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I am a trader with 15 years of experience living in Tokyo. I am meticulous about risk management and profit management.
I read multiple global macroeconomic data points and news articles daily and trade based on fundamentals. For techniques, I only use horizontal lines and OHLC.
Asset management is not easy, so it’s essential to focus not only on fundamentals and technical analysis but also on risk management and mental control.
If you want to copy completely, I recommend this broker that has many trading pairs and free swap fees.
https://one.exnesstrack.org/a/q93nryv195
(GetLambo is about 11000USD minimum, other signal can use more small asset. Each signal requires at least 1/10th of the funds or 2500USD minimum you have in it.)
I read multiple global macroeconomic data points and news articles daily and trade based on fundamentals. For techniques, I only use horizontal lines and OHLC.
Asset management is not easy, so it’s essential to focus not only on fundamentals and technical analysis but also on risk management and mental control.
If you want to copy completely, I recommend this broker that has many trading pairs and free swap fees.
https://one.exnesstrack.org/a/q93nryv195
(GetLambo is about 11000USD minimum, other signal can use more small asset. Each signal requires at least 1/10th of the funds or 2500USD minimum you have in it.)
Eta Nakajima
The small-betting signals I distribute are currently setting new records for maximum profits.
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2288761
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2288761
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1
Eta Nakajima
Sep and Oct seasonality is weak, so I think crypto and stocks are 3-10 % down in Sep and Oct
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1
Eta Nakajima
XAUUSD (Gold) took a loss of my funds, not too large but not too small.
(Even if I took a loss, I have a strategy that is profitable this month, so it's about a month's loss.)
I set the lot size taking into account past volatility, but since it was after a 50% rise in a year, I assumed that the rise would move up and down, including profit-taking adjustments, even in the midst of the Trump tariff war.
But in reality, it was a vertical rise like a beam that I have never seen in the past 20 years. Who could have predicted that it would rise further vertically after a 50% consecutive rise in a year? It was unexpected for me.
Even if I had entered a buy position, there is a good chance that I would have been caught up in a large profit-taking drop, and if the headline of tariff easing had come out, I think it would have been a big drop.
In fact, on Saturday, news of easing came out, and GOLD-backed cryptocurrencies such as PAXG were falling, but on Sunday, news of denial came out, and they canceled each other out.
We are in the middle of a tariff war, and we are seeing movements not seen in 20 years, so it is very risky, so if I enter I will reduce the lot size to lower the risk.
I did not expect a rise like Beam's this time, so I am reflecting on it.
I will take a moment to calm down and reflect on the situation.
(Even if I took a loss, I have a strategy that is profitable this month, so it's about a month's loss.)
I set the lot size taking into account past volatility, but since it was after a 50% rise in a year, I assumed that the rise would move up and down, including profit-taking adjustments, even in the midst of the Trump tariff war.
But in reality, it was a vertical rise like a beam that I have never seen in the past 20 years. Who could have predicted that it would rise further vertically after a 50% consecutive rise in a year? It was unexpected for me.
Even if I had entered a buy position, there is a good chance that I would have been caught up in a large profit-taking drop, and if the headline of tariff easing had come out, I think it would have been a big drop.
In fact, on Saturday, news of easing came out, and GOLD-backed cryptocurrencies such as PAXG were falling, but on Sunday, news of denial came out, and they canceled each other out.
We are in the middle of a tariff war, and we are seeing movements not seen in 20 years, so it is very risky, so if I enter I will reduce the lot size to lower the risk.
I did not expect a rise like Beam's this time, so I am reflecting on it.
I will take a moment to calm down and reflect on the situation.
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8
Eta Nakajima
The first quarter of 2025 might see BTC rise around the presidential inauguration if there's positive news, but it could decline around February depending on inflation indicators or if there's no new positive catalysts. FTX creditors' buying might potentially serve as a bottom support.
For US stocks, historically, February following a presidential election year and February after the ruling party loses tend to show downward trends. While there's a sense of overvaluation that could lead to a correction, given the market's optimistic outlook, there's about a 50:50 chance between continued upward movement and a correction. February, in particular, requires careful attention (for BTC as well).
Fund management should be prepared for either scenario.
The Fed is likely to implement two rate cuts sometime after March. Since the market had priced in four cuts by the end of last year, the 2025 GOLD price target is predicted to be below $2,900.
While various funds are forecasting the S&P 500 to reach between 6,300 and 7,000, even if this happens, it's unlikely to be a smooth upward trajectory - we should expect to experience corrections along the way.
I plan to monitor economic indicators closely and respond accordingly.
For US stocks, historically, February following a presidential election year and February after the ruling party loses tend to show downward trends. While there's a sense of overvaluation that could lead to a correction, given the market's optimistic outlook, there's about a 50:50 chance between continued upward movement and a correction. February, in particular, requires careful attention (for BTC as well).
Fund management should be prepared for either scenario.
The Fed is likely to implement two rate cuts sometime after March. Since the market had priced in four cuts by the end of last year, the 2025 GOLD price target is predicted to be below $2,900.
While various funds are forecasting the S&P 500 to reach between 6,300 and 7,000, even if this happens, it's unlikely to be a smooth upward trajectory - we should expect to experience corrections along the way.
I plan to monitor economic indicators closely and respond accordingly.
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