Fern Formation NZDCAD
- Experts
- Version: 1.3
- Activations: 5
Fern Formation NZDCAD H2
Historical statistics
Period: 2023-04-26–2026-09-25
Data split: 70% in-sample / 30% out-of-sample (OOS)
Cumulative return over the full period: 58.79%
Maximum drawdown: 3.30%
Trades: 199
Win rate: 63.82%
Profit factor: 2.26
Reference-test risk: 1.00% per trade
Broker data: Blueberry Markets Pty Ltd
Longest losing streak in the reference test: 4 trades
Historical reference backtest of the source strategy; these are not live results. This version defaults to 2.00% risk per trade. Historical results do not guarantee future returns.
Out-of-sample test
OOS share of historical data: 30%
In-sample share: 70%
OOS return: 18.44%
OOS profit factor: 2.57
OOS win rate: 63.33%
OOS trades: 60
These OOS figures refer to the separately reported out-of-sample section of the historical reference backtest at 1.00% risk per trade. The OOS percentage describes the data split; it is neither a return figure nor the percentage of trades.
Trading approach
Fern Formation brings a defined technical trading approach to NZDCAD on the H2 chart. It evaluates engulfing candles and executes qualifying setups using a timed pullback entry with market fallback. The signal rules are built into the expert advisor.
Additional entry screening uses doji filter. The entry session is 3:00 to 7:00 in broker-server time, subject to the compiled session logic. Signal evaluation uses the most recently completed candle. The stop-loss distance is 3.95 times Average True Range; the take-profit distance is 4.0 times Average True Range.
Volatility-based stop loss and take profit use Average True Range with fixed strategy multipliers.
Automatic broker checks
Order volume is automatically adjusted to the permitted size per order, volume step and remaining aggregate volume per symbol and direction. Positions and pending orders placed by other EAs or manually on the same account are included. Volume is only reduced. If the remaining allowance is below the minimum volume, the entry is skipped. Broker and margin conditions are checked before new orders; a reached pending-order count limit also blocks additional pending orders. Adjustments and skipped entries are recorded in the MT5 journal under [BROKER-CHECK]. These checks operate automatically in the tester and in live/demo use; no additional settings are required.
Settings
RiskPercent — Risk per trade: default 2.0% of account equity. Position size is calculated from risk and stop-loss distance.
News_Filter_Enabled — News filter on/off, default true. Controls both the event window and the news-day entry block.
Use_Friday_Close — Friday close on/off, default true. When enabled, the EA closes its own positions, deletes its pending orders and blocks further entries on Fridays from 16:05 broker-server time.
Use_Daily_DD_Limit / Daily_DD_Percent — Daily equity-loss limit, default true / 10.0%.
Use_Max_Agg_Risk / Max_Agg_Risk_Pct — Calculated aggregate open-risk limit before new entries, default true / 4.0%.
Use_Max_Margin / Max_Margin_Pct — Account margin limit including the proposed trade, default true / 30.0%.
Use_Profit_Target / Profit_Target_Pct — Equity profit target relative to initial account balance, default false / 10.0%.
Strategy parameters, trading sessions, news window and magic number are fixed. Change settings under EA Properties > Inputs; press F7 on the chart.
News filter
When enabled, the news filter checks relevant events for the traded symbol. The event window runs from 30 minutes before to 30 minutes after release. During that window, the EA closes its own positions and deletes its pending orders. The built-in news-day guard also blocks new entries on relevant event days. Setting News_Filter_Enabled = false disables both rules.
MT5: Tools > Options > Expert Advisors > Allow WebRequest for listed URL. Add:
https://nfs.faireconomy.media
The feed requires internet access and available calendar data. The built-in event selection and time window remain unchanged.
Installation and operation
Use MetaTrader 5 for Windows or a Windows VPS with a connected broker account. Copy the EX5 to File > Open Data Folder > MQL5 > Experts and refresh the Navigator. Open NZDCAD on H2, attach the EA and enable Algo Trading. Use one instance per product and symbol. Keep the terminal or VPS running. DLL permission is not required.
If calculated volume is below the broker minimum, the entry is skipped. Daily loss, aggregate risk, margin and profit-target guards operate in live/demo use and are disabled in the Strategy Tester. Historical news filtering is not reproduced in the tester. The daily limit uses equity at the start of the broker day or initialization; the profit target uses balance at the first tick. At the threshold, the EA attempts to close its own positions and deletes its pending orders. The daily limit blocks until the next broker day; the profit target blocks until reinitialization. Restarting can reset internal reference values. Other trades affect account values. Limits do not guarantee a maximum loss. Trading can result in losses.
