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1 年
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私はグローバルマクロ経済データ、ニュースを毎日何件も読み、ファンダメンタルズでトレードします。
経験は約１５年です。 ファンダメンタルメインで、テクニカルは水平ラインとOHLCのみ使います。
資産運用は簡単ではないので、ファンダメンタル、テクニカルだけでなく、資金管理と、あとはメンタルコントロールも大事です。
完全にコピーする場合、取引銘柄が多くてスワップがフリーのこちらの業者がおすすめです。最低デポジット40万円ほどです。 （GetLamboは最低１５０万円ほどです 各シグナルで、入っている資金の1/10以上は必要です）
https://one.exnesstrack.org/a/q93nryv195
戦争のヘッドラインと、経済指標に注目しつつ、クイックに対応していきたいと思います。
経験は約１５年です。 ファンダメンタルメインで、テクニカルは水平ラインとOHLCのみ使います。
資産運用は簡単ではないので、ファンダメンタル、テクニカルだけでなく、資金管理と、あとはメンタルコントロールも大事です。
完全にコピーする場合、取引銘柄が多くてスワップがフリーのこちらの業者がおすすめです。最低デポジット40万円ほどです。 （GetLamboは最低１５０万円ほどです 各シグナルで、入っている資金の1/10以上は必要です）
https://one.exnesstrack.org/a/q93nryv195
戦争のヘッドラインと、経済指標に注目しつつ、クイックに対応していきたいと思います。
Eta Nakajima
Sep and Oct seasonality is weak, so I think crypto and stocks are 3-10 % down in Sep and Oct
· 1
Eta Nakajima
I plan to short SP500 if it goes up.If it goes down, I want to pick it up a bit below 5400. buy quite a bit at 4800, buy strongly at 4500.
I expect BTC to go down with stocks if they go down and recover if the Fed or Trump softens their stance.
SP500は上がったら空売り予定。下がったら、5400以下では少しずつ拾いたい。4800で結構買い、4500だと強く買い。
BTCも株が下がった場合は連れ下げして、Fedまたはトランプが軟化姿勢になると、回復すると思っている。
I expect BTC to go down with stocks if they go down and recover if the Fed or Trump softens their stance.
SP500は上がったら空売り予定。下がったら、5400以下では少しずつ拾いたい。4800で結構買い、4500だと強く買い。
BTCも株が下がった場合は連れ下げして、Fedまたはトランプが軟化姿勢になると、回復すると思っている。
· 4
Eta Nakajima
As for German stocks, the expected P/E ratio is 18.8x, which is relatively expensive compared to the average P/E ratio of 12-15x for the last five years, and the "undervaluation" is shrinking as there is not much difference in P/E ratio compared to the US.However, the P/B of 1.68x is more attractive than the U.S. P/B of around 4.2x, and the dividend yield (around 3.2%) is still attractive.
The €1 trillion infrastructure fund (€500 billion over 12 years) will boost orders and margins for construction, capital goods, and renewable energy companies, which is also a tailwind.
ドイツ株については、予想PERは18.8倍と、直近5年平均PER12〜15 倍と比べると割高で、対米比較ではPERに大差がなく「割安感」は縮小。ただP/Bは1.68 倍で米の4.2 倍前後より魅力的であり、配当利回り（3.2％程度）もまだ魅力。
1兆ユーロ規模のインフラ基金（5000億ユーロを12年で投下）は、建設・資本財・再エネ企業の受注とマージンを底上げするので、それも追い風である。
The €1 trillion infrastructure fund (€500 billion over 12 years) will boost orders and margins for construction, capital goods, and renewable energy companies, which is also a tailwind.
ドイツ株については、予想PERは18.8倍と、直近5年平均PER12〜15 倍と比べると割高で、対米比較ではPERに大差がなく「割安感」は縮小。ただP/Bは1.68 倍で米の4.2 倍前後より魅力的であり、配当利回り（3.2％程度）もまだ魅力。
1兆ユーロ規模のインフラ基金（5000億ユーロを12年で投下）は、建設・資本財・再エネ企業の受注とマージンを底上げするので、それも追い風である。
· 3
Eta Nakajima
XAUUSD (Gold) took a loss of my funds, not too large but not too small.
(Even if I took a loss, I have a strategy that is profitable this month, so it's about a month's loss.)
I set the lot size taking into account past volatility, but since it was after a 50% rise in a year, I assumed that the rise would move up and down, including profit-taking adjustments, even in the midst of the Trump tariff war.
But in reality, it was a vertical rise like a beam that I have never seen in the past 20 years. Who could have predicted that it would rise further vertically after a 50% consecutive rise in a year? It was unexpected for me.
Even if I had entered a buy position, there is a good chance that I would have been caught up in a large profit-taking drop, and if the headline of tariff easing had come out, I think it would have been a big drop.
In fact, on Saturday, news of easing came out, and GOLD-backed cryptocurrencies such as PAXG were falling, but on Sunday, news of denial came out, and they canceled each other out.
We are in the middle of a tariff war, and we are seeing movements not seen in 20 years, so it is very risky, so if I enter I will reduce the lot size to lower the risk.
I did not expect a rise like Beam's this time, so I am reflecting on it.
I will take a moment to calm down and reflect on the situation.
(Even if I took a loss, I have a strategy that is profitable this month, so it's about a month's loss.)
I set the lot size taking into account past volatility, but since it was after a 50% rise in a year, I assumed that the rise would move up and down, including profit-taking adjustments, even in the midst of the Trump tariff war.
But in reality, it was a vertical rise like a beam that I have never seen in the past 20 years. Who could have predicted that it would rise further vertically after a 50% consecutive rise in a year? It was unexpected for me.
Even if I had entered a buy position, there is a good chance that I would have been caught up in a large profit-taking drop, and if the headline of tariff easing had come out, I think it would have been a big drop.
In fact, on Saturday, news of easing came out, and GOLD-backed cryptocurrencies such as PAXG were falling, but on Sunday, news of denial came out, and they canceled each other out.
We are in the middle of a tariff war, and we are seeing movements not seen in 20 years, so it is very risky, so if I enter I will reduce the lot size to lower the risk.
I did not expect a rise like Beam's this time, so I am reflecting on it.
I will take a moment to calm down and reflect on the situation.
· 8
Eta Nakajima
I think GOLD will go up in the long term, but it has been overheated lately and I wouldn't be surprised if it goes up or down.It could go up, but I don't think the odds are good to buy now.
· 1
Eta Nakajima
パブリッシュされたMetaTrader 5シグナル
It need minimum 1300USD signal price is dynamic pricing. There are always risks in trading. My strategy, as well as anyone else's strategy, carries the risk of loss and offers no guarantee of profit. No one's strategy can guarantee future profits. You can only look at past history and choose whether you want to subscribe. If you're concerned, I recommend that you stop subscribing
· 1
Eta Nakajima
I will trade with caution in February because of the tariff issue and in March because of the government's budget issue.
· 1
Eta Nakajima
The first quarter of 2025 might see BTC rise around the presidential inauguration if there's positive news, but it could decline around February depending on inflation indicators or if there's no new positive catalysts. FTX creditors' buying might potentially serve as a bottom support.
For US stocks, historically, February following a presidential election year and February after the ruling party loses tend to show downward trends. While there's a sense of overvaluation that could lead to a correction, given the market's optimistic outlook, there's about a 50:50 chance between continued upward movement and a correction. February, in particular, requires careful attention (for BTC as well).
Fund management should be prepared for either scenario.
The Fed is likely to implement two rate cuts sometime after March. Since the market had priced in four cuts by the end of last year, the 2025 GOLD price target is predicted to be below $2,900.
While various funds are forecasting the S&P 500 to reach between 6,300 and 7,000, even if this happens, it's unlikely to be a smooth upward trajectory - we should expect to experience corrections along the way.
I plan to monitor economic indicators closely and respond accordingly.
For US stocks, historically, February following a presidential election year and February after the ruling party loses tend to show downward trends. While there's a sense of overvaluation that could lead to a correction, given the market's optimistic outlook, there's about a 50:50 chance between continued upward movement and a correction. February, in particular, requires careful attention (for BTC as well).
Fund management should be prepared for either scenario.
The Fed is likely to implement two rate cuts sometime after March. Since the market had priced in four cuts by the end of last year, the 2025 GOLD price target is predicted to be below $2,900.
While various funds are forecasting the S&P 500 to reach between 6,300 and 7,000, even if this happens, it's unlikely to be a smooth upward trajectory - we should expect to experience corrections along the way.
I plan to monitor economic indicators closely and respond accordingly.
· 4
Eta Nakajima
I don't know if it was due to the MQL5 settings during the maintenance of MT5 at EXNESS on December 21, but it seems that all positions of subscribers were closed.
Still I have all positions.
Still I have all positions.
· 3
Eta Nakajima
パブリッシュされたMetaTrader 5シグナル
It trade by global macro analysys. Read fundamental news, economic news, FOMC member speach, etc. signal price is dynamic pricing. 私のストラテジーも、それ以外の誰のストラテジーも、損するリスクもありますし、儲かる保証はされていません。 誰のストラテジーも、将来の利益は確約されていません。過去の履歴を見て、サブスクライブしたいかどうかを選択するのみです。 ご心配なら、サブスクライブを辞めることを推奨します。
· 1
2
Eta Nakajima
week end drive in Tokyo, Sibuya scramble .
Many mario cart runs front of me, very cute .
Many mario cart runs front of me, very cute .
· 8
