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Tenho 8 anos de experiência em trading. Sou um seguidor de tendências e negocio principalmente usando o método das Tartarugas.
Como os mercados mudaram desde os anos 80, uso períodos mais longos para breakouts e trailing stops, sem piramidação e um múltiplo ATR maior como stop loss.
Antes de negociar com base em um novo método ou um novo conjunto de parâmetros, eu faço backtesting, e você também deveria fazer!
Como os mercados mudaram desde os anos 80, uso períodos mais longos para breakouts e trailing stops, sem piramidação e um múltiplo ATR maior como stop loss.
Antes de negociar com base em um novo método ou um novo conjunto de parâmetros, eu faço backtesting, e você também deveria fazer!
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The most sold trading robots are those who have a high win rate and show millions of dollars profits in a backtest. They are bought mostly by beginner traders which lack trading education. They think that high win rate is a key condition for success in trading. This comes mainly from the school education when a good grade validates your knowledge. These robots are well marketed but what actual trading strategies are automated of course are black box. The buyer does not need to know what is under the hood. He must believe in the high win rate, spectacular gains, precision, well optimized, professionalism, institutional grade, high quality trading, right trading conditions, intelligent and many other words which sound well at the buyer ear.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
ATR Trade Manager MT5 A Trader's Guide to Every Button and Every Rule (v1.07) What This EA Actually Does Most traders lose money not because they can't find good setups, but because of what happens after they find one: sizing the trade, placing it accurately, and managing it without emotion...
89
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The direction of the price evolution cannot be predicted regardless of what you use. The only thing you control is how much you risk per trade. After you place a trade what happens is out of your control.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
The worst thing you can do in trading is to not have stop loss at all. Since you can't limit your losses to a predefined percentage from your account by not using a stop loss you invite disaster in your account. The same is by risking too much per trade but this is going to be a subject for another topic.
Let's say that you trade EUR/USD and you use a 50 pips stop loss. Is this too much or too less? It depends the time frame you trade and the market volatility. You see "volatility" which means that the price does not move in average the same all the time. So if you use a fixed number of pips sometimes you will give too much room for the price to evolve and sometimes too little. In either case you will diminish your returns.
To measure the market volatility we use the average true range(ATR) usually with a 14 or 21 period lookback.
Look at the EUR/USD chart an notice how much can change the market volatility.
Things get even worse if you trade a more volatile pair like GBP/USD, not to mention the really volatile pairs like USD/JPY or GBP/JPY. If 50 pips was good enough on EUR/USD it will not suffice for sure on the other pairs.
What you can do in this situation?
You must incorporate volatility in your stop loss calculation. Maybe the simplest way is to use an ATR multiple as distance from your entry point to place your stop loss. By doing this you will reduce the chances to be whipsawed by normal price movement. Let's say that at the moment you want to enter a trade the atr value is 50 pips. You can place the stop loss at 2 or 3 atr multiples distance from the entry which means 100 or 150 pips away. While there is no magic value for the atr multiple you should use still you must know that a tighter stop loss tends to be whipsawed more often. In the same time if the trade runs in your favor you will get more RR multiples. We talk here about a tradeoff.
What type of stop loss you use in your trading and why? Join the discussion.
Let's say that you trade EUR/USD and you use a 50 pips stop loss. Is this too much or too less? It depends the time frame you trade and the market volatility. You see "volatility" which means that the price does not move in average the same all the time. So if you use a fixed number of pips sometimes you will give too much room for the price to evolve and sometimes too little. In either case you will diminish your returns.
To measure the market volatility we use the average true range(ATR) usually with a 14 or 21 period lookback.
Look at the EUR/USD chart an notice how much can change the market volatility.
Things get even worse if you trade a more volatile pair like GBP/USD, not to mention the really volatile pairs like USD/JPY or GBP/JPY. If 50 pips was good enough on EUR/USD it will not suffice for sure on the other pairs.
What you can do in this situation?
You must incorporate volatility in your stop loss calculation. Maybe the simplest way is to use an ATR multiple as distance from your entry point to place your stop loss. By doing this you will reduce the chances to be whipsawed by normal price movement. Let's say that at the moment you want to enter a trade the atr value is 50 pips. You can place the stop loss at 2 or 3 atr multiples distance from the entry which means 100 or 150 pips away. While there is no magic value for the atr multiple you should use still you must know that a tighter stop loss tends to be whipsawed more often. In the same time if the trade runs in your favor you will get more RR multiples. We talk here about a tradeoff.
What type of stop loss you use in your trading and why? Join the discussion.
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
NR7 Opening Range Breakout EA for MT5 tested on a small but diversified portofolio: metals, forex, indices and commodities.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEbEOF0gC3o&t=6s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEbEOF0gC3o&t=6s
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
NR7 Opening Range Breakout EA: Automating Toby Crabel's Compression Methodology If you've spent any time studying intraday price action, you've probably run into the idea that volatility moves in cycles, periods of contraction followed by expansion...
196
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
Produto publicado
EA NR7 Opening Range Breakout — Intradiário Baseado na metodologia comprovada de compressão NR7 de Toby Crabel Sem Martingale. Sem Grid. Criado por um trader com 8 anos de experiência, não apenas um programador. Este robô de negociação foi inspirado no trabalho de Toby Crabel publicado em "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout". O que este EA faz O EA NR7 ORB automatiza um dos conceitos intradiários mais comprovados da análise técnica: identificar períodos de
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
Ultimate Breakout EA: The All-in-One Channel Breakout System for MT5 By Muresan Daniel | Version 1.00 Breakout trading is one of the most enduring and popular methodologies in the financial markets...
348
Daniel-gheorghe Muresan
Produto publicado
Assessor Expert que combina três sistemas de negociação por rompimento comprovados em uma única ferramenta. O trader seleciona a estratégia ativa no menu de entrada ao anexar o EA a um gráfico. As três estratégias compartilham a mesma arquitetura central: gerenciamento de risco baseado no saldo, dimensionamento de posição derivado do ATR, uma única posição por vez, sem pirâmide, e reanexo automático a posições existentes após reinicialização ou recarregamento. Sem Martingale. Sem Grid
