Spike Fade Grid GBPUSD
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Spike Fade Grid GBPUSD
Spike Fade Grid trades one simple, well-tested idea on GBPUSD M15: after a sharp spike, price often retraces. The EA waits for the spike to be confirmed, enters against it, and manages the trade with a small 3-level grid and a fixed stop loss for the whole cycle.
HOW IT WORKS
- Entry: a 2-bar move of at least 4 x ATR(14) with above-average volume, followed by the first candle in the opposite direction.
- Trend filter: trades only in the direction of the daily trend (yesterday's close vs EMA 20 on D1).
- Grid: up to 3 positions per cycle, 45 pips apart, lots 1 - 2 - 4 (limited martingale).
- Stop loss: a real, fixed SL for every position at 135 pips from the first entry. No unlimited averaging, no open-ended drawdown.
- Exit: all positions close together when the cycle profit reaches 0.75 x step x total open lots, or after 36 market hours (weekends are not counted).
- Up to 2 cycles at the same time.
- No new cycles after 18:00 and no new positions 22:00-01:00 (server time).
RISK MANAGEMENT
- Lot size is calculated automatically: if all positions of a cycle hit the stop loss, the loss equals RiskPercent of the balance (default 4%).
- Free margin and broker stop level are checked before every order.
- The EA takes over its own open positions after a terminal restart.
INPUTS (only 5)
- RiskPercent - risk per cycle in % of balance (0 = use FirstLot)
- FirstLot - fixed lot of the first position when RiskPercent = 0
- MaxCycles - maximum cycles open at the same time (default 2)
- LogToFile - writes a CSV file per cycle and per position for your own analysis
- Magic - magic number
BACKTEST (GBPUSD M15, real ticks, Jan 2020 - Oct 2026, RiskPercent 4%)
- Starting balance 10,000 -> 45,243
- Every calendar year profitable; 13 of 14 half-years profitable
- Maximum drawdown 8.4%
- About 8 cycles per month, about 80% of cycles closed in profit
- Monte Carlo (10,000 runs): typical maximum drawdown about 10%, 1 in 20 runs above about 15%. Plan for this, not for the backtest figure.
REQUIREMENTS
- Symbol: GBPUSD only. Timeframe: M15 (the EA always calculates on M15).
- Account: HEDGING account (positions must stay separate). Netting accounts are not supported.
- Minimum balance: about 1,250 USD for RiskPercent 4% with 0.01 minimum lot, or a cent account.
- Low spread broker recommended (the EA skips entries with spread above 3 pips).
- Backtest with "Every tick based on real ticks".
IMPORTANT
This EA uses a grid with increasing lots (1-2-4). Losing cycles are rare but each one costs the full RiskPercent, and two cycles can hit the stop loss on the same day. Use a risk level you can accept and test on a demo account first.
Past results, including backtests, do not guarantee future results. Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
