Alpha Markets - Simple Forex Trading
This morning cable is boxed in between our averages. I am looking for a continuation cross north above 1.5880 for a test of 1.5940.
EU & AU are limited with no crosses.
GBPJPY was a cross short last night and the pair is at immediate support at 131.40.
EJ presented a continuation cross and has pulled back towards DP at 115.15. I am looking for a momentum push through 115.40 for a long position with a view to test 115.70
AJ broke the trendline resistance at 81.25 but is some way away from DP for me to look for a long entry.
My focus this session is on GBPUSD & EURJPY.
Have a good morning.
Regards,
Hemal
Hi guys,
Just like to take a moment to follow up from my post earlier.
I took both cable and EJ. Unfortunately, the markets weren't kind to me this morning as I got stopped on cable by 0.5 of a pip. That would be up around 4% at the time of writing. EJ was another one I got involved with which I decided to close at breakeven.
Glad to see some of the guys in the room take advantage of cable.
Anyway, an unlucky start for me this morning as I'm 2% down. Not a problem at all.
Hope this helps some of you.
Feel free to shout if you have any questions.
Regards,
Hemal
I hope you're well and had a good weekend.
As I'm sure you're aware, the USD is trading at a significant support level form 2008.
Cable is trading just below the 1.6 resistance level and AUDUSD is at the highest point I can see on my charts with a double top from .9850 resistance.
With the USD at these levels, we may see a top on cable, AUDUSD and possibly EURUSD. To enter a short trade, I need to see a major cross short and a pullback.
In the meantime, we have continuation crosses long cable and EURUSD. I will be monitoring price action to see if I can obtain a long entry but please be advised that this would require trading in to a longer term resistance level.
Today is a Bank Holiday in Canada, Japan and the U.S. Euro French Production at 7:45 may see some action on the EUR pairs.
I'm looking to keep things tight today as I expect limited momentum and the mentioned state of the greenback
Have a good morning.
Hi, Just like to provide a quick update to follow up on my morning post.
As you know, GBPUSD and AUDUSD are trading at significant resistance levels. For a medium term view, I am looking for my next major cross to the downside before I start attempting short positions.
In the meantime, I was looking for a short term play long on EURUSD & GBPUSD for a quick 40/50 pips. However, having accessed the charts during the first part of trading, I am not convinced that we will see a solid move towards 1.6000 and 1.4000 first thing this morning. As a result, no long trades have been taken and I have backed away from those for now.
Moving forward, I am looking at a possible play on EURJPY for a short position with a view to re-test 113.70. I'm still waiting for confirmation by the way of price moving through 114.30. Defiantly something to keep an eye on today.
As mentioned, little news today with some major players out of the game so may have to wait to get involved.
Enjoy your day.
Regards,
Hemal
Morning,
We have a major cross south on EURUSD. I am looking for a way to get short either on the next test of the 15 min 20 or after a break of 1.3840 support.
Euro figures at 7am followed by GBP data at 9:30 amd FOMC minutes later this evening.
Should be an active session where I expect to see some strength in the grenback.
Also keeping an eye on GBPUSD & GBPCHF for a short entry.
Regards,
Hemal
Hello and welcome to this thread. My name is Hemal Pandya and I’m a full time Independent FX trader specialising in short term trades on GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPJPY, EURJPY and GBPJPY crosses. Some of you will know me from previous posts/threads but I have created a new account in my company name. With the support of my administrative team, I will be posting my strategy and market outlook for the London open session. As I try to make my pips in the morning, the vast majority of my posts will be just before and after the London session. I will try my best to answer any questions one may have as quickly as possible. I hope that the content give you a good insight into my trading and how/why I look for trades as well as how I manage my book. Over the coming days, I will be posting some of my rules on entry criteria’s and how I determine my stop levels. Let’s get straight in to the action....Contrary to many traders, I don’t think it’s all about the pips. Personally I don’t pay my bills in pips but rather GBP. So I do not measure my performance in pips but % gains. Every single trade of mine is a fixed % (I personally use 2% risk per trade). This, in my opinion is a very straightforward, objective and simple method to measure my performance and most importantly compound my account. So the first lesson from me is money management. Money management is the single most important factor in any business including trading. Ok, we’ve all heard that many times but I hear you ask “how do you manage your money”. Simple. Account balance divided by 50 divided by stop loss size gives me my trade size. This ensures that every trade is exactly the same percentage risk. For example if I take a trade with a 20 pip stop loss and make 40 pips that equates to a profit of 4%. On the other hand, if I get stopped, my loss is 2%. Simple enough hey??Anyway, that’s all for now. Next we’ll cover the indicators.Feel free to get involved, ask questions help others in their trading journey and hopefully we’ll all make our 5% per week.Re
Hemal,
How do you mathematically get the 4% from the 40 pips? Can you present real numbers to your formula.?
Morning all,
I'm looking for the following...
Cable - Continuation cross short or a major cross long.
EURUSD - Looking for a pullback towards the 1.3900/20 level for a long position.
1.3330 short order on EC. 20 pip stop.
EURJPY - Looking for price to hold above the 4hr 20 for a long position
EURCHF- Looking for a continuation cross south
Have a good morning.
Hemal,How do you mathematically get the 4% from the 40 pips? Can you present real numbers to your formula.?
Hi 70news2,
I always use 2% risk of my account. This is calulated by using the following. Account size divided by 50 divided by stop loss size.
For example, 20 pip stop loss. Account size divided by 50 = X. X divided 20 = trade size.
Running with the same example and to answer your qustion, say I made 20 pips, that would be a 2% profit, 40 pips is 4% and so on. In this case, every 20 pips means 2% profit.
A simple way to measure it is by looking at your stop loss size and (say 30 pips) and for every 30 pips the chart moves in your favour you make 2% profit (assuming you're happy to tyrade with 2% risk.
Does that answer your question?
Regards,
Hemal
Good morning ,
I hope you're well.
We have major 60 minute crosses on Cable and EURUSD however we are some distance away from DP this morning. Shame about our entry on EURUSD at 1.3910 not getting hit.
Over to the Yens, we have a 15 minute cross looming on GBPJPY through DP. I intend to take a short position with a stop just above the 4hr 20.
EURJPY is still a cross long but as we discussed yesterday, the pair has faied to make a higher high and in fact it would appear that we have a DT formation. Looks a little tricky to me this morning. Would like to see a break higher, pullback and long or a major cross south.
AUDJPY has failed to make any ground above 81.20 and the pair is now testing the 4hr 20. I'd like to see a 15 minute continuation cross north or a major cross south.
We have no news first thing this morning and given that Asia has been busy, I may have to wait a few hours to get involved.
Euro news and 9am and 11am followed by CAD & U.S. data this afternmoon at 1:30.
Look forward to seeing you in the room.
Regards,
Hemal
You have the option to take 1% at this support level. Should it break 80.80, I expect to see further downside. I have moved my stop to 81.20 which holds 1% risk.
This morning we have a major cross on GBPCHF. I am looking for a oullback towards the 4hr 20 for a long entry.
Should we see a continuation cross on EURUSD, I will be looking for a long position.
GBPJPY & EURJPY- These look top heavy to me but I need to see evidence of a move south my the way of a major cross.
Lets have a good morning.
Regards,
Hemal
P.S Little news this morning so may be a slow session.
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Hello and welcome to this thread. My name is Hemal Pandya and I’m a full time Independent FX trader specialising in short term trades on GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPJPY, EURJPY and GBPJPY crosses. Some of you will know me from previous posts/threads but I have created a new account in my company name.
With the support of my administrative team, I will be posting my strategy and market outlook for the London open session. As I try to make my pips in the morning, the vast majority of my posts will be just before and after the London session. I will try my best to answer any questions one may have as quickly as possible. I hope that the content give you a good insight into my trading and how/why I look for trades as well as how I manage my book.
Over the coming days, I will be posting some of my rules on entry criteria’s and how I determine my stop levels.
Let’s get straight in to the action....
Contrary to many traders, I don’t think it’s all about the pips. Personally I don’t pay my bills in pips but rather GBP. So I do not measure my performance in pips but % gains. Every single trade of mine is a fixed % (I personally use 2% risk per trade). This, in my opinion is a very straightforward, objective and simple method to measure my performance and most importantly compound my account. So the first lesson from me is money management.
Money management is the single most important factor in any business including trading. Ok, we’ve all heard that many times but I hear you ask “how do you manage your money”. Simple.
Account balance divided by 50 divided by stop loss size gives me my trade size. This ensures that every trade is exactly the same percentage risk. For example if I take a trade with a 20 pip stop loss and make 40 pips that equates to a profit of 4%. On the other hand, if I get stopped, my loss is 2%. Simple enough hey??
Anyway, that’s all for now. Next we’ll cover the indicators.
Feel free to get involved, ask questions help others in their trading journey and hopefully we’ll all make our 5% per week.
Regards,
Hemal