This article proposes using Rolling Windows Eigenvector Comparison for early imbalance diagnostics and portfolio rebalancing in a mean-reversion statistical arbitrage strategy based on cointegrated stocks. It contrasts this technique with traditional In-Sample/Out-of-Sample ADF validation, showing that eigenvector shifts can signal the need for rebalancing even when IS/OOS ADF still indicates a stationary spread. While the method is intended mainly for live trading monitoring, the article concludes that eigenvector comparison could also be integrated into the scoring system—though its actual contribution to performance remains to be tested.
This article describes two additional scoring criteria used for selection of baskets of stocks to be traded in mean-reversion strategies, more specifically, in cointegration based statistical arbitrage. It complements a previous article where liquidity and strength of the cointegration vectors were presented, along with the strategic criteria of timeframe and lookback period, by including the stability of the cointegration vectors and the time to mean reversion (half-time). The article includes the commented results of a backtest with the new filters applied and the files required for its reproduction are also provided.
In this article, we propose a scoring system for mean-reversion strategies based on statistical arbitrage of cointegrated stocks. The article suggests criteria that go from liquidity and transaction costs to the number of cointegration ranks and time to mean-reversion, while taking into account the strategic criteria of data frequency (timeframe) and the lookback period for cointegration tests, which are evaluated before the score ranking properly. The files required for the reproduction of the backtest are provided, and their results are commented on as well.
This article proposes an asset screening process for a statistical arbitrage trading strategy through cointegrated stocks. The system starts with the regular filtering by economic factors, like asset sector and industry, and finishes with a list of criteria for a scoring system. For each statistical test used in the screening, a respective Python class was developed: Pearson correlation, Engle-Granger cointegration, Johansen cointegration, and ADF/KPSS stationarity. These Python classes are provided along with a personal note from the author about the use of AI assistants for software development.
This article describes a simple but comprehensive statistical arbitrage pipeline for trading a basket of cointegrated stocks. It includes a fully functional Python script for data download and storage; correlation, cointegration, and stationarity tests, along with a sample Metatrader 5 Service implementation for database updating, and the respective Expert Advisor. Some design choices are documented here for reference and for helping in the experiment replication.
This article presents a sample MQL5 Service implementation for updating a newly created database used as source for data analysis and for trading a basket of cointegrated stocks. The rationale behind the database design is explained in detail and the data dictionary is documented for reference. MQL5 and Python scripts are provided for the database creation, schema initialization, and market data insertion.
This article presents a sample Expert Advisor implementation for trading a basket of four Nasdaq stocks. The stocks were initially filtered based on Pearson correlation tests. The filtered group was then tested for cointegration with Johansen tests. Finally, the cointegrated spread was tested for stationarity with the ADF and KPSS tests. Here we will see some notes about this process and the results of the backtests after a small optimization.
This article aims to provide a trader-friendly, gentle introduction to the most common cointegration tests, along with a simple guide to understanding their results. The Engle-Granger and Johansen cointegration tests can reveal statistically significant pairs or groups of assets that share long-term dynamics. The Johansen test is especially useful for portfolios with three or more assets, as it calculates the strength of cointegrating vectors all at once.
This article describes the fundamentals of portfolio-level statistical arbitrage. Its goal is to facilitate the understanding of the principles of statistical arbitrage to readers without deep math knowledge and propose a starting point conceptual framework. The article includes a working Expert Advisor, some notes about its one-year backtest, and the respective backtest configuration settings (.ini file) for the reproduction of the experiment.
This article is the last part of a series describing our development steps of a native MQL5 client for the MQTT 5.0 protocol. Although the library is not production-ready yet, in this part, we will use our client to update a custom symbol with ticks (or rates) sourced from another broker. Please, see the bottom of this article for more information about the library's current status, what is missing for it to be fully compliant with the MQTT 5.0 protocol, a possible roadmap, and how to follow and contribute to its development.
This article is the sixth part of a series describing our development steps of a native MQL5 client for the MQTT 5.0 protocol. In this part we comment on the main changes in our first refactoring, how we arrived at a viable blueprint for our packet-building classes, how we are building PUBLISH and PUBACK packets, and the semantics behind the PUBACK Reason Codes.
This article is the fifth part of a series describing our development steps of a native MQL5 client for the MQTT 5.0 protocol. In this part we describe the structure of PUBLISH packets, how we are setting their Publish Flags, encoding Topic Name(s) strings, and setting Packet Identifier(s) when required.
This article is the fourth part of a series describing our development steps of a native MQL5 client for the MQTT protocol. In this part, we describe what MQTT v5.0 Properties are, their semantics, how we are reading some of them, and provide a brief example of how Properties can be used to extend the protocol.
This article is the third part of a series describing our development steps of a native MQL5 client for the MQTT protocol. In this part, we describe in detail how we are using Test-Driven Development to implement the Operational Behavior part of the CONNECT/CONNACK packet exchange. At the end of this step, our client MUST be able to behave appropriately when dealing with any of the possible server outcomes from a connection attempt.
This article is part of a series describing our development steps of a native MQL5 client for the MQTT protocol. In this part we describe our code organization, the first header files and classes, and how we are writing our tests. This article also includes brief notes about the Test-Driven-Development practice and how we are applying it to this project.
This article reports the first attempts in the development of a native MQTT client for MQL5. MQTT is a Client Server publish/subscribe messaging transport protocol. It is lightweight, open, simple, and designed to be easy to implement. These characteristics make it ideal for use in many situations.
This article describes four methods for connecting MQL5 code to a Postgres database and provides a step-by-step tutorial for setting up a development environment for one of them, a REST API, using the Windows Subsystem For Linux (WSL). A demo app for the API is provided along with the corresponding MQL5 code to insert data and query the respective tables, as well as a demo Expert Advisor to consume this data.