Francis Dogbe / Blog
The Fed has done its best to propagate confusion recently, first surprisingly markets on the highly dovish side in March – cutting the near-term real rate well into highly expansionary territory, prompting inflation overshooting speculation as well as discussions about a new Shanghai accord...
Easter comes early this year, and U.S. financial markets will be closed on Good Friday, which falls on March 25, while U.K. and some continental markets will be closed for Easter Monday as well. Good Friday isn't a federal holiday in the U.S...
Investors are putting billions of pounds worth of bets on the pound crashing should Britain vote to leave the European Union in June. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, investors have piled up more than £11 billion ($15...
A few short hours stand in the way of the long holiday weekend for many. The capital markets are retracing the recent moves. This means equities and commodities are lower. It means bonds are firmer and the dollar stronger...
•The Japan inflation figure will tell us if the BoJ will go deeper into the red on rates •Japan’s government bond yield curve continues to flatten out •The Fed’s interest rate flight path is an aspiration, not a forecast •US inflation data will reveal if the Fed's flight path is credible •The odd...
Central banks have reduced official interest rates to historically lows, either near zero (known as ZIRP or Zero Interest Rate Policy). Long term bond rates are also at historically low levels...
The pound is on the rise today and has just run to a new high of 1.4140. It did virtually nothing after the retail sales so we can't finger that as a reason. The mid-1.40's has developed into decent looking support. I had 1.4040/45 pegged but we've it slightly higher at 1.4050. 1...
Another interest rate increase “may not be far off” with the U.S. economy performing much as expected in 2016, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Thursday...
Today is a special day for those who follow implied volatility. Specifically, the GBPUSD 3M ATM implied volatility is now pricing in the date of the British referendum. Implied volatility is the estimated volatility of a market or in this case, the currency pair’s price...