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Estimation moving average without lag

The principle of the indicator.

              A simple moving average (SMA) with an averaging period (2n + 1) of bars is always obtained lagging by n bars. If SMA or other types of moving averages are the basis for making trading decisions, then their strong delay does not allow  to open positions in time and close positions, which leads to losses.            

              The Estimation moving average without lag (EMAWL) indicator calculates the non-lagging moving average, which is calculated at the points (Inf, n + 1) in the usual way, and at the points of the [n, 0] segment, where 0 is the last bar number, is algorithmically and there is a curvilinear sector (cover out the confidence interval) in which the line of the non-lagging moving average fits with the confidence level specified in the indicator settings. It is clear that the more the confidence probability value is taken (which by default is equal to 0.67), the wider the curvilinear sector of the confidence interval is obtained. If we take the confidence probability equal to zero, then the sector of the indicator readings at points [n, 0] will shrink to a curve, which will pass through the most probable values ​​of the non-lagging average. Statistical studies show that the price around the non-remaining average is distributed according to the Laplace law. Knowledge of the distribution law and the algorithm for calculating the most likely non-lagging average on the [n, 0] segment allow us to calculate the confidence interval sector.

 

 

Trade using the Estimation moving average without lag indicator.

              If the lower border of the figure sector of the EMAWL indicator moves to the up, then there is an uptrend and you need to open positions on Buy. If the upper boundary of the curvilinear sector of the EMAWL indicator is oriented downwards, then there is a downward trend and you need to open positions on Sell. In such cases, you can be sure of the correctness of the established trend direction with the confidence level set in the indicator settings. If the upper limit of the figure sector of the EMAWL indicator moves to the up, and the lower limit moves down, then there is a flat, which serves as a signal for closing trend positions.

 

Indicator settings.

  • Price type  - applied price. Values: Close price, Open price, High price, Low price, Median price  ((high + low)/2 - default),  Typical price ((high + low + close)/3),    Weighted  price  ((high + low + 2*close)/4). 
  • The averaging method   - averaging method. Values:  Simple (default), Exponential, Smoothed,  Linear  weighted.
  • The averaging period    -  averaging period. Any integer (21 by default).
  • Confidence probability  - Values:   from 0  to  0.999 (0.67 by default).
  • Global shift - Global shift to start calculating indicator readings.  Values: any integer (0 by default). 
  • Paint over the confidence interval? -  Values:  true  (by default),  false.
  • Color of the line.  The color of the indicator line and its figure sector.


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PipFinite Breakout EDGE
Karlo Wilson Vendiola
The Missing Edge You Need To Catch Breakouts Like A Pro. Follow a step-by-step system that detects the most powerful breakouts! Discover market patterns that generate massive rewards based on a proven and tested strategy. Unlock Your Serious Edge Get it here ► www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/723208 Have access to the game changing indicator that will take your trading to the next level! How To Trade Execute your trades in 3 Easy Steps! Step 1: Trade Setup Enter a signal if Success Rate is
98 USD
Bruces Price Predictor
Bruce Webb
*Non-Repainting Indicator Message Me Immediately After Purchase For VIP Installation Help and Free Strategy     Bruce's Price Predictor is an indicator that shows precise price reversals. A great arsenal to add to any chart.  Bruce's Price Predictor points price reversals with high degree of accuracy and it is great for scalping on the 1min time frame, Or swing trading on the 1hr time frame. Buy and sell arrows are shown on the chart as for entry signals. They do not repaint but confirmation ent
50 USD
Support Resistance screnner
Sayadi Achraf
⭐️   ⭐️   ⭐️   ⭐️   ⭐️     SUPPORT & RESISTANCE SCREENER      ⭐️⭐️⭐️   ⭐️⭐️ A technical indicator that identify support and resistance based price action and supply and demand levels. Important Note :  How to turn your Metatrader to Forex Screener ?   4.1   Trend Screener :   MT4 version   ||   MT5 version   4.2   Trend Line Map :   MT4 version   ||   MT5 version   4.3   Support and Resistance Screener :   MT4 version   ||   MT5 version What makes our Support & Resistance In
49 USD
Lighthouse
Daniel Stein
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ You want to become a constantly profitable 5-star forex trader? ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ 1.  Read the basic description of our simple trading  system   &  and it's major strategy update in 2020   2.   Send a screenshot of your purchase  to get your personal invitation to our exclusive trading chat Lighthouse is an amazing precise and reliable support and resistance indicator. It displays the most important trading levels and draws them according to their relevance. If a level is clearly brok
50 USD
Advanced Currency IMPULSE with ALERT
Bernhard Schweigert
Este indicador es una herramienta de transacción única, de alta calidad y asequible porque hemos incorporado una serie de características propias y una fórmula secreta. Con solo un gráfico, da Alertas para los 28 pares de divisas. ¡Imagina cómo mejorarás porque puedes identificar el punto de activación exacto de una nueva tendencia u oportunidad de crecimiento! Basado en nuevos algoritmos subyacentes , hace que sea aún más fácil identificar y confirmar operaciones potenciales . Esto se debe a qu
78 USD
Volume Delta Panel
Chantal Sala
Volume DeltaPanel is a very powerful indicator that read the supply on Market. It calculates the Delta from movement of the price and the difference of BUY volumes and SELL volumes. The Volumes are added to price and normalized to symbol points. Its special structure allows you to get all Time Frames values available on the platform MT4. Panel can show 28 instruments simultaneously all customizable according to the offer of the Broker. A good observation of this instrument can suggest great en
50 USD
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Versión 2.10 2019.09.04
Improved code reliability.
Versión 2.0 2019.05.05
Added global shift to start calculating indicator readings (for visual estimation of the accuracy of its work)