Discussion of article "The price movement model and its main provisions (Part 2): Probabilistic price field evolution equation and the occurrence of the observed random walk" - page 5

 
Maxim Kuznetsov #:

you need a good dealer :-)

it's much simpler than that. As TC hinted - there are only 2 fundamental things: discrete random walk and the problem of player's ruin. And cyclic nature of real processes (for some reason everyone dismisses it). Presence of feedbacks (in both directions and forwards and backwards). From there, the system of DM and heat maps of probabilities. All forget about discreteness, cyclicity and feedback (what we see in quotirs - there sometimes traces of consequences and causes change places, first we see the imprint of consequences and only then causes).

There is no grail (for other reasons, but it is simply impossible), but probably something minimising stupidity. And I have to read all sorts of things about economics, including politics and history, and not just poke around in a graph shamanising with deep-learning.

You are right about two fundamental things. These two points will indeed be used in the next article for practically useful (for a trader) calculations.

 
Inquiring #:

The merit of Hegel and Lenin is that they recognised the spiral movement as a universal, universal principle of development, i.e. a principle concerning the structure and evolution of any system - physical, social, economic

I.e. they combined different facts from different fields of knowledge in their heads (by inventing concepts)...
This is not a discovery in the scientific sense of the word. They are sets of words. For some reason, you like these sets of words better than other sets of words (other concepts of universal principles, like Christian or Buddhist). But what does this have to do with reality ?

 
Maxim Kuznetsov #:

you need a good dealer :-)

it's much simpler than that. As TC hinted - there are only 2 fundamental things: discrete random walk and the problem of player's ruin. And cyclic nature of real processes (for some reason everyone dismisses it). Presence of feedbacks (in both directions and forwards and backwards). From there, the system of DM and heat maps of probabilities. All forget about discreteness, cyclicity and feedback (what we see in quotirs - there sometimes traces of consequences and causes change places, first we see the imprint of consequences and only then causes).

There will be no grail (for other reasons, but it is simply impossible), but probably something minimising stupidity. And I have to read all sorts of things about economics, including politics and history, and not just poke around in a graph shamanising with deep-learning.

deep-learning will definitely not help) And I have met people who trade well by looking at charts).

 
Mikhail Tkachev #:

I.e. they have combined different facts from different fields of knowledge in their heads (by inventing concepts)...
This is not a discovery in the scientific sense of the word. They are sets of words. For some reason, you like these sets of words better than other sets of words (other concepts of universal principles of development). But what does this have to do with reality ?


Classic.

 
Maxim Kuznetsov #:


classic.

Scholasticism

 
In black and white
Files:
 
spiderman8811 #:
In black and white

keep it simple :-) "reality given in sensations"... don't like VIL, then "Occam's razor" - don't breed entities in excess.

Don't add quasitractors and self-deciding NNs to the objective. One should be closer to the people :-) Make decisions standing on the ground

Price came up - sell, down - buy. Look how the American session works: it works exactly the same way in currencies. If it "crashes" - a good reason to sit on the fence for a day or two, a few do not share our horizon.

and even more - if we don't sit on the fence, we buy when it starts to grow and sell when it starts to fall. It's like that for everyone but the US

 
Mikhail Tkachev #:

I.e. they have combined different facts from different fields of knowledge in their heads (by inventing concepts)...
This is not discovery in the scientific sense of the word. They are sets of words. For some reason, you like these sets of words better than other sets of words (other concepts of universal principles, like Christian or Buddhist). But what does this have to do with reality ?

What is your conception of reality ? The random tossing of atoms in the void ? Or some kind of your own realisation of the world around you?

 
spiderman8811 #:
In black and white

A friend of mine, Vasya Yakimkim, known as an advanced trader , told me about these attractors about twenty years ago. Then he wrote a book " Forex : How to earn big money " and even became a government advisor on the issues of relevant investments in some institute under the President. So this Vasya did not mention attractors in his book, apparently disappointed in the prospects of this approach. However, these are my assumptions.


 
Aleksey Ivanov #:

One of my acquaintances, Vasya Yakimkim, known as an advanced trader , told me about these attractors twenty years ago. Then he wrote a book " Forex : How to Make Big Money " and even became a government advisor on relevant investments in some institute under the President. So this Vasya did not mention attractors in his book, apparently disappointed in the prospects of this approach. However, these are my assumptions.


Although, on the other hand, the energy levels, about which I wrote here and on which the price "falls", are just another expression of such attractors.