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私はトレーディングで8年の経験があります。私はトレンドフォロワーで、主にタートルズ手法を使って取引しています。
80年代以降、市場が変わったため、ブレイクアウトとトレーリングストップに長い期間を使い、ピラミッディングはせず、ストップロスに大きなATR倍数を使用します。
新しい方法や新しいパラメータセットに基づいて取引する前に、私はバックテストを行いますし、あなたもそうすべきです！
80年代以降、市場が変わったため、ブレイクアウトとトレーリングストップに長い期間を使い、ピラミッディングはせず、ストップロスに大きなATR倍数を使用します。
新しい方法や新しいパラメータセットに基づいて取引する前に、私はバックテストを行いますし、あなたもそうすべきです！
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The most sold trading robots are those who have a high win rate and show millions of dollars profits in a backtest. They are bought mostly by beginner traders which lack trading education. They think that high win rate is a key condition for success in trading. This comes mainly from the school education when a good grade validates your knowledge. These robots are well marketed but what actual trading strategies are automated of course are black box. The buyer does not need to know what is under the hood. He must believe in the high win rate, spectacular gains, precision, well optimized, professionalism, institutional grade, high quality trading, right trading conditions, intelligent and many other words which sound well at the buyer ear.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
ATR Trade Manager MT5 A Trader's Guide to Every Button and Every Rule (v1.07) What This EA Actually Does Most traders lose money not because they can't find good setups, but because of what happens after they find one: sizing the trade, placing it accurately, and managing it without emotion...
89
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The direction of the price evolution cannot be predicted regardless of what you use. The only thing you control is how much you risk per trade. After you place a trade what happens is out of your control.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The worst thing you can do in trading is to not have stop loss at all. Since you can't limit your losses to a predefined percentage from your account by not using a stop loss you invite disaster in your account. The same is by risking too much per trade but this is going to be a subject for another topic.
Let's say that you trade EUR/USD and you use a 50 pips stop loss. Is this too much or too less? It depends the time frame you trade and the market volatility. You see "volatility" which means that the price does not move in average the same all the time. So if you use a fixed number of pips sometimes you will give too much room for the price to evolve and sometimes too little. In either case you will diminish your returns.
To measure the market volatility we use the average true range(ATR) usually with a 14 or 21 period lookback.
Look at the EUR/USD chart an notice how much can change the market volatility.
Things get even worse if you trade a more volatile pair like GBP/USD, not to mention the really volatile pairs like USD/JPY or GBP/JPY. If 50 pips was good enough on EUR/USD it will not suffice for sure on the other pairs.
What you can do in this situation?
You must incorporate volatility in your stop loss calculation. Maybe the simplest way is to use an ATR multiple as distance from your entry point to place your stop loss. By doing this you will reduce the chances to be whipsawed by normal price movement. Let's say that at the moment you want to enter a trade the atr value is 50 pips. You can place the stop loss at 2 or 3 atr multiples distance from the entry which means 100 or 150 pips away. While there is no magic value for the atr multiple you should use still you must know that a tighter stop loss tends to be whipsawed more often. In the same time if the trade runs in your favor you will get more RR multiples. We talk here about a tradeoff.
What type of stop loss you use in your trading and why? Join the discussion.
Let's say that you trade EUR/USD and you use a 50 pips stop loss. Is this too much or too less? It depends the time frame you trade and the market volatility. You see "volatility" which means that the price does not move in average the same all the time. So if you use a fixed number of pips sometimes you will give too much room for the price to evolve and sometimes too little. In either case you will diminish your returns.
To measure the market volatility we use the average true range(ATR) usually with a 14 or 21 period lookback.
Look at the EUR/USD chart an notice how much can change the market volatility.
Things get even worse if you trade a more volatile pair like GBP/USD, not to mention the really volatile pairs like USD/JPY or GBP/JPY. If 50 pips was good enough on EUR/USD it will not suffice for sure on the other pairs.
What you can do in this situation?
You must incorporate volatility in your stop loss calculation. Maybe the simplest way is to use an ATR multiple as distance from your entry point to place your stop loss. By doing this you will reduce the chances to be whipsawed by normal price movement. Let's say that at the moment you want to enter a trade the atr value is 50 pips. You can place the stop loss at 2 or 3 atr multiples distance from the entry which means 100 or 150 pips away. While there is no magic value for the atr multiple you should use still you must know that a tighter stop loss tends to be whipsawed more often. In the same time if the trade runs in your favor you will get more RR multiples. We talk here about a tradeoff.
What type of stop loss you use in your trading and why? Join the discussion.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
NR7 Opening Range Breakout EA for MT5 tested on a small but diversified portofolio: metals, forex, indices and commodities.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEbEOF0gC3o&t=6s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEbEOF0gC3o&t=6s
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
NR7 Opening Range Breakout EA: Automating Toby Crabel's Compression Methodology If you've spent any time studying intraday price action, you've probably run into the idea that volatility moves in cycles, periods of contraction followed by expansion...
198
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
パブリッシュされたプロダクト
NR7オープニングレンジブレイクアウトEA — デイトレード トビー・クレイベル氏の実証済みNR7圧縮メソッドに基づく マーチンゲールなし。グリッドなし。プログラマーではなく、8年の経験を持つトレーダーが開発。このエキスパートアドバイザーは、トビー・クレイベル氏の著書「Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout」から着想を得ています。 このEAの機能 NR7 ORB EAは、テクニカル分析における最も実績のあるデイトレード手法の一つを自動化します。極端な価格収縮の期間を特定し、市場がついに動き出した際にブレイクアウトをトレードします。 各セッションでEAはNR7バー(値幅が直前の6本のバーすべてより狭いローソク足)を探します。これは市場が狭いレンジに収縮していることを示します。有効なNR7が確認されると、EAはアーム状態となり、リアルタイムで価格を監視します。価格が圧縮ゾーンの高値または安値を最低1pips超えて突破した瞬間、ブレイクアウト方向にトレードが発動します。
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
Ultimate Breakout EA: The All-in-One Channel Breakout System for MT5 By Muresan Daniel | Version 1.00 Breakout trading is one of the most enduring and popular methodologies in the financial markets...
354
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
パブリッシュされたプロダクト
3つの実績あるブレイクアウト取引システムを1つのツールに統合したエキスパートアドバイザー（EA）。トレーダーは、チャートにEAをアタッチする際に入力メニューからアクティブな戦略を選択します。3つの戦略はすべて同じ基本アーキテクチャを共有しています。すなわち、残高ベースのリスク管理、ATRによるポジションサイジング、一度に1ポジションのみ（ピラミッディングなし）、再起動または再読み込み後の既存ポジションへの自動再アタッチです。 マーチンゲールなし。グリッドなし。単なるプログラマーではなく、8年の経験を持つトレーダーによって構築されました。このEAはトム・バッソの方法論に従っており、デイリータイムフレームで複数の市場（できれば20以上）を取引する必要があります。割引価格。初期の信頼を構築するために、価格は一時的に30ドルに設定されています。20件の販売に達した後は、10件の購入ごとに価格が30ドルずつ上昇します。最終価格は300ドル。安いうちに今すぐ入手してください！ 取引戦略 ドンチャンチャネル —
