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Huseyin Furkan Ozturk  


Two timezone options have been added based on your broker’s server time.
You can adjust this setting for brokers using GMT+0 or GMT+3.
If you are unsure, you can check your backtest results to confirm whether you are using the correct timezone.
Huseyin Furkan Ozturk  
I need to add 4% risk level for propfirm. Wait the next version please. 
Huseyin Furkan Ozturk  
I use this EA since 2023 October. It works as expected. I have decided to share this on the market
Huseyin Furkan Ozturk  

Question & Answer

Q1: 
Isn’t the reason you released this EA at this particular timing because the window for this strategy to remain usable may be closing soon?
In other words, did you choose to release it now because you believe the limit of this trading edge may already be getting close?
And if the interest-rate differential changes going forward, do you plan to update the trading logic in future versions so the EA can continue adapting to the new environment?

A1:
There is indeed a possibility that the edge may be lost. During the entire period I’ve been using this strategy, that risk has always existed. I expected it to lose its advantage at some point, but it didn’t—mainly because the JPY has continued to see interest rate increases.

In fact, what matters is not only the interest rate differential between the two currencies, but also the rate hikes in JPY itself. Previously, we were profiting mainly from the interest rate differential. However, as that gap started to narrow, we began benefiting from a different kind of edge.

Even though the interest rate differential is shrinking, JPY interest rates have reached historically high levels, and there is a clear effort to strengthen the yen. Because of this, the strategy has remained advantageous.
As long as JPY does not reach around the 150.000 price level, the edge seems likely to persist. Also, as long as inflation data does not significantly outperform interest rates, the advantage should remain intact.
Japan is a strong economy. As long as I continue using this EA for myself, I will keep updating and improving it.
You can also check that the JPY interest rate increases regularly. It is good thing for us. I may need to update some filters sometimes. Next interest rate will be changed on july probably. We will monitor it what it is gonna be.

Q2: 
So just to be clear — if this EA was originally based on the carry structure and the interest-rate differential, wouldn’t JPY rate hikes normally be a negative for the strategy as that differential narrows?
Are you saying the original edge has changed, and that the EA is now benefiting from a different JPY-related market behavior instead?

A2:
It is not dependent on a single criterion.
An increase in the interest rate differential alone does not necessarily create a carry trade opportunity. Inflation is the hidden factor here.
Inflation data can make the interest rate differential irrelevant or make even the smallest difference highly significant.
This EA is not a positive carry trade strategy; it operates as a negative carry trade, meaning it trades toward the lower-interest side.

However, if JPY continues to raise rates or EUR continues to lower rates, it may effectively function as a positive carry trade strategy. I believe we can benefit from both scenarios.
Therefore, if needed, we can keep using this EA in the long term with minor updates. 
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