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Triangular Statistical Arbitrage Robot

1

NOTE: This robot trades three symbols at the go and as such it can not be tested with strategy tester in Metatrader 4. The reason being that Metatrader 4 strategy tester cannot synchronize price timing for more than one symbol at the time. To test this robot successfully, one has to run it in real-time on a demo account and monitor it for days.

Triangular Statistical Arbitrage Robot is an expert advisor executable on any PC running Metatrader 4. A linear regression is applied on three instruments’ (i.e. Stocks or Forex symbols) historical prices and the cointegration test is performed on the residual from the regression. The three chosen symbols A, B & C must obey a triangle rule A = B*C (e.g. EURUSD = EURGBP*GBPUSD). If the three instruments are cointegrated then the residual will be a stationary process which is a lot more predictable than the individual instrument price which is often nonstationary thus hard to predict. This robot is based on trading such a stationary residual process whereby it exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. That is, when conditions allow, the robot will always bet on the residual crossing the mean from time to time.

In its usage, the user will need to register with one broker of choice. It is recommended that there be $50 for every 0.01 lots (standard). Now given that this robot opens a pair of orders in each of its entry phase, the minimum deposit will be between $150 and $200. Withdrawals should be made with care not to violate the funds-to-lot relationship as stated above. This model has an extremely low risk and small but good returns in a long run. However, the entry opportunities are rare (i.e. can go several days without any good entry for one chosen pair of instruments) so the user might compensate for this by trading several pairs to make up for the rareness of the entry & exit opportunities.


Input Parameters:

1.  N is the data size for building cointegration model.

 

2.  OpMode selects operation mode from four (values 01, 02, 03 & 04).


3.  Magic & magik are magic numbers (unique) used to uniquely identify trades opened by this robot. As such, every magic number should be a uniquely chosen positive integer. 

 

4.  MaxRatio limits the slope relating the three traded instruments.

 

5.  CurLevel is the current level of residual process relative to Standard deviation.

 

6.  LimLevel is the maximum level you allow the residual process to reach. This level acts as a stop loss level since everything is closed at this level.

 

7.  AlertsOn allows you to either see or hide Alerts during the robot operation.

 

8.  ModeDemo is the switching Boolean parameter. When true the model will work on Demo accounts but if false, it will work on live accounts.

 

9.  Lots is the nominal lot size. Minimum usually 0.01.

 

10.       Scale is a scaling factor used to modify the Standard deviation when necessary (i.e. When standard deviation is less that spread of the three instruments the it has to be scaled up to avoid all profits being taken up by spread).

 

11.       Multiplier works in a similar spirit to Scale but rather than being multiplicative on Standard deviation, it is additive to it. That is, it multiplies the total spread and add it to Standard deviation to bias/threshold it.

 

12.       pVThreshold is the threshold for p-Value (in percentage) above which the cointegration is considered weak and trading stops.

 

13.       RSThreshold is the threshold for R^2 goodness of fit measure below which trading will not happen.

 

14.       CCThreshold is the threshold for correlation coefficient measure below which no trading will happen.

 

15.       MarginLevel sets the minimum Margin level below which trading stops. 

 

16.       Symbols are three instruments to be tested for cointegration and traded if the test succeeds.


17.       Username and Password already provided by default.

 

18.       TFrame is the time frame for the price data used.

 

19.       Update is the time frame for updating the cointegration model.


20.      Parallelism allows EAs to run in parallel. 

With smaller model sizes the standard deviation tends to become small and if it is so small that it is on the order of the instrument spread then the system will result in losses due to symbol spread. For safety stick with higher model sizes (>500) and higher timeframes (>= 1Day).


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Ho Tuan Thang
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Sugianto
Experts
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Experts
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Profalgo Limited
5 (6)
Experts
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We proudly present our cutting-edge robot, the  Big Forex Players EA  designed to maximize your trading potential, minimize emotional trading, and make smarter decisions powered by cutting-edge technology. The whole system in this EA took us many months to build, and then we spent a lot of time testing it. This unique EA includes three distinct strategies that can be used independently or in together. The robot receives the positions of the   biggest Banks   (p ositions are sent from our databa
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Experts
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Experts
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LEE SAMSON
4.71 (7)
Experts
Transforme qualquer estratégia de negociação em uma estratégia de negociação de posição ou negocie as estratégias comprovadas de negociação de posição baseadas em RSI e ADR, incluindo sistema automatizado de controle de rebaixamento para posições que se movem contra você. Este EA é uma evolução e uma simplificação do EA MRA que tem sido usado para estratégias de negociação de posição ensinadas no site Market Structure Trader há muitos anos. Veja meu perfil para obter um link para o site, curso
Diamond Titan FX MT4
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5 (1)
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Promoção de lançamento: DESCONTO DE 30%! Restam apenas 3 vendas para comprar pelo preço atual. Próximo preço: $1033 Obtenha gratuitamente o US30 Scalper EA e o Quantum Algo EA -> entre em contato comigo após a compra Live signal:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2220190?source=Site+Profile+Seller Prop Signal:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2223219?source=Site+Signals+Profile+From+Author MT5:  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/116010?source=Site+Market+Product+Page Histórico de Negociaçõe
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Experts
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Introducing the FT Gold Robot MT4, your ultimate companion in navigating the intricate world of XAUUSD trading. Developed with precision and powered by cutting-edge algorithms, FT Gold is a forex robot meticulously crafted to optimize your trading performance with   XAUUSD pairs . With its advanced analytical capabilities,   FT Gold Robot   constantly monitors the gold market, identifying key trends, patterns, and price movements with lightning speed. The FT Gold Robot opens 5 positions every da
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connet
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connet 2023.05.30 00:10 
 

Just a fantasy toy in your dream that it makes money.

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Versão 1.1 2022.05.28
Fixed some bugs and addressed some pressing issues from clients.