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У меня 8 лет опыта в трейдинге. Я последователь трендов и в основном торгую, используя метод Черепах.
Поскольку рынки изменились с 80-х годов, я применяю более длинные периоды для прорывов и трейлинг-стопов, без пирамидинга и больший множитель ATR в качестве стоп-лосса.
Перед торговлей на основе нового метода или нового набора параметров я провожу бэктест, и вам тоже стоит это делать!
Поскольку рынки изменились с 80-х годов, я применяю более длинные периоды для прорывов и трейлинг-стопов, без пирамидинга и больший множитель ATR в качестве стоп-лосса.
Перед торговлей на основе нового метода или нового набора параметров я провожу бэктест, и вам тоже стоит это делать!
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The most sold trading robots are those who have a high win rate and show millions of dollars profits in a backtest. They are bought mostly by beginner traders which lack trading education. They think that high win rate is a key condition for success in trading. This comes mainly from the school education when a good grade validates your knowledge. These robots are well marketed but what actual trading strategies are automated of course are black box. The buyer does not need to know what is under the hood. He must believe in the high win rate, spectacular gains, precision, well optimized, professionalism, institutional grade, high quality trading, right trading conditions, intelligent and many other words which sound well at the buyer ear.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
ATR Trade Manager MT5 A Trader's Guide to Every Button and Every Rule (v1.07) What This EA Actually Does Most traders lose money not because they can't find good setups, but because of what happens after they find one: sizing the trade, placing it accurately, and managing it without emotion...
89
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The direction of the price evolution cannot be predicted regardless of what you use. The only thing you control is how much you risk per trade. After you place a trade what happens is out of your control.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The worst thing you can do in trading is to not have stop loss at all. Since you can't limit your losses to a predefined percentage from your account by not using a stop loss you invite disaster in your account. The same is by risking too much per trade but this is going to be a subject for another topic.
Let's say that you trade EUR/USD and you use a 50 pips stop loss. Is this too much or too less? It depends the time frame you trade and the market volatility. You see "volatility" which means that the price does not move in average the same all the time. So if you use a fixed number of pips sometimes you will give too much room for the price to evolve and sometimes too little. In either case you will diminish your returns.
To measure the market volatility we use the average true range(ATR) usually with a 14 or 21 period lookback.
Look at the EUR/USD chart an notice how much can change the market volatility.
Things get even worse if you trade a more volatile pair like GBP/USD, not to mention the really volatile pairs like USD/JPY or GBP/JPY. If 50 pips was good enough on EUR/USD it will not suffice for sure on the other pairs.
What you can do in this situation?
You must incorporate volatility in your stop loss calculation. Maybe the simplest way is to use an ATR multiple as distance from your entry point to place your stop loss. By doing this you will reduce the chances to be whipsawed by normal price movement. Let's say that at the moment you want to enter a trade the atr value is 50 pips. You can place the stop loss at 2 or 3 atr multiples distance from the entry which means 100 or 150 pips away. While there is no magic value for the atr multiple you should use still you must know that a tighter stop loss tends to be whipsawed more often. In the same time if the trade runs in your favor you will get more RR multiples. We talk here about a tradeoff.
What type of stop loss you use in your trading and why? Join the discussion.
Let's say that you trade EUR/USD and you use a 50 pips stop loss. Is this too much or too less? It depends the time frame you trade and the market volatility. You see "volatility" which means that the price does not move in average the same all the time. So if you use a fixed number of pips sometimes you will give too much room for the price to evolve and sometimes too little. In either case you will diminish your returns.
To measure the market volatility we use the average true range(ATR) usually with a 14 or 21 period lookback.
Look at the EUR/USD chart an notice how much can change the market volatility.
Things get even worse if you trade a more volatile pair like GBP/USD, not to mention the really volatile pairs like USD/JPY or GBP/JPY. If 50 pips was good enough on EUR/USD it will not suffice for sure on the other pairs.
What you can do in this situation?
You must incorporate volatility in your stop loss calculation. Maybe the simplest way is to use an ATR multiple as distance from your entry point to place your stop loss. By doing this you will reduce the chances to be whipsawed by normal price movement. Let's say that at the moment you want to enter a trade the atr value is 50 pips. You can place the stop loss at 2 or 3 atr multiples distance from the entry which means 100 or 150 pips away. While there is no magic value for the atr multiple you should use still you must know that a tighter stop loss tends to be whipsawed more often. In the same time if the trade runs in your favor you will get more RR multiples. We talk here about a tradeoff.
What type of stop loss you use in your trading and why? Join the discussion.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
NR7 Opening Range Breakout EA for MT5 tested on a small but diversified portofolio: metals, forex, indices and commodities.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEbEOF0gC3o&t=6s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEbEOF0gC3o&t=6s
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
NR7 Opening Range Breakout EA: Automating Toby Crabel's Compression Methodology If you've spent any time studying intraday price action, you've probably run into the idea that volatility moves in cycles, periods of contraction followed by expansion...
196
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
Выставил продукт
EA NR7 Opening Range Breakout — Внутридневная торговля Основан на проверенной методологии компрессии NR7 Тоби Крабела Без Мартингейла. Без Грид-стратегии. Создан трейдером с 8-летним опытом, а не просто программистом. Этот эксперт-советник вдохновлён работой Тоби Крабела, опубликованной в "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout". Что делает этот EA EA NR7 ORB автоматизирует одну из самых проверенных временем внутридневных концепций технического анализа: выявление
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
Ultimate Breakout EA: The All-in-One Channel Breakout System for MT5 By Muresan Daniel | Version 1.00 Breakout trading is one of the most enduring and popular methodologies in the financial markets...
348
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
Выставил продукт
Советник, который объединяет три проверенные системы торговли по пробоям в одном инструменте. Трейдер выбирает активную стратегию из меню параметров при установке советника на график. Все три стратегии имеют одинаковую базовую архитектуру: управление риском на основе баланса, расчёт размера позиции через ATR, одновременно открыта только одна позиция, без пирамидинга, а также автоматическое восстановление ранее открытых позиций после перезапуска или перезагрузки советника. Никакого мартингейла
