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# Estimation moving average without lag

The principle of the indicator.

A simple moving average (SMA) with an averaging period (2n + 1) of bars is always obtained lagging by n bars. If SMA or other types of moving averages are the basis for making trading decisions, then their strong delay does not allow  to open positions in time and close positions, which leads to losses.

The Estimation moving average without lag (EMAWL) indicator calculates the non-lagging moving average, which is calculated at the points (Inf, n + 1) in the usual way, and at the points of the [n, 0] segment, where 0 is the last bar number, is algorithmically and there is a curvilinear sector (cover out the confidence interval) in which the line of the non-lagging moving average fits with the confidence level specified in the indicator settings. It is clear that the more the confidence probability value is taken (which by default is equal to 0.67), the wider the curvilinear sector of the confidence interval is obtained. If we take the confidence probability equal to zero, then the sector of the indicator readings at points [n, 0] will shrink to a curve, which will pass through the most probable values ​​of the non-lagging average. Statistical studies show that the price around the non-remaining average is distributed according to the Laplace law. Knowledge of the distribution law and the algorithm for calculating the most likely non-lagging average on the [n, 0] segment allow us to calculate the confidence interval sector.

Trade using the Estimation moving average without lag indicator.

If the lower border of the figure sector of the EMAWL indicator moves to the up, then there is an uptrend and you need to open positions on Buy. If the upper boundary of the curvilinear sector of the EMAWL indicator is oriented downwards, then there is a downward trend and you need to open positions on Sell. In such cases, you can be sure of the correctness of the established trend direction with the confidence level set in the indicator settings. If the upper limit of the figure sector of the EMAWL indicator moves to the up, and the lower limit moves down, then there is a flat, which serves as a signal for closing trend positions.

Indicator settings.

• Price type  - applied price. Values: Close price, Open price, High price, Low price, Median price  ((high + low)/2 - default),  Typical price ((high + low + close)/3),    Weighted  price  ((high + low + 2*close)/4).
• The averaging method   - averaging method. Values:  Simple (default), Exponential, Smoothed,  Linear  weighted.
• The averaging period    -  averaging period. Any integer (21 by default).
• Confidence probability  - Values:   from 0  to  0.999 (0.67 by default).
• Global shift - Global shift to start calculating indicator readings.  Values: any integer (0 by default).
• Paint over the confidence interval? -  Values:  true  (by default),  false.
• Color of the line.  The color of the indicator line and its figure sector.

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️️️️️ You want to become a constantly profitable 5-star forex trader? ️️️️️ 1.  Read the basic description of our simple trading  system   &  and it's major strategy update in 2020   2.   Send a screenshot of your purchase  to get your personal invitation to our exclusive trading chat FX Trend displays the trend direction, duration, intensity and the resulting trend rating for all time frames in real time. You'll see at a glance at which direction the trends are running, how long
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Ants Lite ATR allows you to enter and manage your trades based on the market volatility, giving you safer entries and better exits. Based on the work by Daryl Guppy. Features Ability to define the bar the Long and Short calculation starts from. Can be used to generate both entry or exit signals. Customizable ATR period and multiplier. GMMA is a tried and tested indicator with a long pedigree. Volatility based entry and exit signal rather than time based. How To Use Simply drag the indicator
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Square of 9 for all
Francesco Rubeo
Welcome all to the famous Gann's "Square Of 9"!! This method was used by one of the best traders in the history, a person who made his way among the top traders. An "Holy Grail" for whoever wants to learn trading. The "Square of 9" was used by this genius to find the market's future supports and future resistances. Nowadays is possible to find them with just a click, thanks to softwares. At the time Gann was using just his set of square and goniometer!! Gann describes, partially, the tecnique on
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I present an indicator for professionals. ProfitMACD is very similar to classic MACD in appearance and its functions . However, ProfitMACD is based on completely new algorithms (for example, it has only one averaging period) and is more robust, especially on small timeframes, since it filters random price walks. The classic MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence) is a very good indicator following the trend, based on the ratio between two moving averages, namely the EM
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Einleitung.             Der Indikator prognostiziert den Preis in Übereinstimmung mit dem vorherrschenden Trend und seinen eigenen kleinen statistischen Preisschwankungen. In StatPredict müssen Sie den Zeithorizont der vorhergesagten Ereignisse festlegen, der durch den Einstellungsparameter des Indikators « Length of forecast in bars » festgelegt wird. Der Prognosehorizont wird durch die charakteristische Zeitskala des aktuellen Trends bestimmt, die am besten durch den ProfitMACD -Indikator ode
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Aleksey Ivanov
The principle of the indicator.                             The Asummetry  indicator allows you to predict the beginning of a change in the direction of trends, long before their visual appearance on the price chart.               The author statistically revealed that before changing the direction of the trend, the probability distribution function of the price is made as asymmetric as possible. More precisely, the price movement in any direction always pulls sideways the function of its dis
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Aleksey Ivanov
The principle of constructing indicator lines .               Profit Trade  indicator is very effective for trading. Profit Trade  is a deep development of the well-known Donchian channel  indicator. The upper (BlueViolet color) Dup and the lower (IndianRed) Ddn lines of the indicator are constructed in the same way as in the Donchian channel , based on the highest (high of High) and lowest (low of Low) prices for the previous n1 = 20 periods. The middle line (Gold) Dm is constructed in the sam
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Signal Channel
Aleksey Ivanov
The principle of constructing indicator lines and their meaning .               The Signal Channel   indicator uses a robust filtering method based on two moving medians applicable to the High and Low prices, i.e. the lines <High> and <Low>, where <..> is the sign of linear averaging, which are shifted by certain values ​​in an uptrend and by opposite values ​​in a downtrend, which allows you to get a narrow channel, approximately outlining each bar. Sharp kinks of the lines of such a channel a
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Robust Filter
Aleksey Ivanov
The Robust filter   indicator is based on the robust filtering algorithm developed by the author using the multi-period averaged moving median. The algorithm for this averaging is shown in the last screenshot.                The indicator calculates and shows: 1. The direction of the trend; 2. Entry and exit points of positions; 3. StopLoss   lines calculated from current price probability distributions and selected probability of closing an order by StopLoss before the trend revers
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Absolute price
Aleksey Ivanov
This   indicator is intended for professionals assessing fundamental market trends.  This indicator calculates the index of any instrument and analyzes it.              The index of the state currency shows the real purchasing power of this currency, and the dynamics of this index shows the dynamics of the economic state of the corresponding state. An analysis of the indices of both currencies included in a currency pair makes it much more reliable to identify the trend of this cur
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Multicurrency Trend Detector
Aleksey Ivanov
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StatZigZag
Aleksey Ivanov
The StatZigZag  indicator looks like a regular ZigZag , but is built on the basis of completely different algorithms. The StatZigZag  indicator is a broken line built from segments of regression lines of different lengths, the beginning of each of which comes from the end of the previous segment. Each regression segment is built until the variance or spread of price around it begins to exceed a certain critical value, after which the construction of this segment ends and the constr
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TrueChannel
Aleksey Ivanov
The TrueChannel   indicator shows us the true price movement channels. This indicator resembles Donchian Channel   in its appearance, but is built on the basis of completely different principles and gives (in comparison with Donchian Channel , which is better just to use to assess volatility) more adequate trading signals.              As shown in the article , the price actually moves in channels parallel to the time axis and jumps abruptly from the previous channels to the subsequ
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Velocity of price change
Aleksey Ivanov
The Velocity of price change   ( VP ) indicator shows the average rate of price change at those characteristic time intervals where this rate was approximately constant. The robust algorithm used in VP   to smooth out the price from its random jumps, ensures the reliability of the indicator reading, which does not react to simple price volatility and its insignificant movements.             The indicator allows you to track trends and the moments of their reversals , during which t
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Prof MACD
Aleksey Ivanov
I present an indicator for professionals. Prof MACD is very similar to classic MACD in appearance and its functions . However, Prof MACD is based on completely new algorithms (for example, it has only one averaging period) and is more robust, especially on small timeframes, since it filters random price walks. The classic MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence) is a very good indicator following the trend, based on the ratio between two moving averages, namely the EMA
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Version 2.10 2019.09.04
Improved code reliability.
Version 2.0 2019.05.05
Added global shift to start calculating indicator readings (for visual estimation of the accuracy of its work)