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Scientific trade

5

              An extremely convenient indicator that truly makes the process of making money on the exchange easy. It is based on the scientifically rigorous theory of the market developed by the author, the beginning of which is presented here.

               The full algorithm of this indicator operation is presented in the article.

              The indicator calculates the most probable price movement trajectory and displays it on the chart. Based on the predicted price movement trajectory, the indicator calculates the direction of the position and the position of the take profit. Based on the statistically calculated uncertainty of the trajectory of the predicted price movement, the selected risk level and the size of the deposit, the indicator also calculates the lot size and stop loss position. The averaging period of the indicator is selected based on the maximum probability of winning, which is presented for each period on the main chart of the trading terminal.

              It is better to use M1-M15 timeframes in the indicator;  at the same time, it is recommended to play according to the global trend, determined on H4, D1, i.e. if the indicator gives a SELL signal, then this position is opened when the global trend is down; if the indicator signal is BUY, then the position is opened when the global trend is up.               

           After choosing a timeframe, you sort through the averaging values like 20, 30, 40, …, 200 and look at the trading terminal at what value the maximum probability of winning is achieved. This is the value you should use. Since the averaging period of the indicator must be selected manually in the process of moving along the price history, the indicator readings in the tester cannot reflect the full effectiveness of its work and may be incorrect.

              To automatically determine the optimal averaging period (which gives the maximum probability of winning), the CalculateScientificTradePeriod script has been developed. 


              The operation of the indicator is based on predicting the market's own trends, so it is not recommended to use it before and immediately after strong news, as well as in case of strong market volatility, especially if the volatility is the result of crisis processes. The indicator's forecast period, which is its averaging period, should not go beyond the future moment of strong news release.

            Before opening a position, you should only assess the state of the market and take into account news factors.

             Everything else - position direction, lot size and stop orders - will be automatically calculated by the indicator for you. After that, you open a position, and then turn off the computer and do things that are pleasant for you.


 

Indicator settings.

 

  • Averaging period –  Values: any positive integer between 20 and 200. This parameter is individually selected when opening each position.
  • Allowable losses per position in %  -  Permissible loss per position as a percentage of the deposit. The default is 2%.
  • Estimated price fluctuation -  The number of standard deviations by which the price can randomly deviate from the forecast. The default is 3.0. It is not recommended to change.


Comentarios 1
Alan Lo
691
Alan Lo 2023.09.11 18:20 
 

As the first (or one of the first) purchaser's of this unique indicator, I myself am a mathematician (and large purchaser of EA's) and can say at the outset that the logic implemented here is pure genius. I'm looking forward to testing this indicator and will comment further

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Connect Indicator is a tool used for connecting indicators between the MQL market and MT4. The connected indicators are made by our group and can be used for other applications, such as sending messages to the Line application or Telegram application. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to ask us to receive support. Function and indicator buffer Buffer one is the high price of the previous candle. Buffer two is the high price of the previous candle. Usage To connect indicators to fu
FX Trend Oscillators
Tat Dat Nguyen
Indicadores
Idea: RSI ( Relative Strength Index) and CCI ( Commodity Channel Index ) are powerfull to solved the market.  This indicator has Smoothed Algorithmic signal of RSI and CCI. So that, it separates the market into buy and sell zones, these areas are marked with arrows, red for downtrend, green for uptrend. This algorithm has the effect of predicting the next trend based on the historical trend, so users need to be cautious when the trend has gone many candles. Please visit screenshots
Chaos Indicator
Stefano Frisetti
Indicadores
DESCRIPTION The CHAOS INDICATOR has been developed to be used for the TRADING STRATEGY OF CHAOS, as described in the book. The book is in italian language only and can be obtained only on my website indicated below. DATAS COLLECTED AND SHOWN ON GRAPHS The CHAOS INDICATOR apply easily to any graph and any asset, and it is a TRADING FACILITATOR, as it identify immediately the following items on any graph: - The GP (= RIGHT PRICE) i.e. the price to which the asset should be attracted within 24
Gann Swing Structure
Kirill Borovskii
5 (1)
Indicadores
This indicator is based on the mathematics of the great trader W.D. Ganna. With its help, you can easily find strong levels by analyzing swings to find the optimal entry point. The indicator works on all instruments and all timeframes. The indicator is fully manual and has control buttons. All you need to do is press the NEW button, a segment will appear, which you can place on any movement, swing or even 1 candle that you want to analyze. By placing the segment, press the OK button. A grid (th
PZ Divergence Trading
PZ TRADING SLU
5 (3)
Indicadores
Difícil de encontrar y escasa en frecuencia, las divergencias son uno de los escenarios comerciales más confiables. Este indicador busca y escanea las divergencias regulares y ocultas automáticamente usando su oscilador favorito. [ Guía de instalación | Guía de actualización | Solución de problemas | FAQ | Todos los productos ] Fácil de comerciar Encuentra divergencias regulares y ocultas Admite muchos osciladores bien conocidos Implementa señales comerciales basadas en rupturas Muestra n
PZ Swing Trading
PZ TRADING SLU
5 (4)
Indicadores
Swing Trading es el primer indicador diseñado para detectar oscilaciones en la dirección de la tendencia y posibles oscilaciones de reversión. Utiliza el enfoque de intercambio de línea de base, ampliamente descrito en la literatura comercial. El indicador estudia varios vectores de precios y tiempos para rastrear la dirección de la tendencia agregada y detecta situaciones en las que el mercado está sobrevendido o sobrecomprado y listo para corregir. [ Guía de instalación | Guía de actualización
BB Reversal Arrows
Vitalyi Belyh
Indicadores
El sistema de comercio técnico de BB Reversal Arrows se ha desarrollado para predecir puntos inversos para tomar decisiones minoristas. El indicador analiza la situación actual del mercado y se estructura para varios criterios: la expectativa de momentos de reversión, posibles puntos de inflexión, señales de compra y venta. El indicador no contiene información en exceso, tiene una interfaz visual comprensible, lo que permite a los operadores tomar decisiones razonables. Todas las flechas pa
Gold Channel XAUUSD
Paulo Rocha
5 (1)
Indicadores
Gold Channel is a volatility-based indicator, developed with a specific timing algorithm for the XAUUSD pair, which consists of finding possible corrections in the market. This indicator shows two outer lines, an inner line (retracement line) and an arrow sign, where the theory of the channel is to help identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. The market price will generally fall between the boundaries of the channel. If prices touch or move outside the channel it is a tra
Gann Zone Pro
Kirill Borovskii
Indicadores
This indicator identifies and displays zones, as it were areas of strength, where the price will unfold. The indicator can work on any chart, any instrument, at any timeframe. The indicator has two modes. The indicator is equipped with a control panel with buttons for convenience and split into two modes. Manual mode: To work with manual mode, you need to press the NEW button, a segment will appear. This segment is stretched over the movement and the LVL button is pressed. The level is displayed
Gann Price Level
Kirill Borovskii
Indicadores
The indicator is designed to work on any trading platform. The program is based on proprietary algorithms and W.D.Ganna's mathematics, allowing you to calculate target levels of price movement based on three points with the highest degree of certainty. It is a great tool for stock trading. The indicator has three buttons: NEW - call up a triangle for calculation. DEL - delete the selected triangle. DELS - completely remove all constructions. The probability of achieving the goals is more than 80
Otros productos de este autor
Profit MACD
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (2)
Indicadores
I present an indicator for professionals. ProfitMACD is very similar to classic MACD in appearance and its functions . However, ProfitMACD is based on completely new algorithms (for example, it has only one averaging period) and is more robust, especially on small timeframes, since it filters random price walks. The classic MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence) is a very good indicator following the trend, based on the ratio between two moving averages, namely the EM
Identify Trend
Aleksey Ivanov
4.25 (32)
Indicadores
El indicador Identificar tendencia (" Identify Trend "), que utiliza métodos de filtrado bastante simples pero robustos (según la mediana móvil - el algoritmo XM ) y algoritmos más complejos desarrollados por el autor (XC, XF, XS,  cuatro tipos de promedios móviles no retardados   SMAWL, EMAWL,  SSMAWL, LWMAWL ) , permite establecer el comienzo de un verdadero movimiento de tendencia con mucha precisión y, lo que es más importante, con un pequeño retraso, y identificar el plana. Es
FREE
TrueChannel
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (7)
Indicadores
The TrueChannel   indicator shows us the true price movement channels. This indicator resembles Donchian Channel   in its appearance, but is built on the basis of completely different principles and gives (in comparison with Donchian Channel , which is better just to use to assess volatility) more adequate trading signals.              As shown in the article , the price actually moves in channels parallel to the time axis and jumps abruptly from the previous channels to the subsequ
FREE
Absolute Bands
Aleksey Ivanov
4.5 (4)
Indicadores
Principles of construction of the indicator.               The Absolute Bands (AB) indicator is reminiscent of the Bollinger Bands indicator with its appearance and functions, but only more effective for trading due to the significantly smaller number of false signals issued to them. This effectiveness of the Absolute Bands indicator is due to its robust nature.               In the Bollinger Bands indicator, on both sides of the moving average - Ma, there are lines spaced from Ma by the standa
FREE
Quality trend
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Indicadores
The Quality trend indicator expresses the ratio of the strength of a trend or the speed of its growth (fall) to the degree of its noisiness or a certain norm of amplitudes of chaotic fluctuations of a growing (falling) price. The position of the indicator line above zero shows an increasing trend, below zero - a falling trend, the fluctuation of the indicator line near zero shows a flat. If the indicator line begins to fluctuate rapidly around zero and approach it, then this indica
Casual Channel
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Indicadores
Las tendencias que ves en los gráficos no siempre son tendencias o, más precisamente, tendencias con las que puedes ganar dinero. El caso es que hay dos tipos de tendencias:  1)   verdaderas tendencias , que son causadas por razones económicas fundamentales, que son estables y, por lo tanto, pueden proporcionar una ganancia confiable para el comerciante;  2)  y hay secciones de falsa tendencia que solo parecen una tendencia y surgen debido a cadenas de eventos aleatorios que despla
Alligator Analysis
Aleksey Ivanov
4.75 (4)
Indicadores
Indicator description.            The “ Alligator Analysis ” ( AA ) indicator allows you to build various (by averaging types and by scales) “ Alligators ” and their combinations, i.e. allows you to analyze the state of the market based on the correlation of this state with a whole range of different " Alligators ".  The classic " Alligator " by Bill Williams is based on moving averages and Fibonacci numbers, which makes it one of the best indicators now. The classic " Alligator "   is based on
FREE
Signal Envelopes
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The Signal Envelopes   indicator uses the robust filtering method based on: (1) the moving median Buff0 = <Median> = (Max {x} + Min {x}) / 2 and (2) the averaging algorithm developed by the author Buff1 = <(<Median> ) ^ (- 3)> * (<Median>) ^ 4  based on the moving median. The Signal Envelopes   indicator allows you to most accurately and with the minimum possible delay set the beginning of a new trend.  The Signal Envelopes indicator can be used both for trading according to scalpe
Iterative Moving Average
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (2)
Indicadores
Iterative Moving Average – IMA.   IMA is obtained by correcting the usual   MA.   The correction consists in addition   to MA averaged difference between the time series (X) and its MA, i.e.   IMA(X)=MA(X) + MA ( Х -MA(X)). Correction is done in several iterations (and, exactly, 2 iterations in this indicator) and with a change in the averaging period.               As a result, the time-series points begin to cluster around (on all sides) of the getting   IMA and with a smaller de
CalculateScientificTradePeriod
Aleksey Ivanov
Utilidades
Firstly , the script estimates how many Mx bars of the chart (on which this script is applied) the future trend will most likely continue and what is its quality. Secondly (and most importantly), the script is an auxiliary tool for the extremely mathematically advanced and extremely effective ScientificTrade indicator in trading. The script calculates the optimal averaging period, which is also equal to Mx, of the ScientificTrade indicator, which gives the maximum profit according to the strate
Identify Market State
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Indicadores
The Identify Market State   indicator allows you to set the beginning of a new trends and pullbacks on an existing trend. This indicator can be used both for trading on scalper strategies and for long-term trading strategies.               The indicator is based on the 14 periodic DeMarker   indicator and the 8 periodic simple moving average from this indicator. Statistical studies have shown that the sharp peaks of the DeMarker   indicator curve when they drop below its minimum li
Profit Trade
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The principle of constructing indicator lines .               Profit Trade  indicator is very effective for trading. Profit Trade  is a deep development of the well-known Donchian channel  indicator. The upper (BlueViolet color) Dup and the lower (IndianRed) Ddn lines of the indicator are constructed in the same way as in the Donchian channel , based on the highest (high of High) and lowest (low of Low) prices for the previous n1 = 20 periods. The middle line (Gold) Dm is constructed in the sam
FindScientificTradePeriod
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The indicator visualizes the result of the   CalculateScientificTradePeriod    script (which, of course, also needs to be downloaded), which, firstly , estimates how many Mx bars of the active chart the future trend will most likely continue and what is its quality, and, secondly , calculates the optimal the averaging period (which is also equal to Mx) of the ScientificTrade   indicator, which gives the maximum profit according to the extremely effective   ScientificTrade strategy. For the FindS
Asummetry
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The principle of the indicator.                             The Asummetry  indicator allows you to predict the beginning of a change in the direction of trends, long before their visual appearance on the price chart.               The author statistically revealed that before changing the direction of the trend, the probability distribution function of the price is made as asymmetric as possible. More precisely, the price movement in any direction always pulls sideways the function of its dis
Channel Builder
Aleksey Ivanov
4.67 (6)
Indicadores
The Channel Builder (CB) or Ivanov Bands indicator is a broad generalization of the Bollinger Bands indicator. First, in CB, the mean line <X> is calculated using various averaging algorithms. Secondly, the mean deviations calculated by Kolmogorov averaging are plotted on both sides of the middle line <X>.                The middle line <X>, besides the standard SMA, EMA, SMMA and LWMA averaging algorithms, can be Median = (Max + Min) / 2 sliding median (which is the default). In
FREE
Probabilities distribution of price
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Indicadores
PDP indicator is used for: defining price probability distributions. This allows for a detailed representation of the channel and its borders and forecast the probability of a price appearing at each segment of its fluctuations; defining the channel change moment. Operation principles and features PDP analyzes a quote history on lower timeframes and calculates a price probability distribution on higher ones. Forecast algorithms allow the indicator to calculate probability distributions and m
Signal Bands
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
Descripción del indicador.             " Signal Bands " es un procesamiento estadístico profundo y avanzado, un indicador sensible y conveniente que le permite ver inmediatamente en el gráfico principal y (1) la tendencia del movimiento del precio y (2) su canal claro y (3) signos latentes de un cambio en esta tendencia. El indicador se puede usar en gráficos de cualquier escala, pero, debido a su mayor sensibilidad al estado actual del mercado, es especialmente útil para el scalping.     Func
Cunning crocodile
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
Structure of the indicator.               The Cunning crocodile indicator consists of three moving averages (applied to the price   Median price   = (high + low)/2 ) :   1) the usual MA ( SMA , EMA , SMMA ,   LWMA )  or the mean <X> of the process X and her two generalizations 2) <XF> = <X / <X >> * <X> and 3) <XS> = <X * <X >> / <X> with the same averaging period. All three curves intersect at common points that (such an intersection in which the cunning crocodile, unlike the usual one, "never
Sensitive Signal
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (2)
Indicadores
El indicador, que utiliza los métodos de filtrado desarrollados por el autor, permite, con un alto grado de probabilidad, establecer el comienzo del movimiento de tendencia verdadero. La filtración desarrollada por el autor se realiza en varias iteraciones y revela la verdadera trayectoria del movimiento de precios regular  y lo dibuja. Al mismo tiempo se filtran caminatas al azar del precio. Dicho filtrado es muy efectivo para el comercio en el cambio de moneda, donde la señal es
Estimation moving average without lag
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The principle of the indicator.               A simple moving average (SMA) with an averaging period (2n + 1) of bars is always obtained lagging by n bars. If SMA or other types of moving averages are the basis for making trading decisions, then their strong delay does not allow   to open positions in time and close positions, which leads to losses.                            The Estimation moving average without lag ( EMAWL ) indicator calculates the non-lagging moving average, which is calcula
Strong Trend Flat Signal
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The principle of the indicator.               The Strong Trend Flat Signal (STFS) indicator is the intersection of two, developed by the author, non-lagging moving averages with averaging periods 21 and 63.               A simple moving average (SMA) with an averaging period (2n + 1) of bars is always obtained lagging by n bars. If SMA or other types of moving averages are the basis for making trading decisions, then their strong delay does not allow  to open positions in time and close positi
StatChannel
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Indicadores
The principle of the indicator.               The StatChannel ( SC ) indicator is a development of the Bollinger Bands indicator ( ВВ ).  BB is a moving average, on both sides of which two lines are drawn, separated from it by standard deviations std multiplied by the corresponding coefficient. At the same time, a moving average with an averaging period (2n + 1) bars is always obtained lagging behind n bars.  Sliding std is also lagging behind on n bars, also calculated by (2n + 1) points. Such
StatPredict
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
Introducción.              El indicador predice el precio de acuerdo con la tendencia predominante y sus propias pequeñas fluctuaciones estadísticas de precios. En StatPredict , debe configurar el horizonte de tiempo de los eventos pronosticados, que se establece mediante el parámetro de configuración del indicador « Length of forecast in bars » .   El horizonte de pronóstico de eventos está determinado por la escala temporal característica de la tendencia actual, que se mide mejor por el indica
Probability distribution PRO
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
Indicator is used for: defining price probability distributions. This allows for a detailed representation of the channel and its borders and forecast the probability of a price appearing at each segment of its fluctuations; defining the channel change moment.   Operation principles and features Indicator analyzes a quote history on lower timeframes and calculates a price probability distribution on higher ones. Forecast algorithms allow the indicator to calculate probability distributions and m
Signal Channel
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The principle of constructing indicator lines and their meaning .               The Signal Channel   indicator uses a robust filtering method based on two moving medians applicable to the High and Low prices, i.e. the lines <High> and <Low>, where <..> is the sign of linear averaging, which are shifted by certain values ​​in an uptrend and by opposite values ​​in a downtrend, which allows you to get a narrow channel, approximately outlining each bar. Sharp kinks of the lines of such a channel a
Robust Filter
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Indicadores
The Robust filter   indicator is based on the robust filtering algorithm developed by the author using the multi-period averaged moving median. The algorithm for this averaging is shown in the last screenshot.                The indicator calculates and shows: 1. The direction of the trend; 2. Entry and exit points of positions; 3. StopLoss   lines calculated from current price probability distributions and selected probability of closing an order by StopLoss before the trend revers
Absolute price
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
This   indicator is intended for professionals assessing fundamental market trends.  This indicator calculates the index of any instrument and analyzes it.              The index of the state currency shows the real purchasing power of this currency, and the dynamics of this index shows the dynamics of the economic state of the corresponding state. An analysis of the indices of both currencies included in a currency pair makes it much more reliable to identify the trend of this cur
Multicurrency Trend Detector
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The Multicurrency Trend Detector ( MTD ) indicator allows you to immediately and on one chart on a selected time interval (extending from a zero bar to a bar set in the settings by the value horizon) determine the presence, direction and strength of trends in all major currencies, as well as assess the reliability of these trends.               This is achieved by calculating indices (non-relative purchasing power) of eight major currencies, namely: AUD, CAD, CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, NZ
StatZigZag
Aleksey Ivanov
Indicadores
The StatZigZag  indicator looks like a regular ZigZag , but is built on the basis of completely different algorithms. The StatZigZag  indicator is a broken line built from segments of regression lines of different lengths, the beginning of each of which comes from the end of the previous segment. Each regression segment is built until the variance or spread of price around it begins to exceed a certain critical value, after which the construction of this segment ends and the constr
Velocity of price change
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Indicadores
The Velocity of price change   ( VP ) indicator shows the average rate of price change at those characteristic time intervals where this rate was approximately constant. The robust algorithm used in VP   to smooth out the price from its random jumps, ensures the reliability of the indicator reading, which does not react to simple price volatility and its insignificant movements.             The indicator allows you to track trends and the moments of their reversals , during which t
Filtro:
Alan Lo
691
Alan Lo 2023.09.11 18:20 
 

As the first (or one of the first) purchaser's of this unique indicator, I myself am a mathematician (and large purchaser of EA's) and can say at the outset that the logic implemented here is pure genius. I'm looking forward to testing this indicator and will comment further

Aleksey Ivanov
35138
Respuesta del desarrollador Aleksey Ivanov 2023.09.11 18:47
Thank you very much for your high rating of my indicator. When you test it, do not forget about the horizon of adequate operation of the predictive algorithm. https://www.mql5.com/ru/articles/12891 Unfortunately, this article has not yet been translated into English.
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