish price extremes. Generally if price reaches the upper or lower levels one should expect a turn around coming soon, or at least a pull back towards the centre line if there is a strong trend. The upper and lower levels are red and green lines. Our indicator use the same parameters as the well known trader M.Mostafa Belkhayate the inventor of the indi
50 USD
FX Market Correlation
Igor Pokorni
FX Market Correlation indicator calculates the weakness/strength from all 28 currency pairs in the market. This is unique and powerful way of watching the market. It works on all timeframes. You can use it for scalping, or you can use it for long term trading. FX Market Correlation indicator is NOT repainting. Features: --------- -easy determine which currency is strengthening and which is weakening -choose best currency pairs to trade and times to trade them -find correlation between pairs -N
89 USD
Royale Scalping Indicator
Mostafa Tarakameh
Royal Scalping Indicator is an advanced price adaptive indicator designed to generate high-quality trading signals. Built-in multi-timeframe and multi-currency capabilities make it even more powerful to have configurations based on different symbols and timeframes. This indicator is perfect for scalp trades as well as swing trades. Royal Scalping is not just an indicator, but a trading strategy itself. Features Price Adaptive Trend Detector Algorithm Multi-Timeframe and Multi-Currency Trend
149 USD
TraderDream Evolution MT5
Yehor Pozhydaiev
The indicator defines the trend direction (displayed using line color), shows recommended market entry points (as arrows) and helps tracking price volatility. You can use it as a standalone tool for market analysis or filter the signals using other indicators (you can use TraderDream Evolution from the higher timeframe or create it on the chart of the index belonging to the country whose currency you trade). Our team has been successfully using TraderDream Evolution for two years already for tra
129 USD
RSI Crossover Alert MT5
Thushara Dissanayake
The RSI Crossover Alert MT5 is a Notification System that is highly recommended for Relative Strength Index traders. This indicator focuses on the RSI crossover alert which is the combination of fast and slow RSI. It’s a good technique for filter traditional RSI signals to avoid false signals. Scalping Strategy 1 Buy Entry: Price is greater than EMA 200 RSI crossover Buy alert Sell Entry: Price is less than EMA 200 RSI crossover Sell alert Exit: Quick take profit (10-15 pips) Features Suita
50 USD
FiboPlus MT5
Sergey Malysh
Construção automática e acompanhamento dos níveis de Fibonacci para a compra e venda com qualquer instrumento (símbolo), e em qualquer período do gráfico. FiboPlus mostra: níveis de Fibonacci de movimentos prováveis de preços para cima ou para baixo. pontos de entrada são mostrados com ícones "seta para cima", "seta para baixo", a informação está duplicada nos botões SELL, BUY. área retangular delimitada pelos níveis de 0 a 100. Comércio de um nível para outro (sem tendência). Características
70 USD
Smart Harmonic Pattern
Andrey Danilo Sagot Munoz
O PADRÃO HARMÔNICO INTELIGENTE é um indicador que examina o mercado em busca de potenciais formações geométricas com fórmulas matemáticas relacionadas a fibonacci. Ele reconhece totalmente a história gráfica e o preço ao vivo, sem a necessidade de análises complexas, pois tudo é calculado pelo mesmo indicador. Você também pode trabalhar com as formações antigas e reconhecer os níveis atuais de negociação automaticamente projetados no gráfico, tudo isso apenas com um clique no padrão formado. Pos
69.99 USD
Trading Chaos Chart
Gennadiy Stanilevych
O principal objetivo do indicador é detectar e marcar no gráfico os seguintes sinais de negociação descritos em "Trading Chaos (2-nd edition)": Divergência nas barras de alta e baixa com angulação (incluindo o squat). Barras nas zonas em vermelho e verde de acordo com a cor do histograma Awesome Oscillator. Barras Squat no gráfico são independente da cor do histograma Awesome Oscillator. Níveis de fractais "importantes" em relação à "linha dos Dentes" do indicador Alligator. Desenha raios de ang
60 USD
Filtro:
metatrading
96
metatrading 2021.01.10 15:33 
 

Indicator is good and calculates correctly, but EA is missing. Without trade statistics on backtesting you will experience massive drawdowns at least from time to time.

Zdeno Brontvay
322
Zdeno Brontvay 2020.07.29 08:52 
 

there is no information on how to use the indicator, the author does not communicate.

Cassio Bittencourt
384
Cassio Bittencourt 2020.05.31 17:42 
 

Otimo indicador,porem o desenvolvedor poderia ter um melhor contato!

Gerson Castro
689
Gerson Castro 2020.03.28 13:19 
 

O indicador funciona, porém o suporte do seu criador é ruim, não responde as mensagens.

katatummo
34
katatummo 2019.09.27 15:07 
 

Good indicator.

Responder ao comentário
Versão 1.43 2019.04.02
-Bug fixes
Versão 1.42 2019.04.01
Bug fixes
Versão 1.41 2019.04.01
+ Function to search for best period
Versão 1.32 2019.04.01
Bug Fixes
Versão 1.31 2019.04.01
Bug Fixes
Versão 1.3 2019.04.01
Color Fixes
Versão 1.2 2019.04.01
- Trade Sugestion
- Bug Fixes