Tokyo Gold Breakout EA

Tokyo-Gold-Breakout-EA

Gold-only Tokyo/Asia range breakout Expert Advisor for MetaTrader 5.

Tokyo-Gold-Breakout-EA is a low-frequency, selective trading robot designed specifically for GOLD / XAUUSD. It waits for the Tokyo/Asia session range to complete, then looks for confirmed upside breakout opportunities on M15.

This EA is built for traders who prefer fewer, more selective setups with defined risk management. It is not designed to trade every day and it is not a high-frequency scalping robot.

Launch price

99 USD for the first 5 licenses. After the first 5 licenses, the standard purchase price is planned to be 149 USD.

Main Concept

Gold often forms a meaningful range during the Tokyo/Asia session. When price later breaks above that range with enough strength, the move can sometimes continue during more active market hours.

Tokyo-Gold-Breakout-EA measures the completed Tokyo/Asia range, checks the quality of that range with ATR-based filters, and waits for a confirmed M15 close above the range with an additional ATR breakout buffer. If the setup is valid, the EA opens a buy position with a structured stop-loss and risk-based lot sizing.

Core Strategy

• Gold / XAUUSD focused
• M15 timeframe
• Tokyo/Asia session range breakout logic
• Long-only default configuration
• Breakout-only default configuration
• No grid
• No martingale
• No averaging or recovery stacking

Key Features

• Designed for GOLD / XAUUSD
• ATR-based Tokyo/Asia range filter
• ATR-based breakout confirmation buffer
• Fixed stop-loss structure
• Risk-percent lot sizing
• Breakeven management
• ATR trailing stop management
• Daily loss control
• Overall loss control
• Daily profit stop option
• Spread filter
• Maximum trades per day
• Friday close / new-entry stop option
• Optional MT5 economic calendar news filter

Why Long-Only?

During development, the Gold long breakout side showed better behavior than the short side and the failed-break fade logic. For that reason, the default version focuses on the stronger tested behavior: Gold long breakouts after the Tokyo/Asia range.

Short trading and fade trading are included as inputs but are disabled by default. The recommended product configuration is long-only and breakout-only.

Low-Frequency Design

This EA may stay inactive for several days or even weeks when the required market conditions do not appear. This is normal behavior.

Tokyo-Gold-Breakout-EA is not a daily-trade robot. It is built to avoid weak setups and wait for specific Gold breakout conditions. If you want an EA that opens many trades every day, this product may not be suitable for you.

Recommended Setup

Recommended symbol:

• GOLD
• XAUUSD
• Broker-specific Gold symbols containing XAU or GOLD

Recommended timeframe: M15

Recommended testing model: Every tick based on real ticks, when available

Recommended starting risk: 0.25% to 0.50% risk per trade

The EA uses broker server time for all session settings. The default entry window is:

InpTradeStartHour = 7
InpTradeEndHour = 16

For XM-like server time, this is approximately 13:00-22:00 Japan time in summer and 14:00-23:00 Japan time in winter. Please check your broker's server time before live use.

Default Strategy Settings

Breakout mode: enabled
Fade mode: disabled
Long trades: enabled
Short trades: disabled
Breakout buffer: 0.20 ATR
Minimum range: 0.35 ATR
Maximum range: 1.50 ATR
Breakout reward/risk: 1.70
Entry window: server time 7-16

Reference Backtest

The following results are reference backtests from the development environment. They are not a guarantee of future performance.

Main test conditions:
Symbol: GOLD
Timeframe: M15
Period: 2022.01.01 - 2026.05.15
Initial deposit: 10,000 USD
Model: Every tick based on real ticks
EA version: 1.002
Settings: default settings

Main reference, ideal execution:
Trades: 48
Net profit: +794.23
Profit factor: 2.14
Expected payoff: +16.55
Balance drawdown: around 1.95%
Equity drawdown: around 2.35%
Win rate: 66.67%
Direction: long only

Main reference, random execution delay:
Trades: 48
Net profit: +658.39
Profit factor: 1.85
Expected payoff: +13.72
Balance drawdown: around 1.93%
Equity drawdown: around 2.49%
Win rate: 62.50%
Direction: long only

Long-period reference, ideal execution:
Period: 2020.01.01 - 2026.05.15
Trades: 67
Net profit: +704.30
Profit factor: 1.66
Expected payoff: +10.51
Balance drawdown: around 1.96%
Equity drawdown: around 2.37%
Win rate: 61.19%
Direction: long only

Recent-period random delay reference:
Period: 2024.01.01 - 2026.05.15
Trades: 21
Net profit: +532.24
Profit factor: 3.95
Expected payoff: +25.34
Balance drawdown: around 0.53%
Equity drawdown: around 0.90%
Win rate: 76.19%
Direction: long only

Year-by-Year Reference

2022: Trades 11 / Net +186.35 / PF 2.10 / Expected +16.94
2023: Trades 16 / Net +44.10 / PF 1.13 / Expected +2.76
2024: Trades 14 / Net +277.44 / PF 2.55 / Expected +19.82
2025: Trades 6 / Net +203.38 / no losing trades in the test
2026: Trades 1 / Net +25.05 / no losing trades in the test

The strategy was positive in each tested year, but the total sample size is limited. The year 2023 was weaker than the other years. Please understand this before using the EA.

Who This EA May Be Suitable For

• Traders who want a Gold-focused automated strategy
• Traders who prefer low-frequency, selective trading
• Traders who want to avoid grid and martingale systems
• Traders who prefer fixed risk and controlled exposure
• Traders who can evaluate an EA over a sufficient period
• Traders who understand that some weeks may have no trades

Who This EA May Not Be Suitable For

• Traders who want many trades every day
• Traders who want a high-frequency scalping robot
• Traders who want a grid, martingale, or recovery system
• Traders who judge an EA only by short-term trade count
• Traders who cannot accept quiet periods with no trades
• Traders who expect backtest results to repeat exactly in live trading

Important Notes

• Use the default settings first.
• Test the EA on your broker's Gold symbol before live trading.
• Broker symbol specifications, spread, contract size, trading hours, and execution quality can affect results.
• A VPS is recommended for stable execution.
• Low-spread and reliable execution conditions are preferable.
• The EA is designed for Gold. Other symbols are not recommended unless you test them yourself.

Risk Disclaimer

Trading involves risk. Backtest results do not guarantee future results. This EA can lose money. Performance can change due to market conditions, broker execution, spread, slippage, server time, symbol specifications, and user settings.

Tokyo-Gold-Breakout-EA is a systematic trading tool. It is not financial advice and does not guarantee profit.

Please test on a demo account first and use risk settings appropriate for your account size and risk tolerance.