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Scientific trade

179 USD

Demo downloaded: 35

Published: 30 May 2023

Current version: 1.0

Scientific trade

Item: Scientific trade
Rating: 5
Author: Alan Lo

Indicators
Aleksey Ivanov
Version: 1.0
Activations: 5

An extremely convenient indicator that truly makes the process of making money on the exchange easy. It is based on the scientifically rigorous theory of the market developed by the author, the beginning of which is presented here.

The full algorithm of this indicator operation is presented in the article.

The indicator calculates the most probable price movement trajectory and displays it on the chart. Based on the predicted price movement trajectory, the indicator calculates the direction of the position and the position of the take profit. Based on the statistically calculated uncertainty of the trajectory of the predicted price movement, the selected risk level and the size of the deposit, the indicator also calculates the lot size and stop loss position. The averaging period of the indicator is selected based on the maximum probability of winning, which is presented for each period on the main chart of the trading terminal.

It is better to use M1-M15 timeframes in the indicator; at the same time, it is recommended to play according to the global trend, determined on H4, D1, i.e. if the indicator gives a SELL signal, then this position is opened when the global trend is down; if the indicator signal is BUY, then the position is opened when the global trend is up.

After choosing a timeframe, you sort through the averaging values like 20, 30, 40, …, 200 and look at the trading terminal at what value the maximum probability of winning is achieved. This is the value you should use. Since the averaging period of the indicator must be selected manually in the process of moving along the price history, the indicator readings in the tester cannot reflect the full effectiveness of its work and may be incorrect.

To automatically determine the optimal averaging period (which gives the maximum probability of winning), the CalculateScientificTradePeriod script has been developed.

The operation of the indicator is based on predicting the market's own trends, so it is not recommended to use it before and immediately after strong news, as well as in case of strong market volatility, especially if the volatility is the result of crisis processes. The indicator's forecast period, which is its averaging period, should not go beyond the future moment of strong news release.

Before opening a position, you should only assess the state of the market and take into account news factors.

Everything else - position direction, lot size and stop orders - will be automatically calculated by the indicator for you. After that, you open a position, and then turn off the computer and do things that are pleasant for you.

Indicator settings.

Averaging period – Values: any positive integer between 20 and 200. This parameter is individually selected when opening each position.
Allowable losses per position in % - Permissible loss per position as a percentage of the deposit. The default is 2%.
Estimated price fluctuation - The number of standard deviations by which the price can randomly deviate from the forecast. The default is 3.0. It is not recommended to change.

more...

631

Alan Lo 2023.09.11 18:20 #

As the first (or one of the first) purchaser's of this unique indicator, I myself am a mathematician (and large purchaser of EA's) and can say at the outset that the logic implemented here is pure genius. I'm looking forward to testing this indicator and will comment further

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Introduction. The indicator predicts the price in accordance with the prevailing trend and its own small statistical price fluctuations around this trend. At the same time, in StatPredict , you need to set the time horizon of the forecasted events, which is set by the parameter settings of the “ Length of forecast in bars ” indicator and determined by the characteristic time scale of the current trend, which is best measured by the ProfitMACD indicator or by the previous price co

49 USD

The indicator visualizes the result of the CalculateScientificTradePeriod script (which, of course, also needs to be downloaded), which, firstly , estimates how many Mx bars of the active chart the future trend will most likely continue and what is its quality, and, secondly , calculates the optimal the averaging period (which is also equal to Mx) of the ScientificTrade indicator, which gives the maximum profit according to the extremely effective ScientificTrade strategy. For the FindS

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The TrueChannel indicator shows us the true price movement channels. This indicator resembles Donchian Channel in its appearance, but is built on the basis of completely different principles and gives (in comparison with Donchian Channel , which is better just to use to assess volatility) more adequate trading signals. As shown in the article , the price actually moves in channels parallel to the time axis and jumps abruptly from the previous channels to the subsequ

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Principles of construction of the indicator. The Absolute Bands (AB) indicator is reminiscent of the Bollinger Bands indicator with its appearance and functions, but only more effective for trading due to the significantly smaller number of false signals issued to them. This effectiveness of the Absolute Bands indicator is due to its robust nature. In the Bollinger Bands indicator, on both sides of the moving average - Ma, there are lines spaced from Ma by the standa

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The Velocity of price change ( VP ) indicator shows the average rate of price change at those characteristic time intervals where this rate was approximately constant. The robust algorithm used in VP to smooth out the price from its random jumps, ensures the reliability of the indicator reading, which does not react to simple price volatility and its insignificant movements. The indicator allows you to track trends and the moments of their reversals , during which t

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PDP indicator is used for: defining price probability distributions. This allows for a detailed representation of the channel and its borders and forecast the probability of a price appearing at each segment of its fluctuations; defining the channel change moment. Operation principles and features PDP analyzes a quote history on lower timeframes and calculates a price probability distribution on higher ones. Forecast algorithms allow the indicator to calculate probability distributions and m

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The Multicurrency Trend Detector ( MTD ) indicator allows you to immediately and on one chart on a selected time interval (extending from a zero bar to a bar set in the settings by the value horizon) determine the presence, direction and strength of trends in all major currencies, as well as assess the reliability of these trends. This is achieved by calculating indices (non-relative purchasing power) of eight major currencies, namely: AUD, CAD, CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, NZ

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The Signal Envelopes indicator uses the robust filtering method based on: (1) the moving median Buff0 = <Median> = (Max {x} + Min {x}) / 2 and (2) the averaging algorithm developed by the author Buff1 = <(<Median> ) ^ (- 3)> * (<Median>) ^ 4 based on the moving median. The Signal Envelopes indicator allows you to most accurately and with the minimum possible delay set the beginning of a new trend. The Signal Envelopes indicator can be used both for trading according to scalpe

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The Channel Builder (CB) or Ivanov Bands indicator is a broad generalization of the Bollinger Bands indicator. First, in CB, the mean line <X> is calculated using various averaging algorithms. Secondly, the mean deviations calculated by Kolmogorov averaging are plotted on both sides of the middle line <X>. The middle line <X>, besides the standard SMA, EMA, SMMA and LWMA averaging algorithms, can be Median = (Max + Min) / 2 sliding median (which is the default). In

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Indicator description. The “ Alligator Analysis ” ( AA ) indicator allows you to build various (by averaging types and by scales) “ Alligators ” and their combinations, i.e. allows you to analyze the state of the market based on the correlation of this state with a whole range of different " Alligators ". The classic " Alligator " by Bill Williams is based on moving averages and Fibonacci numbers, which makes it one of the best indicators now. The classic " Alligator " is based on

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Signal Bands is a sensitive and convenient indicator, which performs deep statistical processing of information. It allows to see on one chart (1) the price trend, (2) the clear price channel and (3) latent signs of trend change. The indicator can be used on charts of any periods, but it is especially useful for scalping due to its high sensitivity to the current market state. The functions of the indicator : First, the Signal Bands indicator draws channels into which all price fluctuations ex

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Iterative Moving Average – IMA. IMA is obtained by correcting the usual MA. The correction consists in addition to MA averaged difference between the time series (X) and its MA, i.e. IMA(X)=MA(X) + MA ( Х -MA(X)). Correction is done in several iterations (and, exactly, 2 iterations in this indicator) and with a change in the averaging period. As a result, the time-series points begin to cluster around (on all sides) of the getting IMA and with a smaller de

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Structure of the indicator. The Cunning crocodile indicator consists of three moving averages (applied to the price Median price = (high + low)/2 ) : 1) the usual MA ( SMA , EMA , SMMA , LWMA ) or the mean <X> of the process X and her two generalizations 2) <XF> = <X / <X >> * <X> and 3) <XS> = <X * <X >> / <X> with the same averaging period. All three curves intersect at common points that (such an intersection in which the cunning crocodile, unlike the usual one, "never

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I present an indicator for professionals. ProfitMACD is very similar to classic MACD in appearance and its functions . However, ProfitMACD is based on completely new algorithms (for example, it has only one averaging period) and is more robust, especially on small timeframes, since it filters random price walks. The classic MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence) is a very good indicator following the trend, based on the ratio between two moving averages, namely the EM

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The principle of the indicator. A simple moving average (SMA) with an averaging period (2n + 1) of bars is always obtained lagging by n bars. If SMA or other types of moving averages are the basis for making trading decisions, then their strong delay does not allow to open positions in time and close positions, which leads to losses. The Estimation moving average without lag ( EMAWL ) indicator calculates the non-lagging moving average, which is calcula

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The principle of the indicator. The Strong Trend Flat Signal (STFS) indicator is the intersection of two, developed by the author, non-lagging moving averages with averaging periods 21 and 63. A simple moving average (SMA) with an averaging period (2n + 1) of bars is always obtained lagging by n bars. If SMA or other types of moving averages are the basis for making trading decisions, then their strong delay does not allow to open positions in time and close positi

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The principle of the indicator. The StatChannel ( SC ) indicator is a development of the Bollinger Bands indicator ( ВВ ). BB is a moving average, on both sides of which two lines are drawn, separated from it by standard deviations std multiplied by the corresponding coefficient. At the same time, a moving average with an averaging period (2n + 1) bars is always obtained lagging behind n bars. Sliding std is also lagging behind on n bars, also calculated by (2n + 1) points. Such

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The principle of the indicator. The Asummetry indicator allows you to predict the beginning of a change in the direction of trends, long before their visual appearance on the price chart. The author statistically revealed that before changing the direction of the trend, the probability distribution function of the price is made as asymmetric as possible. More precisely, the price movement in any direction always pulls sideways the function of its dis

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The principle of constructing indicator lines . Profit Trade indicator is very effective for trading. Profit Trade is a deep development of the well-known Donchian channel indicator. The upper (BlueViolet color) Dup and the lower (IndianRed) Ddn lines of the indicator are constructed in the same way as in the Donchian channel , based on the highest (high of High) and lowest (low of Low) prices for the previous n1 = 20 periods. The middle line (Gold) Dm is constructed in the sam

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The principle of constructing indicator lines and their meaning . The Signal Channel indicator uses a robust filtering method based on two moving medians applicable to the High and Low prices, i.e. the lines <High> and <Low>, where <..> is the sign of linear averaging, which are shifted by certain values in an uptrend and by opposite values in a downtrend, which allows you to get a narrow channel, approximately outlining each bar. Sharp kinks of the lines of such a channel a

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The Robust filter indicator is based on the robust filtering algorithm developed by the author using the multi-period averaged moving median. The algorithm for this averaging is shown in the last screenshot. The indicator calculates and shows: 1. The direction of the trend; 2. Entry and exit points of positions; 3. StopLoss lines calculated from current price probability distributions and selected probability of closing an order by StopLoss before the trend revers

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This indicator is intended for professionals assessing fundamental market trends. This indicator calculates the index of any instrument and analyzes it. The index of the state currency shows the real purchasing power of this currency, and the dynamics of this index shows the dynamics of the economic state of the corresponding state. An analysis of the indices of both currencies included in a currency pair makes it much more reliable to identify the trend of this cur

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The StatZigZag indicator looks like a regular ZigZag , but is built on the basis of completely different algorithms. The StatZigZag indicator is a broken line built from segments of regression lines of different lengths, the beginning of each of which comes from the end of the previous segment. Each regression segment is built until the variance or spread of price around it begins to exceed a certain critical value, after which the construction of this segment ends and the constr

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Alan Lo 2023.09.11 18:20 #

76410

Reply from developer Aleksey Ivanov 2023.09.11 18:47 #

Thank you very much for your high rating of my indicator. When you test it, do not forget about the horizon of adequate operation of the predictive algorithm. https://www.mql5.com/ru/articles/12891 Unfortunately, this article has not yet been translated into English.

Description quality and completeness		5
Reliability and usability		5
User support		5