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Ethereum Star MT5

500 USD

Demo downloaded: 11

Published: 16 April 2024

Current version: 1.1

Ethereum Star MT5

Experts
Kristian Kafarov
Version: 1.1
Updated: 27 April 2024
Activations: 7

Trend following expert on Ethereum with live performance results (see screenshots) and MT5/Binance trading mode.

Introduction

Have you ever wonder why is it so hard to accumulate impressive capital using expert advisors? The key feature here is reinvestment. You need to constantly increase your deposit so you could receive greater income. And compound that income to your deposit again. Then the power of compound interest will increase your capital exponentially over time.

To do that you can choose between two types of expert advisors:

Martingale/grid experts with unlimited losses or experts with losses much greater than profits.
Experts with fixed losses which is less or comparable to profits.

In the first case you have to withdraw all your profit because sooner or later the expert will burn your entire deposit. Assuming typical performance of grid experts, it will take a year or more to simply return 100% of your investment.
In the second case you can compound your profit but it's difficult to achieve the same stability of performance compared to grid systems because such experts always tend to get overfitted to the past prices.

I've been stuck with this dilemma for a long time until I've created this expert.

Algorithm

On the one hand, it uses some adaptive conditions to enter the trend with a relatively short SL, follow that trend with trailing SL and exit or reverse at the end of the trend. These conditions adapt to the market situation.
On the other, it has some filters to avoid multiple losses during the flat phase, which were tuned based on my original technique that I call "an optimization without optimization". It was inspired by several research articles ([1], [2], [3]) where I found the answer why most of the optimization techniques used in algotrading are fail. This approach allows to reduce an overfitting to minimum.

Main properties of the expert:

No grid, no martingale, not holding loss positions for a long time.
Each deal has a fixed SL that can only be shortened.
Uses trailing SL to maximize profit from big trends.
Requires no optimization, use default settings adjusted to your deposit.
Shows stable historical results during both bull and bear crypto trends, high and low volatility, from 2018 to 2024.
Shows historical performance (rec.factor=29.5 with a fix.lot) compared to the best grid systems without dangerous trading methods.
Demonstrates live performance similar to test results (see screenshots).
Comply with FIFO rule.
Compatible with both netting and hedging accounts.
Minimal deposit is 100$.
The only recommended symbol is Ethereum. Can also be used with BNB but performance is worse.
The only recommended timeframe is M15.
Not sensitive to slippages and not critically sensitive to comission.

Parameters:

Parameter	Default value	Description	Comment
WorkTimeframe	PERIOD_M15	timeframe for trading via MT5	Preferrable timeframe is M15.
TradeBinance	false	trade on Binance	False for trading via MT5. True for trading directy on Binance Futures.
ApiBinance		your Binance account generated API	Required if TradeBinance=true.
SecretBinance		your Binance account generated secret	Required if TradeBinance=true.
SymbolBin	ETHUSDT	Binance instrument	Symbol name from Binance futures.
TimeFrameBin	15m	Binance timeframe	Preferrable is 15m. Others: 1m/3m/5m/15m/30m/1h/2h/4h/6h/8h/12h/1d/1w.
DigitsBin	2	decimals of Binance instrument	ETHUSDT has 2.
Lot	4	base lot	In practice, I use no more than 1 lot for every 1000 of balance
PriceNorm	3000	price for a volume = Lot	Needed to eliminate the impact of price level on risk. 3000 means it will trade 4 lots when ETH price is 3000, 3 lots when price is 4000, 6 lots when price is 2000 etc. It will keep the size of position (price x lot = 12000) same for every price level.
AdjustLotByBalance	false	increase lot with balance
BalanceNorm	8000	balance for a volume = Lot, when AdjustLotByBalance=true	If Lot=4 will trade 2 lots with 4000 balance, 3 lots with 6000 balance etc.
MaxSpread	0.2	max spread in % of price	On Binance ETHUSDT futures spread is usually 0.003% of price.
AllowBuy	true	buys allowed
AllowSell	true	sells allowed	In case you'll want to use one side trading. I always use both sides even during strong bull market because there's a chance to get additional profit on sudden rapid corrections + you never know when the trend will revert.
CloseAtFriday	false	close all positions at friday evening
CloseAtFridayHour	22	hour to close all at friday (GMT)	In case your broker doesn't give a quote on weekend. The best results achieved when trading 24/7.

Testing

All tests were performed with Binance ETHUSDT spot prices. You can download this data from Binance only using API keys and Python script to transform prices to MT5 format. I provide this script here. Otherwise, you can simply use the MT5-compatible history file prepared by this script.

Create a custom symbol and fill it up with the history from that file as shown here.

Tester should have following settings:

Period: M15
Dates: 2018.01.01 to 2024.04.01
Delays: zero latency, ideal execution
Modelling: open prices only (no need for better accuracy because the expert ensures enter price to be at the bar open price or puts a limit order)
Deposit: 8000 USD
Leverage: 1:500
Comission: 0.05% for both sides (USDT taker) which is the largest comission on Binance futures (in practice, comission will be between 0.05% and 0.02% because in some cases expert uses limit orders). Set it from my comission config file.

Test results by year and risk mode:

Dates	Risk	Net profit	MaxDD	MaxDD%	Rec.factor (net.prof./maxDD)	Deals	Sharp
year 2018	fix.lot=4	28 811	3532	34%	8.2	177	4.00
year 2019	fix.lot=4	5522	3931	34%	1.4	208	0.94
year 2020	fix.lot=4	21 390	2108	19%	10.1	194	3.95
year 2021	fix.lot=4	25 523	3505	29%	7.3	190	4.25
year 2022	fix.lot=4	22 405	3514	17%	6.4	216	4.02
year 2023	fix.lot=4	11 042	2353	21%	4.7	220	2.28
1.1.2018-1.4.2024	fix.lot=4	116 169	3931	34%	29.5	1263	2.32
1.1.2018-1.4.2024	lot=4 for every 20k bal.	1 796 594	168 296	18%	10.7	1263	3.27
BTC 1.1.2018-1.4.2024	buy and hold for 8000$	32 400	29 409	77%	1.1	1
ETH 1.1.2018-1.4.2024	buy and hold for 8000$	30 640	40 410	89%	0.76	1

Trading

I personally use this expert to trade on Binance futures. Since it was developed with spot prices it uses spot prices to analyze market and decide what to do but trades futures because of the lower fees and available leverage. It increases performance compared to analyzing futures prices.

See my simple guide how to run this expert in Binance trading mode.

Comparison between ETHUSDT Binance spot and Alpari Real account ETHEREUM CFD (0.07% comission + spread) performance from 1.10.2021 to 1.4.2024, fixlot=4:

symbol	comission	net profit	maxDD	rec.factor	deals	sharp
ETHUSDT Binance	0.05%	38 100	3500	10.9	567	2.17
Alpari Real ETHEREUM CFD	0.07% + spread	33 400	3350	9.2	573	1.41

Of course you will need a VPS server to properly run this expert. I use it with Metatrader VPS.

Results

The results I got on my futures account with this expert absolutly satisfied me. I'm actively continue to trade it and involve more capital. I cannot provide link on my Binance live monitoring because of the Market rules, so I leave only an anonymized screenshot so you could evaluate the performance. For the same reason I provide no MQL signal with my expert: trading conditions that MT5-compatible brokers provide to trade Ethereum CFD are slightly worse than Binance futures.

Feel free to ask me any questions in PM after purchase.

Have a good trade!

References

[1] D. Bailey, J. Borwein, M. López de Prado and J. Zhu, The probability of backtest overfitting, 2013, working paper.

[2] D. Bailey and M. López de Prado, The Sharpe ratio efficient frontier, Journal of Risk 15(2) (2012), 3–44.

[3] Bailey, D., J. Borwein, M. L´opez de Prado and J. Zhu, “Pseudo-mathematics and financial charlatanism: The effects of backtest over fitting on out-of-sample performance,” Notices of the AMS, 61 May (2014), 458–471.

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Darwin SWING Launch price 999 USD , future price 1490 USD DESCRIPTIONS: -- To understand how it works, come read the blog (This EA reflects my philosophy of forex trading...If you like the way I look at it, then you will like my EA. Take the time to do it! (Forex is not a race): https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/745790 -- To see the past performance here are the links of the signals Live and demo signals: https://www.mql5.com/en/users/tradedeal/seller EXPLANATION: After t

999 USD

Way To Stars is a night scalping EA specifically designed to trade during periods of low market volatility to capitalize on low-risk opportunities. This night scalping EA focuses on capturing small price movements for frequent trading, thereby accumulating profits over time. It employs strict stop-loss measures to limit potential losses per trade, ensuring effective risk management. Way To Stars is a genuine and honest trading system that does not rely on purported neural networks, artificial i

599 USD

The XG Gold Robot MT5 is specially designed for Gold. We decided to include this EA in our offering after extensive testing . XG Gold Robot and works perfectly with the XAUUSD, GOLD, XAUEUR pairs. XG Gold Robot has been created for all traders who like to Trade in Gold and includes additional a function that displays weekly Gold levels with the minimum and maximum displayed in the panel as well as on the chart, which will help you in manual trading. It’s a strategy based on Price Action, Cycle S

799 USD

We proudly present our cutting-edge robot, the Big Forex Players EA designed to maximize your trading potential, minimize emotional trading, and make smarter decisions powered by cutting-edge technology. The whole system in this EA took us many months to build, and then we spent a lot of time testing it. This unique EA includes three distinct strategies that can be used independently or in together. The robot receives the positions of the biggest Banks (positions are sent from our database to th

1 599 USD

ET9 New on the Market, Launch promo! Only a few copies left at: $599 Next price: $799 Final price: $1599 The Best Expert Advisor on XAUUSD any timeframes , It can also be used on GBPUSD at the same time！ ET9 for MT5 Updated v4.20 !! Important update: Enable automatic closing of profits, Various parameters of the ET1 strategy can be modified, Optimized the stability of ET1 strategy Include Free ET1 for MT5: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/113131 Dragon Ball MT5 Updated v1.30

599 USD

Welcome to IndexLORD EA MT5 , a highly effective scalping system designed for the major indices (NASDAQ/DOW/SP500). Developed by quant team with over 20 years experience, this system is an aggressive and powerful trading machine. IMPORTANT! You need back test sets from me to test, it DOES NOT BACK TEST in default. Each broker has different sets due to number of digits in the broker quote, (e.g we seen up to 4 variations of the DOW 30 can be showing as 38000, 38000.5, 38000.50 or 38000.500, th

699 USD

The price of this EA will be increased steadily, to limit the number of users trading with this system. The Current price is 2 copies left of 5 provided , next price 999 usd, so come on hurry up Introducing DaVinci Code EA - the ultimate Expert Advisor that's out of this world! This cutting-edge EA operates on a super advanced system with Market Structure and OrderBlock, all set to skyrocket your trading success. Live Signal | Channel | Setfile Although DaVinci Code EA can ru

799 USD

This expert is based on patterns The main patterns of this specialist are candlestick patterns Detects trends with candlestick patterns It has a profit limit and a loss limit, so it has a low risk The best time frame to use this expert is M30 time frame The best currency pairs to use with this expert is the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD currency pairs The price will increase by 100$ after every 10 purchases! Final price 2450$ Get a 50% bonus by buying (or even renting) any of our product

830 USD

71% discount for the next 5 buyers (original price $9000): 3 person left Get a 50% bonus by buying (or even renting) any of our products. After buying (or renting), send a message for more information. Several experts in one expert With this expert, you can use several up-to-date strategies Enhanced with artificial intelligence Can be used in several popular forex currencies Can be used in the most popular forex time frames Without using high-risk strategies Attributes : Can be used in t

2 560 USD

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Version 1.1 2024.04.27

Direct trading on Binance is added. Set parameter TradeBinance=true and add your API key and secret.