3 fundamental reasons to sell EUR/USD - BNP Paribas

3 fundamental reasons to sell EUR/USD - BNP Paribas

19 October 2015, 09:11
Sergey Golubev
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BNP Paribas suggested to make a short with EUR/USD with 1.0900 target and 1.1630 stop loss, and it is based on 3 fundamental reasons:

  • "Further risk-onEurozone capital outflows resume and markets start to reprice Fed hikes = EURUSD lower."
  • "Stable riskWithout a strong impulse from risk sentiment, the eurozone’s trade surplus is probably still putting some natural upward pressure on EURUSD. But with valuations already expensive, EUR funding should be more attractive = no clear signal for EURUSD."
  • "Return of risk-offEURUSD continues to rally, which forces the ECB to step up dovish rhetoric and ultimately ease policy = EURUSD first higher, then lower."

"We entered a short EUR/USD position with a target at 1.0900, and a stop at 1.1630."

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