The oil issue ... - page 44

 
In short - China will save the world China will save the world...
 
Sergey Golubev:

More on oil (from foreign articles).

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That is my guess - the Americans do not foresee oil rising above 44 in the theoretical foreseeable future

It could very well be a "hoax", disinformation, another lie. -- they are very good at that.
 

The charts, on the other hand, are completely unbiased

Let's take a look from the Daily bump :

 

And with the Weekly, let's have a look

Brent_20160126_Week

 
Morgan Stanley warns: oil price will fall to $20 a barrel http://www.inopressa.ru/article/12jan2016/ft/oil.html
Bloomberg reveals speculators plan to crash oil prices to $15 http://lenta.ru/news/2015/12/23/bloomberg/
Bloomberg рассказал о планах спекулянтов обрушить цены на нефть до 15 долларов
Bloomberg рассказал о планах спекулянтов обрушить цены на нефть до 15 долларов
  • 2015.12.23
  • lenta.ru
Спекулянты в 2016 году планируют снизить мировые цены на нефть до 15 долларов за баррель, сообщает Bloomberg со ссылкой на ряд инвесторов. Нефтяные спекулянты скупают короткие контракты, которые принесут им прибыль только в случае сильного падения цен на сырье. Главным фактором, подстегивающим игроков к такому шагу, является декабрьское решение...
 
Dennis Gartman is a "bear" - probably their informal leader on oil (i.e. there are "bulls" who play up, and there are "bears" who always play down).

So he must have calmed his audience with this article saying "guys, don't worry, it's too late to make a sell, but your competitors won't do well either, because oil will not go higher than $44 during my lifetime". (and the article was published in Business Insider 4 hours ago and about China that they are buying and will continue to buy more and more oil - in Market Night 8 hours ago). And China doesn't care who Dennis Gartman is :)
 
Nikolay Demko:
Morgan Stanley warns: oil price to fall to $20 a barrel http://www.inopressa.ru/article/12jan2016/ft/oil.html
Bloomberg reveals speculators plan to crash oil prices to $15 http://lenta.ru/news/2015/12/23/bloomberg/

who predicts morgan stanley or the world bank more accurately? ))

the latter has a forecast of only 37 )

http://www.forbes.ru/news/311309-vsemirnyi-bank-rezko-snizil-prognoz-tsen-nefti-v-2016-godu

Всемирный банк резко снизил прогноз цен нефти в 2016 году
Всемирный банк резко снизил прогноз цен нефти в 2016 году
  • www.forbes.ru
Всемирный банк (ВБ) резко ухудшил прогнозы цен на нефть со средней оценки в $52 за баррель, как прогнозировалось в октябре 2015 года, до $37 за баррель, говорится в докладе банка Commodity Markets Outlook, опубликованном во вторник, 26 января. В документе отмечается, что прогноз цен на 2016 год понижен также на цветные металлы и сельскохозяйственную продукцию, всего на 37 из 46 видов сырьевых товаров, указывается в ежеквартальном докладе.
 
Nikolay Demko:
Morgan Stanley warns: oil price will fall to $20 a barrel http://www.inopressa.ru/article/12jan2016/ft/oil.html
Bloomberg reveals speculators plan to crash oil prices to $15 http://lenta.ru/news/2015/12/23/bloomberg/
Yes, there was an article here yesterday (with video) on CNBC where they say the price is unlikely to hold at 30 and will actually be around 20 (where it should be).

Here it reminds me of Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley and other international financial institutions who must have been making EUR/USD forecasts for four months straight several times a week in the mode of "we believe EURUSD will be 0.95 at the end of 2015", "we believe EUR/USD will be 1 at the end of 2015, and 0.95 at the end of Q1 2016"... and so on. And EUR/USD is now 1.08 ...
The thing here is that the price is not driven by US corporations alone .... There is also China ...
 

This is the work of shaping the "opinion of the masses"

 
If you take the latest Goldman Sachs oil forecasts, they write(here, here and here and here and elsewhere) that the first quarter of this year will be between 20 and 40, and the half-year average will be around 40, and that 2016 is generally the year of the oil price increase.
Reason: