Gunn, astromechanics. Forecasts, discussion - page 126

 

The market seems to have turned around. I was expecting high on 03.12, but high the market drew today, which is within +/- 1-2 days. The first downside target is 1.2880.

Regards, Alexander.

 

First target reached.Low falls on 09.12.12. Most likely low will be tomorrow, after that a bounce is possible. The "Three Black Crows" reversal candlestick pattern on the daily chart is a sign of falling prices. The fall, which started on 17.10.12, should end on 29.01.13. Cancellation of this option will be a rise in price above the level - 1.3125 or as time expires. Downside targets ~ 1.2480 - 1.2460 is the first target, ~ 1.2370 is the second target.

On the monthly chart, November closed 'hung'. If December closes with a black candlestick it will be another confirmation of the bearish nature of the market.

Regards, Alexander.

 

On 10.12. the market reversed as expected, but I did not think there would be such an increase. Although subconsciously I had great doubts. There was only five figures maximum for the fall, and there was a whole wagonload of time left. But the more complicated the pattern becomes, the more certain I am that a triangle is forming. There should be a high on 15.12, which again falls on a Sunday. Probably high will be on Monday. If price does not move above the ~1.3170 level, then the possibility of the main option remains valid. In wave-(b) c= a * 0.618. If on 12/15 +/- 1-2 days the market will not reverse, the growth will probably continue till the level ~ 1.3350.

Regards, Alexander.


 

Alexander, why don't you only take trading days? I don't count weekends!

 
mike2211:

Alexander, why don't you only take trading days? I don't count weekends!


Hi. I use different options so that I only use the ones that work afterwards.
 

Reached 50% Fibo from the fall that started on 29.08.11 and ended on 24.07.12. It would be desirable to reach the level of ~1.3350. Wave-4 of the previous fall ended at this level, and equality of waves (c = a) would be observed in wave-b.

The fall of 29.08.11 amounted to - 232 days. The rise from 24.07.12 reached - 106 days. Looking at Gann's square 9, these figures 232 and 106 lie almost on one line, but separated by 360 degrees. By the same 9 Gunn's square high falls on 19.12.12, if we take 29.08.11 as a reference point. From this we can suppose that the probability of the reversal is very high.

Sincerely , Alexander.

 

Finally, let's move. While the main variant remains in force. I am waiting for the completion of the model on 31.01. Till this date the following reversal dates are possible within the model: 10.01; 21.01 and 24.01. It is very likely that now we draw the corrective model "wrong plane", which was higher not so long ago on the weekly chart. As soon as the model finishes on 31.01. at one of the expected levels ~1.2880 or ~1.2630, it will be possible to calculate the resistance level of the future growth in the wave-c, which should be finished by 31.05.12.

Regards, Alexander.

 

The first date has been worked out. The next reversal dates are 21.01; 24.01 and 31.01 to complete the pattern. Stop at the level of ~ 1.3300.

Regards, Alexander.

 

I'll add another option. What model it will be doesn't really matter. Time is of the essence.

Sincerely , Alexander.

 

Changed the layout, but the general pattern is the same. Possible rise to the level of ~1.3500. Possible reversal dates are 21.01; 24.01; 31.01 and 07.02.

Regards , Alexander.

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