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凭借超过16年的金融市场实战经验,我专注于为MT4/MT5开发高性能外汇交易策略、技术指标及自动化智能交易系统(Expert Advisors)。我的工作涵盖精密设计的交易系统,注重准确性、稳定性和实际可操作性。

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Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Gold (#XAUUSD): Time To Sell 🟡

🔻Gold is retesting a recently broken structure.
The price has nicely respected a confluence point based on the underlined resistance and 618 retracement of the last bearish impulse.

As the extra confirmation, the price formed a double top pattern.

I expect a bearish move to 1808 / 1801
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#USDJPY: Bulls May Push Higher

Update for my Friday's post on 🟢USDJPY.
The price managed to close above a solid resistance cluster.
It turned into a support now.

The bullish rally will most likely continue.
Next resistance - 137.8

Wait for an occasional retest of a broken structure for safer entries.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Dollar Index (#DXY): Key Levels to Watch

Here is my latest structure analysis for ⚠️Dollar Index.

Resistance 1: 105.3 - 105.8 area
Resistance 2: 106.8 - 107.2 area
Resistance 3: 107.80 - 108 area

Support 1: 103.6 - 103.95 area
Support 2: 102.25 - 103.2 area

Vertical Support 1: rising trend line

Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Gold (#XAUUSD): The Breakout! 🟡

So it turned out that 🔻Gold dropped again.
After the release of US fundamentals on Friday,
bears started to push.

The price managed to close below a key daily horizontal structure support cluster.
It turned into resistance now.

Probabilities are high, and the market will keep falling next week.
Next support - 1787
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#USDJPY: Waiting For a Breakout

⚠️USDJPY is testing a solid horizontal daily resistance.
If the price breaks and closes above 134.5 - 135.5 area,
it will push the market much higher.

The next goal for buyers will be 137.6 level.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Nasdaq-100 Index (#US100) Short Trade Explained

🔻Nasdaq Index is approaching a key daily structure resistance.
The price has formed a descending triangle formation on that on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken, and an hourly candle closed below that, confirming a highly probable coming bearish movement.

Next support: 12000
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#EURGBP: Time to Fall

EURGBP has nicely respected a wide 4H horizontal supply area.
The price formed a triple top pattern on that and broke its neckline then.

I expect a bearish move to 0.8798 / 0.8789
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#GBPAUD: Important Breakout

🟢GBPAUD was stuck for some time on 1.75 - 1.763 horizontal supply area.
That structure was finally broken this week.
It turned in a demand zone now.

I will expect a bullish wave from that at least to 1.788
15 Best Forex Breakout Strategies
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#CADJPY: Pullback From Key Level

CADJPY reached a solid horizontal key level yesterday.
The price formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on that on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken then.

I expect a bullish move to 100.0 / 100.25
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
GOLD (#XAUUSD): Update & The Thing to Watch

The market keeps coiling on a critical daily horizontal support.

Analyzing a 4H time frame, I spotted a potential inverted head & shoulders pattern.
The price has already completed the left shoulder and the head and currently, it is forming the right shoulder.

1842 - 1850 is its horizontal neckline.
The trigger to buy Gold will be its bullish breakout (4h candle close above).
A bullish continuation will be expected to 1866 / 1879 levels then.

If the price sets a new low, the pattern will become invalid though.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
DOLLAR INDEX (#DXY) Bullish Continuation

Update for my yesterday's post on 🟢Dollar Index.

The market successfully broke the neckline of a triple bottom pattern on 4H.
We see a positive bullish reaction after a retest.

A bullish continuation is expected now to 104.56 / 104.95
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#USDCAD: Important Breakout

🟢USDCAD suddenly bounced yesterday.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle, breaking a solid horizontal resistance and a primary falling trend line.

I believe that bulls may push the price much higher now.
Next goal - 1.366
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#NZDJPY: Pullback From Key Level

NZDJPY is taking off from key support.
The price formed a double bottom on that and broke its neckline.

Goals: 84.35 / 84.8
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained

CADJPY broke and closed above a solid horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone.

Probabilities are high that a bullish wave will initiate from that.
The goal for buyers - 101.0
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Dollar Index (#DXY): Your Detailed Trading Plan

We have spotted earlier a confirmed structure breakout on Dollar Index.
The market is retesting that at the moment.

To catch a bullish move from that with a confirmation, watch a double-bottom pattern on the 4H time frame.

104.05 - 104.09 is its neckline.
Wait for its bullish breakout; we need a 4H candle close above that to confirm the violation.

A bullish continuation will be expected then to 104.55.

If the price sets a new lower low, the setup will become invalid.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
USDJPY: Key Levels to Watch This Week

Here is my fresh structure analysis for ⚠️USDJPY.

Resistance 1: 134.48 - 135.475 area
Resistance 2: 137.6 - 138.6 area

Support 1: 132.6 - 132.9 area
Support 2: 129.7 - 131.05 area
Support 3: 127.2 - 128.2 area

Consider these structures for pullback, breakout trading.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
EURNZD: Classic Bullish Setup

EURNZD broke and closed above a neckline of a huge ascending triangle formation on a daily.
Watch the underlined blue zone carefully. It is a contracting buy zone based on a trend line and a broken neckline.

I will expect a bullish wave from that.
Next resistance - 0.728
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Gold (#XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week

⚠️Gold reached a solid horizontal key level this week.
The price formed a doji candle on that on Thursday and then a rejection candle was formed.

We see the attempt of buyers to push.
To catch a pullback, watch a falling parallel channel and a minor horizontal supply zone.
I would suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of these 2. It will most likely trigger the initiation of a correctional movement.
Let 4h candle close above the trend line and a yellow area to confirm the breakout.

Goal will be 1866.

I will monitor this trading setup and post an update later on.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained

CADJPY broke and closed above a wide horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone now.

Probabilities will be high that the price will bounce from that.
Next resistance - 100.95
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Dollar Index (#DXY): Important Breakout

So the range, that we spotted earlier on Dollar Index, is finally broken.
The market successfully closed above that on a daily.

Now a further bullish continuation is expected.
Next target - 105.1