[Archive] Learn how to make money villagers! - page 745

 
OnGoing:
Vlad, how do you propose to find out when a trend (for example, a bullish one) has started, when it will continue, and when it is about to end and it is time to decrease the "aggressive" lot and increase the amount for a bearish one)

It's easy to set it manually! Everyone has a different opinion on which trend it is!
 
vladds:

easy to set manually! each person has their own opinion of what the trend is!
Here, i.e. you get haphazard trading on intuition, only semi-automated. And haphazardness is known to be a sure way to failure.
 
OnGoing:
That's what I mean, i.e. it's essentially haphazard trading, only semi-automated. And haphazard is known to be a recipe for failure.

What about the indicator?
Files:
 
vladds:

What about an indicator?
An indicator is also a kind of intuition, but it is translated into code using formulas.)
 
OnGoing:
An indicator is also a kind of someone's intuition, only embodied in a code using formulas)


So you can do it after all!

 

Suppose a linear regression channel! Take it as a definition of the trend and divide it by 100%, i.e. when it is flat, the channel is sideways, so bets are 50/50 if the channel is ascending (55x45) (60x40) (70x30), respectively buy with 0.7 and sell with 0.3 (approximately!)

 
vladds:

Let's assume a linear regression channel! Take it as a definition of the trend and divide it by 100%, i.e. when it is flat, the channel is sideways, so bets are 50/50 if the channel tilts upwards (55x45) (60x40) (70x30) respectively buy is 0.7 lot and sell is 0.3 lot (this is rough!) _________ haaaa! fool!!!

 

The scourge of selian EAs is equity drawdowns. This is an unlimited risk with limited profit.

Drawdown in the tester can only be reduced in the process of optimization indirectly, not directly.

How much would you pay (for the regular tester, MT4 and MT5) that would allow you to use the custom optimization - to increase profitability and decrease drawdowns? In MT5 there is an opportunity to optimize the custom fitness, but there are restrictions on the dimension of the task.

What is the red price for such a tool?

 
OnGoing:

By the way, you (Yuri) start with more than 10000 and I with 5000) Therefore in my case even without mm you get 600% per year (7 times multiplication).

And you have 9 times, but more than a year most likely will not hold, since -44000 you took as "normal", i.e. acceptable phenomenon. And I have exactly as force majeure (or failure in general).

I managed to improve my TC's performance today.

SymbolEURUSD (Euro vs US Dollar)
Period1 Minute (M1) 2008.01.02 10:00 - 2012.02.24 00:14 (2008.01.01 - 2012.03.01)
ModelBy open prices (only for Expert Advisors with explicit bar opening control)



Bars in history1508297Modelled ticks2990872Modeling qualityn/a
Chart mismatch errors0




Initial deposit15000.00



Net profit89733.01Total profit135149.33Total loss-45416.31
Profitability2.98Expected payoff8.08

Absolute drawdown1628.82Maximum drawdown8941.53 (24.04%)Relative drawdown27.17% (7708.90)

Total trades11101Short positions (% win)5588 (72.15%)Long positions (% win)5513 (70.74%)

Profitable trades (% of all)7932 (71.45%)Loss trades (% of all)3169 (28.55%)
Largestprofitable trade434.00losing transaction-320.80
Averageprofitable deal17.04losing deal-14.33
Maximum numbercontinuous wins (profit)38 (2523.10)Continuous losses (loss)41 (-1537.11)
MaximumContinuous Profit (number of wins)5535.20 (31)Continuous loss (number of losses)-1537.11 (41)
Averagecontinuous winnings6Continuous loss2
 

Comrades don't you understand that tuning the TS in the tester for stories gives nothing), even more so if you optimise it

in real life it will not work 100% ... A story is a story ...

You need to trade and tune it in the real account. You may spend your whole life testing and trading in the tester.

I'm in the tester using almost any ilan... I may make 300 000 or more from 10 000 in a year, with a drawdown of 35-50 and less percent, without adjusting, and what's the point?

I HAVE IT CHECKED ... I know such people who trade like this on real money and not just me ...!

You are not preparing them properly Comrades

Reason: