EURUSD - Trends, Forecasts and Implications (Part 1) - page 662

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Noterday писал(а) >>
Man, can we still predict the M1 chart?) I'm generally saying that the move could go as far as 1.53. Clearly there will be pullbacks along the way)))

On the H4 we take the low point and relatively to it build the movement through the corrective wave in the form of a flag (here the middle point of the whole movement) and get the point 1.5220, M1 is more confusing for the trade than useful. I had defined the reach as far back as last week, when the last rush to the lower trend line of the flag support started.

 
The market needs to pick up new contracts for the next surge, so the correction just has to be down. The exchange rate is now more or less under control than at the start of the crisis.
 


I think I survived, even made a bit of a profit

 
Noterday >> :

Most likely ~to 1.53 +/-.

Most likely so.

 

Yesterday, anticipating strong moves, moved the bot from a hard TR to a trailing one,

The results were pleasing, the drawdown was minimal

Ticket Open Time Type Size Item Price S / L T / P Close Time Price Commission Taxes Swap Profit
11378688 25.11.2009 20:45 sell 1.10 usdchf 0.9960 0.9940 0.0000 26.11.2009 4:44 0.9940 0.00 0.00 -3.64 221.33
11383673 26.11.2009 3:36 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5110 1.5116 0.0000 26.11.2009 4:39 1.5116 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.00
11368455 25.11.2009 12:30 sell 1.10 usdchf 1.0020 0.9971 0.0000 26.11.2009 3:14 0.9971 0.00 0.00 -3.64 540.57
11373892 25.11.2009 16:07 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5060 1.5117 0.0000 26.11.2009 1:30 1.5117 0.00 0.00 -1.98 627.00
11378694 25.11.2009 20:22 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5110 1.5117 0.0000 26.11.2009 1:30 1.5117 0.00 0.00 -1.98 77.00
11368837 25.11.2009 12:40 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5085 1.5117 0.0000 26.11.2009 1:30 1.5117 0.00 0.00 -1.98 352.00
11368800 25.11.2009 12:35 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5060 1.5067 0.0000 25.11.2009 12:59 1.5067 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.00
11204439 16.11.2009 20:09 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5010 1.5022 0.0000 25.11.2009 11:29 1.5022 0.00 0.00 -5.94 132.00
11363561 25.11.2009 9:09 sell 1.10 usdchf 1.0050 1.0046 0.0000 25.11.2009 11:20 1.0046 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.80

0.00 0.00 -19.16 2 136.70
Closed P/L: 2 117.54
Open Trades:
Ticket Open Time Type Size Item Price S / L T / P Price Commission Taxes Swap Profit
11040376 06.11.2009 14:36 sell 0.70 eurusd 1.4825 0.0000 0.0000
1.5103 0.00 0.00 -15.40 -1 946.00
11300326 20.11.2009 16:13 sell 1.10 eurusd 1.4850 0.0000 0.0000 1.5103 0.00 0.00 -7.26 -2 783.00
11309518 23.11.2009 1:44 sell 1.10 eurusd 1.4900 0.0000 0.0000
1.5103 0.00 0.00 -6.05 -2 233.00
11359238 25.11.2009 1:32 sell 1.10 eurusd 1.4975 0.0000 0.0000 1.5103 0.00 0.00 -3.63 -1 408.00
11378761 25.11.2009 20:23 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5135 0.0000 0.0000
1.5101 0.00 0.00 -1.98 -374.00
11384447 26.11.2009 4:44 buy 1.10 eurusd 1.5110 0.0000 0.0000 1.5101 0.00 0.00 0.00 -99.00
11386226 26.11.2009 6:58 sell 1.10 usdchf 0.9960 0.0000 0.0000
0.9968 0.00 0.00 0.00 -88.28

0.00 0.00 -34.32 -8 931.28

Floating P/L: -8 965.60
Working Orders:
Ticket Open Time Type Size Item Price S / L T / P Market Price
No transactions

Summary:
Deposit/Withdrawal: 0.00 Credit Facility: 0.00
Closed Trade P/L: 2 117.54 Floating P/L: -8 965.60 Margin: 3 544.98
Balance: 32 764.99 Equity: 23 799.39 Free Margin: 20 254.41
 

sonic's comment:

http://www.arif.ee/invision/index.php?showtopic=4193&view=findpost&p=76255

i like this guy ;)

 
Oh, fresh bear meat has arrived :)
 
forex-k >> :

and if p= 100pts or 200pts then the stops should be 25pts too?


Yesterday the same smart guys settled on 1.5 with a 100 pips stop

at 1.51 they all got blown away

a very bright very illustrative example

that gap was solely due to a massive pullback of stops as market analysis showed no pre-requisites for a gap

 
forex-k >> :

and if tr == 100p or 200p then what stops should also be 25p? don't agree

They can be. But stops are a measure of the risk allowed by the TS, i.e. a stop of 100pts on a 100pt profit means there is no stability of profit. And we have to be able to work in any market condition and to work stably. For this you really need to be able to work with short stops.

 

Euras is about to go down, for the next six months for sure...H1


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