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Cointegration Pair Trading Indicator

Cointegration Pair Trading Indicator

Indicator for statistical and quantitative pair trading strategies. You can perform Long&Short or Long&Long/Short&Short between two different assets.
The indicator performs a series of statistical tests between the assets and shows whether the pair is cointegrated or not.


Suggested Usage Strategies

(a) Verify if that the pair is cointegrated by the ADF test (Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test). 0% means the pair is not cointegrated; 90% 95% 97.5% and 99% means it is cointegrated (the greater the better).
(b) Check if beta is positive or negative and the pair correlation.
If beta is positive check if the correlation is positive (Fisher test always greater than zero, Min > 0%).
If beta is negative check if the correlation is negative (Fisher test always lesser than zero, Max < 0%).

For positive beta and Fisher always greater than zero, Long&Short situation:
When the residual line (blue) reaches the upper band sell the main asset and buy the secondary asset (expecting a reversal to normality).

When the residual line (blue) reaches the bottom band buy the main asset and sell the secondary asset (expecting a reversal to normality).

For negative beta and Fisher always lesser than zero, Long&Long or Short&Short situation:
When the residual line (blue) reaches the upper band sell the main asset and sell the secondary asset (expecting a reversal to normality).

When the residual line (blue) reaches the bottom band buy the main asset and buy the secondary asset (expecting a reversal to normality).

Lot Size Proportion
The lot size proportion is given by beta. To know secondary asset lot size just multiply primary asset lot by beta.
Ex: For beta 0.5 and primary lot = 10 secondary lot size would be 5. 


Parameter list

Second symbol: Second Asset
Timeframe: What timeframe to use in calculations
Candles to calculate: How many candles to run the tests (ADF, Fisher)
Regression: Linear regression type, simple or multiple (with trend)***
Beta candles: How many candles calculate beta variation/beta rotation (yellow line)
Deviation first line: Standard deviations to plot first line
Deviation second line: Standard deviations to plot second line
Save CPU: Recalculate only when closing a candle (and not on any price change)
Play Alarm: Play alarm when residual is beyond first deviation line

Important! AxB cointegration is different than BxA

Its correlation (ratio and Fisher) is the same but not the cointegration (ADF test and the linear regression to calculate normality and residual standard deviations).
So, AxB may not be cointegrated and not recommended for trading but BxA may be cointegrated and triggering a trade.


*** Warning: to calculate a multiple linear regression is a CPU hungry process. This is impossible to change and the code is already optimized to its maximum. If “Beta Candles” is set to 50, 100 multiple linear regressions will be calculated to compared each linear regression individual beta. When calculating, a CPU usage spike is to be expected, especially if using the indicator on multiple pairs. If indicator became too slow, try to reduce beta candles.
































































































Comentarios 5
Cassio Bittencourt
384
Cassio Bittencourt 2020.05.31 17:42 
 

Otimo indicador,porem o desenvolvedor poderia ter um melhor contato!

katatummo
34
katatummo 2019.09.27 15:07 
 

Good indicator.

metatrading
96
metatrading 2021.01.10 15:33 
 

Indicator is good and calculates correctly, but EA is missing. Without trade statistics on backtesting you will experience massive drawdowns at least from time to time.

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Adding Average True Range (ATR) channels to Force Index had been suggested by Kerry Lovvorn. Adding these channels turns Force Index into an excellent tool for identifying intermediate tops and bottoms. Force Index with ATR channels does not catch all turns, but the ones it identifies deserve very serious attention. Note: the word “true” in Average True Range refers to dealing with price gaps. Since there are no gaps in Force Index, here ATR is the same as the Average Range. Whenever the Force I
50 USD
Belkhayate Gravity Center MT5 Custom
Ahmed Alaoui Chrifi
Belkhayate Gravity Center MT5 Custom The Belkhayate center of gravity indicator is best used to confirm major turning points, and distinguish price extremes. Generally if price reaches the upper or lower levels one should expect a turn around coming soon, or at least a pull back towards the centre line if there is a strong trend. The upper and lower levels are red and green lines. Our indicator use the same parameters as the well known trader M.Mostafa Belkhayate the inventor of the indi
50 USD
FX Market Correlation
Igor Pokorni
FX Market Correlation indicator calculates the weakness/strength from all 28 currency pairs in the market. This is unique and powerful way of watching the market. It works on all timeframes. You can use it for scalping, or you can use it for long term trading. FX Market Correlation indicator is NOT repainting. Features: --------- -easy determine which currency is strengthening and which is weakening -choose best currency pairs to trade and times to trade them -find correlation between pairs -N
89 USD
TPA Sessions MT5
InvestSoft
"TPA Sessions"  indicator is a very important tool to complement  "TPA True Price Action"  indicator . Did you ever wonder, why many times the price on your chart suddently turns on a position you can't explain?  A position, where apparently no support or resistance level, or a pivot point, or a fibonacci level is to identify? Attention!!!   The   first run   of the TPA Session indicator   must be in the open market   for the lines to be drawn correctly. Please visit our blog to study actual
50 USD
TraderDream Evolution MT5
Yehor Pozhydaiev
The indicator defines the trend direction (displayed using line color), shows recommended market entry points (as arrows) and helps tracking price volatility. You can use it as a standalone tool for market analysis or filter the signals using other indicators (you can use TraderDream Evolution from the higher timeframe or create it on the chart of the index belonging to the country whose currency you trade). Our team has been successfully using TraderDream Evolution for two years already for tra
129 USD
RSI Crossover Alert MT5
Thushara Dissanayake
The RSI Crossover Alert MT5 is a Notification System that is highly recommended for Relative Strength Index traders. This indicator focuses on the RSI crossover alert which is the combination of fast and slow RSI. It’s a good technique for filter traditional RSI signals to avoid false signals. Scalping Strategy 1 Buy Entry: Price is greater than EMA 200 RSI crossover Buy alert Sell Entry: Price is less than EMA 200 RSI crossover Sell alert Exit: Quick take profit (10-15 pips) Features Suita
50 USD
Indicador Taurus All4 MT5
Fabio Oliveira Magalhaes
Indicador Taurus All4   Taurus All4 O Taurus All4 é um indicador de alto desempenho, que indica a força da tendência e você pode observar a força da vela. Nosso indicador tem mais de 4 confirmações de tendência. É muito simples e fácil de usar. Modos de confirmação Confirmações de tendências de velas: Quando a vela muda para verde claro, a tendência é alta. Quando a vela muda para vermelho, a tendência está voltando para baixo. Quando a vela muda para vermelho escuro, a tendência é baixa.
200 USD
FiboPlus MT5
Sergey Malysh
La generación y acompañamiento automáticos de los niveles de Fibonacci para la venta y la compra con respecto a cuaquier instrumento (símbolo) y en cualquier período del gráfico. FiboPlus demuestra: los niveles de Fibonacci de movimientos probables del precio hacia arriba o hacia abajo. los puntos de entrada están marcados con íconos “flecha arriba”, “flecha abajo”, la información está doblada con botones SELL, BUY. área rectangular está limitada por los niveles de 0 a 100. El comercio de un niv
70 USD
Filtro:
metatrading
96
metatrading 2021.01.10 15:33 
 

Indicator is good and calculates correctly, but EA is missing. Without trade statistics on backtesting you will experience massive drawdowns at least from time to time.

Zdeno Brontvay
322
Zdeno Brontvay 2020.07.29 08:52 
 

there is no information on how to use the indicator, the author does not communicate.

Cassio Bittencourt
384
Cassio Bittencourt 2020.05.31 17:42 
 

Otimo indicador,porem o desenvolvedor poderia ter um melhor contato!

Gerson Castro
689
Gerson Castro 2020.03.28 13:19 
 

O indicador funciona, porém o suporte do seu criador é ruim, não responde as mensagens.

katatummo
34
katatummo 2019.09.27 15:07 
 

Good indicator.

Respuesta al comentario
Versión 1.43 2019.04.02
-Bug fixes
Versión 1.42 2019.04.01
Bug fixes
Versión 1.41 2019.04.01
+ Function to search for best period
Versión 1.32 2019.04.01
Bug Fixes
Versión 1.31 2019.04.01
Bug Fixes
Versión 1.3 2019.04.01
Color Fixes
Versión 1.2 2019.04.01
- Trade Sugestion
- Bug Fixes