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Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up, guys! The new version of Gold Chaser is looking very good! It now uses the American Dollar Index (or "Dixie") as a supporting symbol, which helps it make more accurate forecasts. It trades Gold and Silver on the demo account, but it can also trade Bitcoin and Oil. In order to use this strategy, you do not have to have a Dixie indicator in your terminal. However, you need to have the 6 symbols comprising the Dixie indicator, including USDSEK. Find the full history of Gold Chaser on myfxbook.com or check the description here https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/108100
· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina
I do it again! This is a new assessment of the top 10 strategies competing in the market. The previous assessment of July 1st is here . I do this series of posts because I want to stay informed about what users buy and whether there is a good strategy after all...
· 6
1095
Evgeniy Scherbina
Fed Rate has been at the historical maximum for quite a while. It is expected to change in September. On July 31st, it is expected to be confirmed...
What it means is that USD should let it go. AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD may instantly go upwards, while USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY will head downwards.
The questions is: Will this move in currencies take place after the conference on July 31st or later in September?
My answer is: It will happen this Wednesday. I am going to remove all positions favoring USD. And I recommend doing so to you.
What it means is that USD should let it go. AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD may instantly go upwards, while USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY will head downwards.
The questions is: Will this move in currencies take place after the conference on July 31st or later in September?
My answer is: It will happen this Wednesday. I am going to remove all positions favoring USD. And I recommend doing so to you.
· 2
Evgeniy Scherbina
2024.07.28
Нет, я думаю золото в канале вверх-вниз до выборов в ноябре. А осенью наконец будут большие движения.
Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up, folks! My newest approach is to use a supporting symbol to gain insights and make relevant trading decisions. Below is a comparison of different supporting symbols.
My major symbols are: AUDCAD, AUD, EUR, GBPCHF, GBP, CAD, CHF, JPY, and SEK. While the supporting symbols are: Oil, Dixie, Dax, Ftse, and Gold. Yes, you got it right! I have finally incorporated stock indices into Forex trading. All of which is available with any broker, because the rare and valuable staff is downloaded from Yahoo Finance.
What we see in this chart, is that Oil, Dixie, Dax and Gold are mostly winning. The one loser is Ftse. Oil lost 2 major symbols in the test period Jan-May 2024, while Dixie lost only one major symbol. But Dixie has the highest drawdown of 10% on SEK, together with Ftse. The drawdowns are not shown in this chart, but surely it is not only about how tall the columns are.
I think I will put it all together in one strategy, including the losing Ftse, so that everyone knows what an amazing and extensive testing has been done to achieve these results. While Oil should be the preferred choice, the other options will add confidence to it.
My major symbols are: AUDCAD, AUD, EUR, GBPCHF, GBP, CAD, CHF, JPY, and SEK. While the supporting symbols are: Oil, Dixie, Dax, Ftse, and Gold. Yes, you got it right! I have finally incorporated stock indices into Forex trading. All of which is available with any broker, because the rare and valuable staff is downloaded from Yahoo Finance.
What we see in this chart, is that Oil, Dixie, Dax and Gold are mostly winning. The one loser is Ftse. Oil lost 2 major symbols in the test period Jan-May 2024, while Dixie lost only one major symbol. But Dixie has the highest drawdown of 10% on SEK, together with Ftse. The drawdowns are not shown in this chart, but surely it is not only about how tall the columns are.
I think I will put it all together in one strategy, including the losing Ftse, so that everyone knows what an amazing and extensive testing has been done to achieve these results. While Oil should be the preferred choice, the other options will add confidence to it.
· 5
Evgeniy Scherbina
So here we go again. This is going to be a review of my market top published exactly 1 month ago ( check it here ). This is primarily to understand what users buy, why users buy it. And, of course, the strategies that users buy - are they good...
· 4
5004
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Evgeniy Scherbina
2 months straight up +30% and growing!
It uses the American Dollar Index, or "Dixie", as a supporting symbol.
LuminaFX check it out here: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/114681
It uses the American Dollar Index, or "Dixie", as a supporting symbol.
LuminaFX check it out here: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/114681
· 3
Evgeniy Scherbina
Выставил продукт
LuminaFX - полностью автоматический советник, который торгует 8 символов с одного графика. Советник реализует популярный вариант рекуррентной нейронной модели. В качестве входов для нейронной модели используются значения индикатора "Шмукси" (мой аналог Индекса американского доллара DXY или "Дикси"). Вы можете скачать бесплатный индикатор IDixie и установить его на один график с советником LuminaFX. Индикатор IDixie рассчитывает цену закрытия Индекса американского доллара, который используется в
· 2
Sergey Porphiryev
2024.06.06
На робофорексе, я так понимаю USDSEK - нет ни в каком виде... т.е. - вообще безвариантов?
а на RannForex он как USDX - наверное надо передавать имя символа советнику в параметрах?
а на RannForex он как USDX - наверное надо передавать имя символа советнику в параметрах?
Evgeniy Scherbina
2024.06.06
Хороший брокер IC Markets. У него есть скрил, я последнее время к нему присматриваюсь. Можно копировать сделки через патч. Патч у меня есть пока только для QuantumPip и только для МТ4.
Sergey Porphiryev
2024.06.06
CopyCats Trade Copier - по мне идеально!
Пошёл тестить на IC Markets ;)
Пошёл тестить на IC Markets ;)
Evgeniy Scherbina
Top 10 Expert Advisors in the market - which of them will keep it up in June 2024? First and foremost, a number of rules to define a good strategy: Diversification. A good strategy should be able to trade many symbols...
· 8
506
Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up, guys! I am testing a new risky strategy LuminaFX. You can check its demo signal in my profile on myfxbook.com (simply look for LuminaFX). And this is what I am seeing. In April - start of May, LuminaFX slowed down a bit, while QuantumPip was bumping up quickly. If these two were combined, they would still show an upward progress.
Likewise, right now I am seeing that it is QuantumPip slowing down, while LuminaFX is really pushing up. They differ in the way inputs are fed: stacked sequences for QuantumPip, ordered sequences for LuminaFX. There is a reason why they may be opening opposite trades.
And as we all know, it is better to open more trades because more risk creates more profit. If the forecast quality is at least 51% (it is so for both QuantumPip and LuminaFX), a lot of trades would always be winning at the end of a month. A few good trades may be pure luck, it may last 1 month, 2 months... But a lot of trades will always create enough opportunities to grab profits!!
What do you think?
Likewise, right now I am seeing that it is QuantumPip slowing down, while LuminaFX is really pushing up. They differ in the way inputs are fed: stacked sequences for QuantumPip, ordered sequences for LuminaFX. There is a reason why they may be opening opposite trades.
And as we all know, it is better to open more trades because more risk creates more profit. If the forecast quality is at least 51% (it is so for both QuantumPip and LuminaFX), a lot of trades would always be winning at the end of a month. A few good trades may be pure luck, it may last 1 month, 2 months... But a lot of trades will always create enough opportunities to grab profits!!
What do you think?
· 3
Evgeniy Scherbina
Выставил продукт
Советник QuantumPip ("КвантумПип") - это полностью автоматический советник, который умеет торговать несколько символов с одного графика. Советник также использует цены Золота, Нефти, Дикси, DAX или FTSE для расчета входов по этим символам. Советник использует два вида рекуррентной нейронной модели - односетевую (решения "бай" или "селл") и двухсетевую (решения "бай" или неопределенность и "селл" или неопределенность). Таким образом, советник QuantumPip торгует одновременно по 20 стратегиям - по
Evgeniy Scherbina
I have started a new demo signal for this new strategy LuminaFX, which relies on the ordered bars and not stacked bars. As I wrote previously, it cannot pass the history well. But boy does it rush upwards right away? It is the first week +10%. And it is immediately a positive profit for anything it opens?!?!
· 3
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hi, everyone. I am working to make a new advisor based on a new principle. I have always believed in a stacked order of bars. But recently I thought there may be a better sequential order... I am still testing it. But the new name is ready! Bam-bam pam-pam-pam! It is LuminaFX!
The thing is QuantumPip, which is my most advanced system so far, still shows better results. I can't make LuminaFX outperform QuantumPip. But I will keep on searching. I think if the past has the same random prices as the future does, a good strategy should be able to pass the history with a satisfactory result. LuminaFX struggles to do it. Do I have to come to the conclusion that it is different: To be able to pass the random prices of the future, a good strategy should not fit to the prices of the past at all???
The thing is QuantumPip, which is my most advanced system so far, still shows better results. I can't make LuminaFX outperform QuantumPip. But I will keep on searching. I think if the past has the same random prices as the future does, a good strategy should be able to pass the history with a satisfactory result. LuminaFX struggles to do it. Do I have to come to the conclusion that it is different: To be able to pass the random prices of the future, a good strategy should not fit to the prices of the past at all???
· 4
Evgeniy Scherbina
Выставил продукт
IDixie - это индикатор, показывающий значения открытия и закрытия индекса американского доллара DXY или "Дикси". Индикатор рассчитывается из взвешенных значений 6 основных символов: EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDSEK и USDCHF. Помимо значений "Дикси", индикатор также показывает скользящую среднюю. Вы можете задать период скользящей средней. Когда бары индикатора пробивают скользящую среднюю, это создает хорошие сигналы для входа в рынок. Как правило, сигналы индикатора надежнее, чем похожие
· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina
Добавил тему На сайте есть индекс USDX, есть ли к нему программный доступ из МТ5?
Я знаю, как посчитать из 6 символов. Но может он просто доступен, я и не знал
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Evgeniy Scherbina
Выставил продукт
Индикатор IQuantum показывает торговые сигналы по 10 символам на дневном графике: AUDCAD, AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPCAD, GBPCHF, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF и USDJPY. Сигналы индикатора генерируются двумя нейронными моделями, которые были обучены независимо друг от друга. В качестве входов для нейронных моделей используются нормализованные цены символов, а также золота, серебра и указатели текущего дня. Каждая нейронная модель была обучена в двух вариантах. Максимальный режим (Ultimate) представляет
Evgeniy Scherbina
So this is it. Gold has broken it. For the first time in history, Gold is exploring the price of over 2100 USD. We are living it, and we should be proud about it? Happy about it? Or worried about it?
The good thing to know is it can't grow endlessly. It must fall. There is no level that is higher than 2100. So no target value to reach and to roll back. It can roll back any day. Any time. Can it roll back today?
The bad thing, or the bad consequence is evident. No one expected it to grow that high. It just broke all indicators. It has made us incur losses and suffer the pain of frustration. It is not fair! Go back, you brick of bright shiny gold! Go back now!
My two advisors - Gold Chaser and Neural Rabbit - both trade Gold. Their neural model for Gold is identical, and it could not foresee the trend beyond 2100 because it has never happened in the history on which it was trained. Clearly, I will have to retrain the model. To avoid that kind of miscalculation in the future, I am going to try the following ways:
1) Extend the training period.
2) Drop the trade-off between a good historical chart and a good performance on the unseen future data. What this means, is I tried with these 2 advisors to accomodate the 2 approaches. I wanted to please those traders who want to be sure it can pass the history well. And I tried to find such values of neural loss which would allow the strategy make correct trading decisions on the unseen future data. That is why it broke. No more trade-offs! Trade-offs don't work! Or else they work until the market spirals out of control.
3) My latest approach is to leave out 75% of training data to avoid repetitions in the training dataset and make it less addicted to such repetitions. The following validation includes a 100% of the dataset, so I can always make sure it is a valid neural model.
We do not succumb to the frustration wrought by the power of the unwinding market! We adapt and we become stronger! Profit will be ours!
The good thing to know is it can't grow endlessly. It must fall. There is no level that is higher than 2100. So no target value to reach and to roll back. It can roll back any day. Any time. Can it roll back today?
The bad thing, or the bad consequence is evident. No one expected it to grow that high. It just broke all indicators. It has made us incur losses and suffer the pain of frustration. It is not fair! Go back, you brick of bright shiny gold! Go back now!
My two advisors - Gold Chaser and Neural Rabbit - both trade Gold. Their neural model for Gold is identical, and it could not foresee the trend beyond 2100 because it has never happened in the history on which it was trained. Clearly, I will have to retrain the model. To avoid that kind of miscalculation in the future, I am going to try the following ways:
1) Extend the training period.
2) Drop the trade-off between a good historical chart and a good performance on the unseen future data. What this means, is I tried with these 2 advisors to accomodate the 2 approaches. I wanted to please those traders who want to be sure it can pass the history well. And I tried to find such values of neural loss which would allow the strategy make correct trading decisions on the unseen future data. That is why it broke. No more trade-offs! Trade-offs don't work! Or else they work until the market spirals out of control.
3) My latest approach is to leave out 75% of training data to avoid repetitions in the training dataset and make it less addicted to such repetitions. The following validation includes a 100% of the dataset, so I can always make sure it is a valid neural model.
We do not succumb to the frustration wrought by the power of the unwinding market! We adapt and we become stronger! Profit will be ours!
· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hey, guys. I am currently working to create a free indicator which will visualize the trading decisions of my newest advisor "QuantumPip".
Below is the picture of how it may look like. I am still thinking of what could be done. I hope I can publish it this week.
It is going to be based on the same data as the advisor "QuantumPip", but it will be a free indicator, not an advisor by itself. Some users like to see how trading decisions were made.
If you have any comments or suggestions, you are invited to comment here or you can write to me via the messages.
Below is the picture of how it may look like. I am still thinking of what could be done. I hope I can publish it this week.
It is going to be based on the same data as the advisor "QuantumPip", but it will be a free indicator, not an advisor by itself. Some users like to see how trading decisions were made.
If you have any comments or suggestions, you are invited to comment here or you can write to me via the messages.
· 2
Evgeniy Scherbina
ChatGPT is pondering on how to help users understand the concepts of machine learning.
To address this issue, you may consider implementing the following strategies:
- **Educational Materials**: Develop educational materials or presentations that explain the concepts of overfitting, generalization, and the importance of future performance in a simple and accessible way.
- **Comparative Analysis**: Compare the performance of overfit models and properly trained models on real-world data to demonstrate the impact of overfitting on future performance.
- **Risk Assessment**: Discuss the risks associated with overfitting and the potential consequences of basing decisions solely on visually appealing historical charts.
- **Engagement**: Encourage customer engagement by involving them in the model evaluation process and demonstrating the value of robust, generalizable models over visually appealing but overfit models.
To address this issue, you may consider implementing the following strategies:
- **Educational Materials**: Develop educational materials or presentations that explain the concepts of overfitting, generalization, and the importance of future performance in a simple and accessible way.
- **Comparative Analysis**: Compare the performance of overfit models and properly trained models on real-world data to demonstrate the impact of overfitting on future performance.
- **Risk Assessment**: Discuss the risks associated with overfitting and the potential consequences of basing decisions solely on visually appealing historical charts.
- **Engagement**: Encourage customer engagement by involving them in the model evaluation process and demonstrating the value of robust, generalizable models over visually appealing but overfit models.
· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina
Добавил тему Разговор с ChatGPT об улучшении нейронной сети и торговле на Форекс
4 тыс рублей в год за подписку ChatGPT, чтобы все узнать... Жаль, бот сообщает фундаментальные знания, которые она выдает за самую объективную и полную информацию. Конечно, зачем делать машинное обучение. Ведь проще просто спросить, что будет с евро
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Evgeniy Scherbina
Добавил тему Хочу сделать стратегию с максимально красивым историческим графиком
Пользователи предпочитают стратегии, которые рисуют красивые графики. Ни продавцов, ни тем более покупателей не волнует, что красивая история не зарабатывает на неизвестном периоде. Многие продавцы-разработчики даже не ломают голову из-за какого-то
165