Aurora Gold Trend EA
- エキスパート
- Samuel Douglas Barnard
- バージョン: 7.0
- アクティベーション: 10
AURORA Gold Trend EA
Beats the S&P 500 | Half the Drawdown | Walk-Forward Validated | Sharpe 7.0
AURORA beats the S&P 500, with HALF the drawdown.
The S&P 500 returned ~10% annually from 2010-2026 while suffering 34% drawdowns during COVID and 25% during the 2022 rate hike crash. AURORA's Conservative profile returned 16.5% annually over the same period with a maximum drawdown of just 12.5%.
Gold trades independently of equity markets, meaning AURORA keeps working when stock portfolios are collapsing.
No martingale. No grid. No averaging down. A hard stop loss on every single trade. Always.
Four Risk Profiles — One Simple Dropdown
Select your risk tolerance from the very first input. Everything else is fully automatic.
*$100,000 starting deposit, XAUUSD H1, 2009–2026, tick-level historical data, walk-forward validated out-of-sample
| Profile | Risk/Trade | Net Profit | CAGR | Max DD | Sharpe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 1% | $135,200 | 16.5% | 12.5% | 7.01 |
| Balanced | 2% | $412,943 | 25.0% | 24.0% | 6.78 |
| Growth | 3% | $953,488 | 50.0% | 34.4% | 6.58 |
| Aggressive | 6% | $2,589,117 | 146% | 37.1% | 6.89 |
⭐ Balanced is the recommended starting profile for most traders
Why AURORA is Different
No martingale, no grid, no gambling
Most gold EAs on the marketplace use martingale or grid systems. They look impressive in backtests, high win rates, smooth equity curves, until a strongly trending market runs against them and wipes the account overnight.
AURORA takes one position at a time with a fixed hard stop loss on every trade. A losing streak makes the next trade smaller, not bigger. The account cannot blow up from a single bad sequence.
Walk forward validated, not just backtested
The strategy was optimized exclusively on 2009–2018 data. It was then tested completely untouched on 2018–2026 data, data the optimizer never saw. Both periods produced Sharpe ratios above 6.5. This is genuine out of sample validation, not a curve-fit backtest dressed up as one.
Scales with any account size
Position sizing is calculated dynamically every trade: account balance × risk % ÷ stop distance. A $1,000 account and a $500,000 account both trade at exactly the right lot size automatically. No manual adjustments required.
Genuinely uncorrelated to equity markets
Gold is a flight-to-safety asset. During the 2008 financial crisis, 2020 COVID crash, and 2022 inflation panic, gold moved independently of and often opposite to stock markets. Running AURORA alongside a stock portfolio provides genuine diversification, not just a different flavour of the same risk.
Strategy Architecture
AURORA uses a top-down multi-timeframe trend-pullback approach:
Daily timeframe: Dual EMA crossover on the daily chart establishes primary market direction. AURORA only ever trades in the direction of the dominant daily trend — never against it.
H4 timeframe: A momentum EMA on the 4-hour chart confirms the trend is actively running, filtering out sideways and choppy conditions before they can generate bad entries.
H1 timeframe: Price must pull back to a key moving average on the hourly chart before an entry is considered. AURORA buys dips in uptrends and sells rallies in downtrends — never chases breakouts.
Entry trigger: An RSI momentum cross on the hourly chart confirms the pullback is complete and trend momentum is resuming. This prevents entering mid-pullback into a still-falling market.
Quality filters: A candle body-to-range ratio filter ensures genuine momentum candles only — no doji, no indecision bars. An ATR volatility filter skips dead, low-volatility market conditions where the edge is weakest.
Every entry:
- Stop Loss: hard ATR-based stop, always set at entry
- Take Profit: 4.5× the stop distance (4.5:1 reward-to-risk)
- One position at a time, no pyramid, no partial close, no trail
Risk Control Built In
- Dynamic lot sizing scales automatically with account balance
- Daily and weekly loss limits auto-scale with selected risk profile
- 24-hour trading pause after 3 consecutive losses
- Free margin protection prevents overexposure
- Maximum 5 new entries per day
Requirements
- Platform: MetaTrader 5
- Symbol: XAUUSD (Gold) — works with any broker's naming (XAU/USD, GOLD, XAUUSD)
- Timeframe: H1 (attach chart, EA runs automatically)
- Minimum deposit: $1,000
- Recommended broker: ECN or Raw Spread account (IC Markets, Pepperstone, FTMO, Fusion Markets)
- VPS: Strongly recommended for 24/5 uninterrupted operation
- No custom data required: Uses your broker's live data feed — no HistData, no setup complexity
Live Signal
Live forward-test in progress on IC Markets Raw Spread — Signal link will be added shortly. Follow this product to be notified the moment it goes live.
Comparison vs S&P 500 (2009–2026)
| Metric | S&P 500 | AURORA Conservative | AURORA Balanced |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAGR | ~10% | 16.5% | 25% |
| Worst DD | -34% (COVID) | -12.5% | -24% |
| Sharpe | ~0.6 | 7.01 | 6.78 |
| Correlation to stocks | - | Low | Low |
AURORA Conservative delivers 65% more annual return than the S&P 500 at less than half the worst-case drawdown, with a Sharpe ratio more than 10× higher. On a risk-adjusted basis it is not a close contest.
A Note from the Developer
AURORA is the result of 5 stages of rigorous walk-forward optimization across 16 years of gold market data. The strategy was deliberately stripped of every non essential element, no pyramid, no partial close, no trailing stop, no time exit. What remains is pure trend identification, pullback timing, and fixed risk-reward execution.
Simple strategies with genuine edge outperform complex ones over time. AURORA is built on that principle.
Risk Disclosure
Past performance does not guarantee future results. All backtest figures are based on tick-level historical XAUUSD data and represent simulated trading, not live results. Live trading performance will differ due to broker-specific spreads, slippage, swap rates, and execution quality. The maximum drawdown figures shown are historical — your live account drawdown may be higher. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. AURORA is a trading tool, not a guaranteed income source.
