From theory to practice. Part 2 - page 147

 
Aleksey Nikolayev:


By the way, it's a good exercise for the brain to think about the difference between a lane laid by someone and a price chart)

It has been thought about and done for a long time. The market can't draw as well as an artist's hand with a chlamaster, guided by a creative head. The set of patterns-patterns-patterns-patterns-patterns are strictly limited by virtue of the device. And tracking accuracy for trading needs +- a tram stop - even a primitive tracking, compared to the mass forecasting systems of the future, which run ahead of the locomotive all the time and signal inopportunely, seems like the Grail.

 
Wizard2018:

In the hands of the Master and the pencil is a formidable weapon. Masha separates Yin from Yang on the graph no worse, and often much better, than the Multi-storey Integral. And then everyone will benefit from this division proportionally to his comprehension :))))).

Well, if you compare like that, it's undeniable)
In fact all information lies in the centre of uncertainty, that is in the places on the market where nothing can be predicted, the highest chance of forecasting. And where everything is definite, it is almost impossible to predict anything. This is a paradox...
PS: From a pencil to a master, the payoff is always predictable. Unlike Mashka)
 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:
. It's a paradox...

It's always like that - so that life doesn't seem like a fairy tale. What can you do? Everywhere there is a wedge :) ) ) The architects of this world love to mock.

P.S.

We should act like the program in Arduinka at the link, which knows nothing about future turns, but nevertheless guides the robot along the line. Since it's all uncertainty and there's nothing we can do about it. Or there is a second, generally cool variant - to find a set of possible patterns, and after recognizing the next one, do not try to trade its reaction to it and/or guess the next one, you will not get anything but 50/50 - this can be definitely stated beforehand. But it is possible to trade the current situation so as to gain profit in any future developments. This is realistic. It is also possible to combine them.

 
Wizard2018:

It has long been thought and done. The market can't draw like an artist's hand with a chlamaster, guided by a creative head. The set of patterns-patterns-patterns-patterns are strictly limited by virtue of the device. And trading precision needs +- tram-stop accuracy - even primitive trackingseems like a grail, compared to mass-produced predictive systems, always racing ahead of the locomotive and beeping inopportunely.

The word "seems" is key. It is one thing to follow an unknown, but deterministic trend (though unknown to us, it is already predetermined), and quite another to follow a random, undetermined trend. The second problem can only be solved mathematically under very strict conditions, which are obviously not met for prices.

But don't believe me of course and keep breaking the back of forex by adjusting your pid-regulators properly)

 
Aleksey Nikolayev:


But of course you do not believe me and continue to break the back of forex, adjusting your pid-regulators properly)

I have already written about back breaking and senselessness of this activity - it is for various fortune-tellers and prognosticators-mathematicians, let them struggle with the flow till they are blue in the face, trying to be smarter than the market and know better than it, where it needs to go :))))

 
Wizard2018:

But it is possible to trade the current situation so as to be in profit in any future developments. It can be done.

Well, tell me!

But don't start babbling about how it's "my intellectual property ..." and generally "a lot of people have worked there and I'm not entitled ..." and so on and so forth.

P.S. By the way, your signal and PAMM are great!

 
Wizard2018:

It's always like that - so that life doesn't seem like a fairy tale. What can you do? Everywhere there is a wedge :) ) ) The architects of this world love to mock.

P.S.

We should act like the program in Arduinka at the link, which knows nothing about future turns, but nevertheless guides the robot along the line. Since it's all uncertainty and there's nothing we can do about it. Or there is a second, generally cool variant - to find a set of possible patterns, and after recognizing the next one, do not try to trade its reaction to it and/or guess the next one, you will not get anything but 50/50 - this can be definitely stated beforehand. But it is possible to trade the current situation so as to gain profit in any future developments. This is realistic. It is also possible to combine them.

The second option is good) and the fewer possible developments, the easier it is to be profitable in any case)
 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:
The second option is good) and the fewer possible options, the easier it is to profit in any case).

There are many variants in the markets, but they all add up to bundles. Recognising them is a trader's art.

 
Wizard2018:

For example like this

https://iarduino.kz/blog/robot-dvizhucshijsya-po-linii-s-ispolzovaniem-pid-upravleniya.hml

Firstly, the robot is not looking directly under its own nose, but a little further away, i.e. into the future, which is not in front of its eyes in the market. Secondly, the robot is tuned directly to the track, the essence is optimised, otherwise it will drive at a turtle speed or fly out. Thirdly, the tracks there are smooth, put such a robot out of the box on a track with a market-like trajectory, like V- or W-turns and it will very quickly come to the fence.

 
It is good that no one knows where the price is going. Otherwise speculators would not be allowed to enter the markets.