Forex Correlation Theory - page 4
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Correlation
The beginning
After
This system I think is a Basket Trading system.But few broker not allow this Trading style.What is the solution about this issue.
Some brokers do allow all types of trading. It could be interesting to look more into it and see how it really works in live trading.
Trade Oil with Currency Correlations (based on dailyfx article)
Understanding market correlations can allow traders to have an option on a commodity based off of the direction of their favorite currency pair. The idea is to take two seemingly different markets or assets and see how market price moves relative to each other. Today we will review using the USDCAD currency pair to determine the direction of USOIL (WTI) through the use of a correlation.
Oils Correlation
When someone mentions Oil, currency traders should immediately think of the USDCAD as a correlating currency pair. These assets are negatively correlated meaning they generally can be seen moving in opposing directions. This occurs because the USDCAD quotes the price of Canadian Dollars in terms of USDollars. USOil represents Oil per barrel priced in terms of US Dollars. With the USD being on opposing sides of each equation this means that the two assets will move in opposing directions when the USD strengthens or weakens.
Secondly, the CAD has a high correlation to Oil due to Canada’s extensive oil deposits. Most of this oil is purchased by the US causing a transfer of funds along the way. As oil prices fluctuate, this increases or decreases the amount of funds transferred from USD to make purchases of Canadian resourses. These transfers essentially change demand for the currency and can directly cause changes in the USDCAD currency pair as well.
Trading the Correlation
The key to trading negatively correlated assets is finding a direction or having a fundamental opinion from one of the underlying assets before making a trading decision. If traders are seeing the USDCAD push to higher highs, this could easily be the catalyst for a bearish bias on Oil. Conversely if Oil is trending upwards traders would have reasonable expectations of the USDCAD traveling towards lower lows.
As you can see, this information is very useful to traders that already have an opinion on either Oil or the USDCAD currency pair. Often traders that are bullish on Oil choose to trade the USDCAD instead of the metal itself. The Canadian Dollar carries a 1.00% banking rate, meaning traders can earn additional interest while trading a bullish bias on Oil. If a trader is bullish on the USDCAD currency pair, traders can in turn sell Oil to avoid accumulating interest on their trading balance.
Trade Oil with Currency Correlations (based on dailyfx article)
Understanding market correlations can allow traders to have an option on a commodity based off of the direction of their favorite currency pair. The idea is to take two seemingly different markets or assets and see how market price moves relative to each other. Today we will review using the USDCAD currency pair to determine the direction of USOIL (WTI) through the use of a correlation.
Oils Correlation
When someone mentions Oil, currency traders should immediately think of the USDCAD as a correlating currency pair. These assets are negatively correlated meaning they generally can be seen moving in opposing directions. This occurs because the USDCAD quotes the price of Canadian Dollars in terms of USDollars. USOil represents Oil per barrel priced in terms of US Dollars. With the USD being on opposing sides of each equation this means that the two assets will move in opposing directions when the USD strengthens or weakens.
Secondly, the CAD has a high correlation to Oil due to Canada’s extensive oil deposits. Most of this oil is purchased by the US causing a transfer of funds along the way. As oil prices fluctuate, this increases or decreases the amount of funds transferred from USD to make purchases of Canadian resourses. These transfers essentially change demand for the currency and can directly cause changes in the USDCAD currency pair as well.
Trading the Correlation
The key to trading negatively correlated assets is finding a direction or having a fundamental opinion from one of the underlying assets before making a trading decision. If traders are seeing the USDCAD push to higher highs, this could easily be the catalyst for a bearish bias on Oil. Conversely if Oil is trending upwards traders would have reasonable expectations of the USDCAD traveling towards lower lows.
As you can see, this information is very useful to traders that already have an opinion on either Oil or the USDCAD currency pair. Often traders that are bullish on Oil choose to trade the USDCAD instead of the metal itself. The Canadian Dollar carries a 1.00% banking rate, meaning traders can earn additional interest while trading a bullish bias on Oil. If a trader is bullish on the USDCAD currency pair, traders can in turn sell Oil to avoid accumulating interest on their trading balance.
Thanks ُSergey, This article was very helpfulEUR/USD and GBP/USD are correlated pairs, why trading the correlation of this pairs is not same as trading EUR/GBP pair?
Is this question or an answer ?
It is because they are not perfectly correlated but correlated to some degree only.
However, because of this fact, there is some interesting phenomenan called coupling and decoupling.
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