Testing real-time forecasting systems - page 85

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373
mpeugep 17.12.2009 10:12
Opening came with a big gap, going below target level...no time to recalculate the new trajectory, so that's it for today.


buy

 
Sorento >>:

373
mpeugep 17.12.2009 10:12
Открытие произошло с большим гепом, опустившись ниже уровня цели..времени на пересчет новой траектории нет, поэтому на сегодня все.


бай

Finger in the sky?)


 

Good day to all!

We are starting to work with FDAXH0 (H1). Since the instrument has just entered the "dynamics" (previously it was static) -

no good history on it, so treat the forecasts with caution!

As of today the situation is as follows:

Sell at market opening, target - 5788, stop in area 5880 on indicator SL_to_Bar.

Trading is done with 0.1 lot.

Account: 642842
Investment password: 1fisfwv
Server: BroCo-Demo

 

euros... for next week...

http://i064.radikal.ru/0912/6b/cd89024361e0.jpg

 

The previous trade closed on a stop loss:

 

The picture for today is as follows:


Sell on market opening, target is 5889, stop on SL_to_Bar indicator (5947).

Account: 642842
Investment password: 1fisfwv
Server: BroCo-Demo

 

Let's get on with it. EURUSD, M15.


This is what the initial probability vector of the system state (for reference) looks like (at the moment):



Here is the forecast itself from the time of publication for 200 counts (2 days):

  • red line - expected average value of the quote
  • the grey line - "attractor", which future realizations will theoretically "stick" to


Theoretically, it may reach 1.42, or it may not :o) That's probability! :о)


PS: Significant changes have been made, so I don't recommend using the forecast for trading, not tested yet. :о)


Who has any plans for the euro? :о)

 

Happy New Year!

I was looking forward to your forecast.

But there is another bulge on the three-dimensional chart.

above. :о)
 
avatara >>:

С Новым Годом!

С нетерпением ждал Вашего прогноза.

Но есть и другая выпуклость на трёхмерном графике.

выше. :о)

Happy New Year!


Quite right - there is, and the "margin" of this development is not the greatest. They are about evenly split. Now, the market "decides" where to go, not "goes". That is, there are "more accidents" now, it has more influence, and the slightest thing, unnoticed by the eye, can take this whole thing completely to the wrong place. By the way, the intuition says it will go up ...... or may go down, and it (the intuition) says it too :o).

 

Yeah, well, intuition tells us that the probability of meeting an Allosaurus in real life is 0.5 - either we will or we won't.

1...78798081828384858687888990919293
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