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Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.12 07:00
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: National Australia Bank Business Confidence and 44 pips price movement
2016-07-12 01:30 GMT | [AUD - NAB Business Confidence]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - NAB Business Confidence] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed businesses, excluding the farming industry.
AUD/USD M5: 44 pips price movement by National Australia Bank Business Confidence news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.13 07:42
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment and 17 pips price movement
2016-07-13 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Westpac Consumer Sentiment]
[AUD - Westpac Consumer Sentiment] = Change in the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers.
AUD/USD M5: 17 pips price movement by Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.14 08:57
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Employment Change and 38 pips price movement
2016-07-14 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]
[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.
TREND ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)
AUD/USD M5: 38 pips price movement by Australian Employment Change news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.16 11:34
Fundamental Weekly Forecasts for Dollar Index, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, NZD/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CNH and GOLD (based on the article)
AUD/USD - "On the geopolitical front, an attempted
military coup in Turkey late Friday complicates the landscape further.
The country’s proximity to and significant economic linkages with
Western Europe may fuel fears that turmoil there will amplify existing
post-Brexit vulnerabilities, catalyzing a broader unraveling."
D1 price is located above 200 SMA for the bullish condition on ranging within the following support/resistance levels:
If the price will break 0.7657 resistance level so the primary bullish trend will be continuing with 0.7834 bullish target.If price will break 0.7324 support so the reversal of the daily price movement from the primary bullish to the primary bearish market condition will be started with 0.7144 nearest bearish daily target.If not so the price will be ranging within the levels.
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.19 06:54
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and and 41 pips price movement
2016-07-19 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for NZD in our case)
[AUD - Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes] = It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent
meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that
influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.
From Economic Calendar article:
Officials at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are awaiting further
information on growth and inflation before deciding whether to adjust
monetary policy, the minutes of the July 5 meetings revealed Tuesday.
“The Board noted that further information on inflationary pressures,
the labour market and housing market activity would be available over
the following month and that the staff would provide an update of their
forecasts ahead of the August Statement on Monetary Policy,” the
official July 5 minutes said. “This information would allow the Board to
refine its assessment of the outlook for growth and inflation and to
make any adjustment to the stance of policy that may be appropriate.”
The RBA voted to keep its benchmark interest rate at 1.75%
earlier this month. That was the second consecutive month interest
rates have remained on hold. Policymakers voted to cut the benchmark
rate by 25 basis points to 1.75% in May, a new all-time low.
AUD/USD M5: 41 pips price movement by RBA Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.22 07:50
AUD/USD Intra-Day Technical Analysis - bearish ranging within narrow levels (adapted from the article)
is located below 100 SMA/200 SMA reversal in the primary bearish area of the chart. The price is on ranging within key support/resistance levels waiting for direction.
SUMMARY : ranging
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.22 11:11
Technical Targets for AUD/USD by United Overseas Bank (based on the article)
is below Ichimoku for the bearish market condition with the ranging within the following key narrow s/r levels:
Strength indicator is estimating the
ranging market condition in the near future.
price. United Overseas Bank is expecting for this pair to be more bearish:
"The price action is line with our expectation but the down-move has been
more rapid than expected and a clear break below 0.7445 would greatly
increase the odds for further decline to 0.7400, possibly to 0.7330.
Overall, this pair is expected to stay under pressure unless it can
reclaim 0.7560. On a shorter-term note, 0.7530 is already a strong
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.26 13:10
Trading News Events: The Conference Board Consumer Confidence
2016-07-26 14:00 GMT | [USD - CB Consumer Confidence]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)
[USD - CB Consumer Confidence] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.
From the article:
EUR/USD H1: bullish ranging near bearish reversal.
The price is on ranging near and above Ichimoku cloud within the following key reversal support/resistance levels:
AUD/USD H1: ranging for the bullish continuation or for the bearish reversal.
The price is located above Ichimoku cloud in the bullish area of the chart for the ranging within the following key reversal support/resistance levels:
AUD/USD M5: 10 pips price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.07.27 07:22
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Consumer Price Index and 108 pips range price movement
2016-07-27 01:30 GMT | [AUD - CPI]
[AUD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
AUD/USD M5: 108 pips range price movement by Australian Consumer Price Index news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.08.03 15:31
2016-08-03 12:15 GMT | [USD - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change]
[USD - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change] = Estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government.
AUD/USD M5: 18 pips price movement by ADP Non-Farm Employment Change news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.08.04 07:03
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Retail Sales and 29 pips range price movement
2016-08-04 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Retail Sales]
[AUD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.
AUD/USD M5: 29 pips range price movement by Australian Retail Sales news event