What strategy actually works? - page 13

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Ryan L Johnson #:
Although you appear to be a relatively new Forum user, you've obviously been in the trading game for a while. I've successfully followed the KISS principle and Murphy's Law, regarding both software and hardware, for decades.

I support your opinion, because that is very good.

The KISS Principle (Keep It Simple, Stupid) is a design/management principle that emphasizes simplicity,
avoiding unnecessary complexity to make systems easier to understand and more efficient.

Conversely, Murphy's Law states that if something is likely to go wrong, it will.
These two concepts are often used to manage risk and improve system reliability.

 

I’ve been in trading for nearly 15 years. I’ve tested a lot of strategies and built many EAs over time.

One thing that becomes very clear — there isn’t a single strategy that “works” everywhere. Each instrument behaves differently, and results can vary a lot depending on market conditions.

What works on one pair or asset may not perform the same on another, even with the same logic.

In my experience, consistency comes more from how a strategy is applied, managed, and adapted — not just the strategy itself.

 
Wow, reading this forum, there are lots of trading masters. Nice to meet you. In my opinion, THERE IS NO STRATEGY that will make 100% profit. Maybe one day it's a profit, but it could be a loss one day. The important thing is that risk management must be considered. When you have lost, don't get carried away with your passion. Sometimes you need to rest, stop trading and let the market return to "normal". When creating an EA, usually the more strategies/filters the fewer OPEN TRADE, we can create layers of filters, for example RSI, EMA, Bollinger, Donchian, HTF Trend and others. For me, apart from the right filter, what is also important is the CLOSE TRADE strategy. Maybe now you get SL, maybe then you get TP. Nothing is perfect.
 
Great answers, guys - minimize the risk, stay calm. But what's the move: buy or sell? As the maestro Celentano says: "Bet on black, bet on red, it'll be zero anyway.";) 
 
I’ve been on the chart since 2012, for my experience I can say there is not a good strategy as there’s not a bad strategy, market conditions and volatility can make you think a strategy it’s bad while if you backtest it the previous year seem pure gold! What’s make the difference in my opinion is the risk management! That’s what I focus more on my ea. it’s impossible to be consistent without it in my humble opinion! Good luck anybody here! 
 
AxelQuant #:
Great answers, guys - minimize the risk, stay calm. But what’s the move: buy or sell? As the maestro Celentano says: "Bet on black, bet on red, it’ll be zero anyway.";) 

He never actually said that, although he bet his producers that he could make jibberish lyrics with the right beat top the charts─which he did.

Boris Brejcha's 16RedEven techno track mentions "bet everything on black" and a loss, so it might be more fitting here.

 
mm, there's this movie "Bluff", it's a great film. But your version is also good
 
AxelQuant #:
mm, there's this movie "Bluff", it's a great film.

Found it... "Difficult to keep because between red and black, sometimes zero comes up." [talking to the house.]

Green zero pays 35:1 so yeah, we all catch that running trade once in a while.

 
Ryan L Johnson #:
Found it... "Difficult to keep because between red and black, sometimes zero comes up."
Cool! Yes, that's quite possible.

As I understand it, the core problem of trading is that we often identify a trend only when it's nearly exhausted, making late entries a frequent issue. And, as we've discussed, the market spends most of its time in a sideways state. Sometimes we guess correctly where the price will break out from that flat, and sometimes we don't.

This suggests that a preferred strategy would focus on mean reversion, but with built-in protection against those sudden breakouts. In some cases, that protection means taking a loss. In others, it's an opportunity to profit from the momentum. Ideally, if the market is inherently dualistic, the strategy itself must be dualistic as well.
 
James Owens # :
of equity is much h
You are right but I tell you my story, My strategy was perfect but problem found was with charting data as i was scalping on granular timeframe on BTC, the right data with correct OHLC is key for success. If you trade HTF, that is exception. I believe only mechanical strategy should be accepted to trade. I see many may have emotion and sentiments involved which kills the account. I am a price action trader and I believe in optimization, for example a high low is always invalidated in my case in case there is an inside bar, so i call that thing a filter which can be enabled as true false bool in EA which helps in optimization and prevents overfitting.
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