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Ethereum Star MT5

Trend following expert on Ethereum with live performance results (see screenshots) and MT5/Binance trading mode.

Introduction

Have you ever wonder why is it so hard to accumulate impressive capital using expert advisors? The key feature here is reinvestment. You need to constantly increase your deposit so you could receive greater income. And compound that income to your deposit again. Then the power of compound interest will increase your capital exponentially over time. 

To do that you can choose between two types of expert advisors:

  1. Martingale/grid experts with unlimited losses or experts with losses much greater than profits.
  2. Experts with fixed losses which is less or comparable to profits.

  • In the first case you have to withdraw all your profit because sooner or later the expert will burn your entire deposit. Assuming typical performance of grid experts, it will take a year or more to simply return 100% of your investment.
  • In the second case you can compound your profit but it's difficult to achieve the same stability of performance compared to grid systems because such experts always tend to get overfitted to the past prices. 

I've been stuck with this dilemma for a long time until I've created this expert.

Algorithm

  • On the one hand, it uses some adaptive conditions to enter the trend with a relatively short SL, follow that trend with trailing SL and exit or reverse at the end of the trend. These conditions adapt to the market situation.
  • On the other, it has some filters to avoid multiple losses during the flat phase, which were tuned based on my original technique that I call "an optimization without optimization". It was inspired by several research articles ([1], [2], [3]) where I found the answer why most of the optimization techniques used in algotrading are fail. This approach allows to reduce an overfitting to minimum.

Main properties of the expert:

  • No grid, no martingale, not holding loss positions for a long time.
  • Each deal has a fixed SL that can only be shortened.
  • Uses trailing SL to maximize profit from big trends.
  • Requires no optimization, use default settings adjusted to your deposit.
  • Shows stable historical results during both bull and bear crypto trends, high and low volatility, from 2018 to 2024.
  • Shows historical performance (rec.factor=29.5 with a fix.lot) compared to the best grid systems without dangerous trading methods.
  • Demonstrates live performance similar to test results (see screenshots).
  • Comply with FIFO rule.
  • Compatible with both netting and hedging accounts.
  • Minimal deposit is 100$.
  • The only recommended symbol is Ethereum. Can also be used with BNB but performance is worse.
  • The only recommended timeframe is M15.
  • Not sensitive to slippages and not critically sensitive to comission.

Parameters:

Parameter Default value Description Comment
WorkTimeframe
PERIOD_M15
timeframe for trading via MT5
Preferrable timeframe is M15.
TradeBinance false trade on Binance False for trading via MT5. True for trading directy on Binance Futures.
ApiBinance
your Binance account generated API Required if TradeBinance=true.
SecretBinance   your Binance account generated secret Required if TradeBinance=true.
SymbolBin ETHUSDT Binance instrument Symbol name from Binance futures.
TimeFrameBin 15m Binance timeframe Preferrable is 15m. Others: 1m/3m/5m/15m/30m/1h/2h/4h/6h/8h/12h/1d/1w.
DigitsBin 2 decimals of Binance instrument ETHUSDT has 2.
Lot
4 base lot
In practice, I use no more than 1 lot for every 1000 of balance
PriceNorm
3000
price for a volume = Lot
Needed to eliminate the impact of price level on risk. 3000 means it will trade 4 lots when ETH price is 3000, 3 lots when price is 4000, 6 lots when price is 2000 etc. It will keep the size of position (price x lot = 12000) same for every price level.
AdjustLotByBalance
false
increase lot with balance

BalanceNorm
8000 balance for a volume = Lot, when AdjustLotByBalance=true
If Lot=4 will trade 2 lots with 4000 balance, 3 lots with 6000 balance etc.
MaxSpread
0.2 max spread in % of price
On Binance ETHUSDT futures spread is usually 0.003% of price.
AllowBuy
true
buys allowed

AllowSell
true
sells allowed
In case you'll want to use one side trading. I always use both sides even during strong bull market because there's a chance to get additional profit on sudden rapid corrections + you never know when the trend will revert.
CloseAtFriday
false
close all positions at friday evening

  CloseAtFridayHour  22 hour to close all at friday (GMT) In case your broker doesn't give a quote on weekend. The best results achieved when trading 24/7.

Testing

All tests were performed with Binance ETHUSDT spot prices. You can download this data from Binance only using API keys and Python script to transform prices to MT5 format. I provide this script here. Otherwise, you can simply use the MT5-compatible history file prepared by this script.

Create a custom symbol and fill it up with the history from that file as shown here

Tester should have following settings:

  • Period: M15
  • Dates: 2018.01.01 to 2024.04.01
  • Delays: zero latency, ideal execution
  • Modelling: open prices only (no need for better accuracy because the expert ensures enter price to be at the bar open price or puts a limit order)
  • Deposit: 8000 USD
  • Leverage: 1:500
  • Comission: 0.05% for both sides (USDT taker) which is the largest comission on Binance futures (in practice, comission will be between 0.05% and 0.02% because in some cases expert uses limit orders). Set it from my comission config file.

Test results by year and risk mode:

Dates Risk Net profit MaxDD MaxDD% Rec.factor
(net.prof./maxDD)
Deals Sharp 
year 2018 fix.lot=4 28 811 3532 34% 8.2 177 4.00
year 2019 fix.lot=4
5522 3931 34% 1.4 208 0.94
year 2020
fix.lot=4
21 390 2108 19% 10.1 194 3.95
year 2021
fix.lot=4
25 523 3505 29% 7.3 190 4.25
year 2022
fix.lot=4
22 405 3514 17% 6.4 216 4.02
year 2023
fix.lot=4
11 042 2353 21% 4.7 220 2.28
1.1.2018-1.4.2024
fix.lot=4
116 169 3931 34% 29.5 1263 2.32
1.1.2018-1.4.2024 lot=4 for every 20k bal. 1 796 594 168 296 18% 10.7 1263 3.27
BTC 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 32 400 29 409 77% 1.1 1  
ETH 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 30 640 40 410 89% 0.76  

Trading

I personally use this expert to trade on Binance futures. Since it was developed with spot prices it uses spot prices to analyze market and decide what to do but trades futures because of the lower fees and available leverage. It increases performance compared to analyzing futures prices.

See my simple guide how to run this expert in Binance trading mode.

Comparison between ETHUSDT Binance spot and Alpari Real account ETHEREUM CFD (0.07% comission + spread) performance from 1.10.2021 to 1.4.2024, fixlot=4:

symbol comission  net profit maxDD  rec.factor deals sharp
ETHUSDT Binance
 0.05% 38 100  3500 10.9 567 2.17
Alpari Real ETHEREUM CFD  0.07% + spread 33 400  3350 9.2 573 1.41

Of course you will need a VPS server to properly run this expert. I use it with Metatrader VPS.

Results

The results I got on my futures account with this expert absolutly satisfied me. I'm actively continue to trade it and involve more capital. I cannot provide link on my Binance live monitoring because of the Market rules, so I leave only an anonymized screenshot so you could evaluate the performance. For the same reason I provide no MQL signal with my expert: trading conditions that MT5-compatible brokers provide to trade Ethereum CFD are slightly worse than Binance futures.

Feel free to ask me any questions in PM after purchase.

Have a good trade!

References

[1] D. Bailey, J. Borwein, M. López de Prado and J. Zhu, The probability of backtest overfitting, 2013, working paper.

[2] D. Bailey and M. López de Prado, The Sharpe ratio efficient frontier, Journal of Risk 15(2) (2012), 3–44.

[3] Bailey, D., J. Borwein, M. L´opez de Prado and J. Zhu, “Pseudo-mathematics and financial charlatanism: The effects of backtest over fitting on out-of-sample performance,” Notices of the AMS, 61 May (2014), 458–471.

































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5 (7)
Oracle Trading Expert the Quintessence of Modern Programming Technologies Expert Oracle for MetaTrader, trading on GBPUSD and Gold, represents the quintessence of modern programming technologies. Our unique proprietary methods and developments are based on advanced machine learning concepts, making our trading expert truly one-of-a-kind. We offer cutting-edge modules and neural architecture that embody innovative advancements in financial programming. Our algorithms rely on in-depth data analysi
Aura Black Edition MT5
Stanislav Tomilov
4.17 (24)
Aura Black Edition is a fully automated EA designed to trade GOLD only. Expert showed stable results on XAUUSD in 2011-2020 period. No dangerous methods of money management used, no martingale, no grid or scalp. Suitable for any broker conditions. EA trained with a multilayer perceptron Neural Network (MLP) is a class of feedforward artificial neural network (ANN). The term MLP is used ambiguously, sometimes loosely to any feedforward ANN, sometimes strictly to refer to networks composed of mult
Bienvenido al asesor GoldEnergy, un operador activo para el par XAUUSD (GOLD). Desarrollado por nuestro equipo y disponible para cuentas regulares, cuentas autofinanciadas y tareas autodirigidas. ¡No uses HFT! See all products here:     https://www.mql5.com/en/users/fxmanagedforexltd/seller ***Precio de la versión anterior*** El beneficio mensual medio en tiempo real en una cuenta de 1000$ supera el 30%   :   https://www.mql5.com/es/signals/2212389 El sistema GoldEnergy utiliza gráficos de perío
AI NeuroX EA
Denis Kurnev
4.5 (14)
AI NeuroX EA is an innovative trading advisor based on advanced artificial intelligence technologies, including neural networks and the Perplexity and GPT-4 platforms. This advisor has a unique ability to analyze and predict the dynamics of financial markets using deep learning and advanced algorithms. Thanks to the intuition that even the most experienced traders would envy, AI NeuroX EA is capable of developing unprecedented trading strategies, ensuring excellent performance. This advisor oper
Gold Excel MT5
Gregory Hay
4.57 (14)
Bienvenido a       Versión GoldExcel EA MT5   , negociación válida en el par de divisas XAUUSD (GOLD) del día. ¡Diseñado por nuestro equipo para trabajar con cuentas regulares, cuentas patrocinadas y tareas! ¡No utilice operaciones de alta frecuencia! See all products here:   https://www.mql5.com/en/users/fxmanagedforexltd/seller El precio de oferta inicial aumenta cada pocas semanas. Live $1K account Aggressive :  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2133201 Live $5K Low Risk:  https://www.mql5.com/
SSX Titan TT
Artem Minchuk
3.28 (47)
Delving deep into the sphere of finance and trading strategies, I decided to conduct a series of experiments, exploring approaches based on reinforcement learning as well as those operating without it. Applying these methods, I managed to formulate a nuanced conclusion, pivotal for understanding the significance of unique strategies in contemporary trading. Neural network advisors, despite showcasing impressive efficiency in the initial stages, proved to be highly unstable in the long run. Vario
Hercules AI
Aleksandr Chebotaev
5 (4)
Hello, my name is Alexander. I would like to introduce you to my new development, the Hercules AI advisor. The advisor is synthesis of Price Action Method and Artificial Intelligence technologies.  It doesn't use  any indicators. The EA works well on Gold  pair. The advisor has shown stable performance for more than 10 years. It does not use dangerous trading methods such as martingale, etc. All transactions are protected by take profit and stop loss. I tried to make the advisor as easy to insta
Darwin Swing MT5
Guillaume Duportal
4.92 (38)
Darwin SWING Precio de lanzamiento 999 USD , precio futuro 1490 USD DESCRIPCIONES : -- Para entender cómo funciona, venga a leer el blog (Este EA refleja mi filosofía de comercio de divisas ... Si te gusta la forma en que veo las cosas, entonces te gustará mi EA. Tómate el tiempo para hacerlo. (Forex no es una carrera): https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/745790 -- Para ver los resultados anteriores aquí están los enlaces a las señales Señales en vivo y de demostración: https://ww
Way To Stars is a night scalping EA specifically designed to trade during periods of low market volatility to capitalize on low-risk opportunities. This night scalping EA focuses on capturing small price movements for frequent trading, thereby accumulating profits over time. It employs strict stop-loss measures to limit potential losses per trade, ensuring effective risk management. Way To Stars is a genuine and honest trading system that does not rely on purported neural networks, artificial i
XG Gold Robot MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.42 (73)
The XG Gold Robot MT5 is specially designed for Gold. We decided to include this EA in our offering after extensive testing . XG Gold Robot and works perfectly with the XAUUSD, GOLD, XAUEUR pairs. XG Gold Robot has been created for all traders who like to Trade in Gold and includes additional a function that displays weekly Gold levels with the minimum and maximum displayed in the panel as well as on the chart, which will help you in manual trading. It’s a strategy based on Price Action, Cycle S
Big Forex Players MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.79 (38)
We proudly present our cutting-edge robot, the Big Forex Players EA designed to maximize your trading potential, minimize emotional trading, and make smarter decisions powered by cutting-edge technology. The whole system in this EA took us many months to build, and then we spent a lot of time testing it. This unique EA includes three distinct strategies that can be used independently or in together. The robot receives the positions of the biggest Banks (positions are sent from our database to th
ET9 New on the Market, Launch promo! Only a few copies left at: $599 Next price: $799 Final price: $1599 The Best Expert Advisor  on   XAUUSD   any timeframes , It can also be used on GBPUSD at the same time! ET9  for MT5 Updated v4.20 !!      Important update: Enable automatic closing of profits,  Various parameters of the ET1 strategy can be modified, Optimized the stability of ET1 strategy Include Free ET1 for MT5:  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/113131 Dragon Ball MT5 Updated v1.30
Bienvenido a   IndexLORD EA MT5   , un eficaz sistema de especulación diseñado para los principales índices (NASDAQ/Dow Jones/SP500). Desarrollado por un equipo cuantitativo con más de 20 años de experiencia, este sistema es una máquina comercial agresiva y poderosa. ¡importante! Necesitará el conjunto de pruebas que le proporcioné para realizar las pruebas.       Sin pruebas retrospectivas       por defecto. Cada corredor tiene diferentes configuraciones dependiendo de la cantidad de números e
DaVinci Code EA
Shintaseftiana
3.4 (5)
The price of this EA will be increased steadily, to limit the number of users trading with this system. The Current price is 2 copies left of 5 provided , next price 999 usd,    so come on hurry up Introducing DaVinci Code EA - the ultimate Expert Advisor that's out of this world! This cutting-edge EA operates on a super advanced system with Market Structure and OrderBlock, all set to skyrocket your trading success. Live Signal     |     Channel    |    Setfile Although DaVinci Code EA can ru
Candle EA MT5
Mansour Babasafary
4.32 (41)
This expert is based on patterns The main patterns of this specialist are candlestick patterns Detects trends with candlestick patterns It has a profit limit and a loss limit, so it has a low risk The best time frame to use this expert is M30 time frame The best currency pairs to use with this expert is the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD currency pairs The price will increase by 100$ after every 10 purchases! Final price 2450$ Get a 50% bonus by buying (or even renting) any of our product
Ai Hybrid Robot MT5
Mansour Babasafary
1 (1)
71% discount for the next 5 buyers (original price $9000): 3 person left Get a 50% bonus by buying (or even renting) any of our products. After buying (or renting), send a message for more information. Several experts in one expert With this expert, you can use several up-to-date strategies Enhanced with artificial intelligence Can be used in several popular forex currencies Can be used in the most popular forex time frames Without using high-risk strategies Attributes : Can be used in t
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Versión 1.1 2024.04.27
Direct trading on Binance is added. Set parameter TradeBinance=true and add your API key and secret.