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Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem ECB's Weidmann: Don't see need for monetary easing after Brexit
More signs the ECB will wait-and-see A 'sources' report earlier this week also indicated the ECB is in no rush to act. Must keep period of uncertainty as short as possible Scope of Brexit's economic impact not yet clear Brexit to slightly dampen growth in Eurozone and Germany...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem ISM's Holcomb says most data was collected before Brexit vote
ISM factory survey chairman Holcombe in presser a few moments ago 1 July mftg on a good trend ,not robust will have to wait and see about Brexit UK is relatively small US trading partner ISM to release Brexit results at 11.00 NY time ( any time now...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem Forex technical analysis: USDJPY trades between the goal posts
100 and 200 bar MA defining the risk The USDJPY has traded the last two days between the 100 and 200 hour MA. The price action suggests a comfort area for traders - a safe house. Eventually the market will make a break and run. Friday's can be difficult of course. It is a long weekend...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem US June auto sales have been soft so far
Here is who has reported: Honda sales +3.2% vs +9.4% estimate Volkswagen of America -22% GM sales -1.6% vs -0.7% estimate Ford sales +6.4% vs +4.9% estimate...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem US Fed's Fischer says they're watching markets closely and preparing for July FOMC meeting
US Federal Reserve's vice chairman Fischer out on the wires 1 July 2016 will have better idea of conditions by July FOMC meeting we make our decisions one meeting at a time we've got to look over a longer horizon than a few months most of the data since May payrolls looking good...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem Some Technical Analysis targets according to UOB
UOB out with a client note/recommendations 1 July 2016 Courtesy of our friends at efxnews.com While our tech guru Greg is tied up on the ForexLive ACT course here's someone else's T/A for those of you so inclined...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem Positioning For A Grind Downwards In EUR/USD – BNPP
EUR/USD dropped quite a bit on Brexit but showed some strength as well. It could further fall, say the people at BNP Paribas: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: The still-elevated level of GBP volatility renders downside GBP structures very expensive after last Thursday’s UK referendum...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem GBP/USD forecasts for 1, 3 and 12 months post-Brexit
One week after the big Brexit crash and as a new quarter begins, it is time to lift our heads from the near term and look forward...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem UK Manufacturing PMI jumps to 52.1 – GBP/USD supported
Not all is bad in the UK: manufacturing PMI has jumped to 52.1 points, showing growth in this beleaguered sector. The survey was made before the Brexit vote and therefore may be somewhat outdated...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY and XAUUSD TA – July 1 2016
EURUSD Daily Analysis EURUSD (1.109): EURUSD formed an outside bar on the daily session yesterday after QE and rate cut comments from the BoE Governor, Carney. The price action from the past three days shows a kind of consolidation taking place near the minor resistance level at 1...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem AUD, NZD: A Sell Vs Safe-Haven? Where To Target?
The Australian and New Zealand dollar both weathered the Brexit quite well, but this may not be the end...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem GBP Still Vulnerable To Further Declines And EUR Won’t Be Immune To That – ANZ
GBP/USD resumed its falls on Carney’s speech but there may be more to come, with sterling not falling alone: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: Despite the sharp fall in GBP so far, we still see it as vulnerable to further declines...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem Carney Crash – GBP/USD falls to support on BOE’s easing promise
Carny made a special appearance and offers easing during the summer as a reaction to Brexit. He makes a heavy hint that they will take a decision in August. This speech was scheduled only yesterday and is seen as part of the damage control. GBP//USD slips to 1.3330. Update: it already slips to 1...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem Canadian GDP rises 0.1% m/m as expected
No surprises with Canada’s GDP: a rise of 0.1% month over month. Producer prices in Canada jumped by 1.1% m/m, much more than 0.4% predicted but remained negative at -1.1% y/y. USD/CAD remains stable. The Canadian economy suffered from the fall in oil prices but the economy is quite diverse...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem AUD: To Underperform Vs USD, JPY, CHF; Fade Data-Driven Rallies – ANZ
The Australian dollar is facing elections and a rate decision in the next few days. What’s next? ANZ has a bearish outlook: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: Brexit is now a reality. The damage is done and we now have to navigate through an environment of heightened uncertainty...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem UK's Osborne says good-bye to his fiscal target
UK finance minister speaking on Sky ahead of a key speech and reported by BBC 1 July UK will no longer hit surplus in public finances by 2019/20 We never were George. Complete pie in the sky. UK must be realistic First time for everything I guess eh George...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem ECB's Praet says they can make decisions very quickly when needed
ECB chief economist over the wires 1 July ECB can use balance sheet capacity during crises lower growth prospects are a very serious concern health of the banking sector needs key attention I thought CBs have been crowing from the rooftops about how much better the banks are now nicely shored up...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem ECB's Nowotny says they will give timely signal on whether QE will be extended
ECB board member out on the wires 1 July We can rule out further action next time round in theory. But hey, who trusts a central banker eh? too early for detailed view on Brexit re possible changes in ECB bond purchasing rules EURUSD steady around 1.1100 EURGBP 0.8348 EURJPY 113.92...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem ECB not considering abandoning capital key in QE buys
Our good friends at Livesquawk reporting an article doing the rounds via Reuters 1 July "The European Central Bank is not currently considering buying government debt out of proportion to Eurozone countries' shareholding in the bank and the hurdle for abandoning this capital key is high, sources...
Sherif Hasan
Publicado o postagem UK Markit mftg June PMI 52.1 vs 50.1 exp
UK Markit mftg June PMI report 50.4 prev revised up from 50.1 GBP rallies on the better data but economy not mftg dependent so impact will be muted. Any good news though re UK may help to calm markets/help GBP right now. Markit say 99% of data collected prior to Brexit...