What does the market follow? Is there an implicit nature? - page 4

 

I don’t think the market really “follows” one thing. From what I’ve seen, it’s more like a mix of everything, liquidity, sentiment, macro, positioning. Sometimes it looks structured, sometimes it’s just messy.
There are patterns, but they don’t always repeat cleanly. More like tendencies than rules. So I wouldn’t say it’s pure chaos, but it’s also not something fully predictable. It just reacts based on what’s happening at that moment.
That’s why I stopped trying to “define” the market too much. I just focus on how price is behaving now and adapt from there.

 
Eloise Quinn #:

I don’t think the market really “follows” one thing. From what I’ve seen, it’s more like a mix of everything, liquidity, sentiment, macro, positioning. Sometimes it looks structured, sometimes it’s just messy.
There are patterns, but they don’t always repeat cleanly. More like tendencies than rules. So I wouldn’t say it’s pure chaos, but it’s also not something fully predictable. It just reacts based on what’s happening at that moment.
That’s why I stopped trying to “define” the market too much. I just focus on how price is behaving now and adapt from there.

Yeap, after this topic I think that there is not much sense in defying what the market actually is.

I think that is better to attach mathematical apparatus to analyse it and that's all...

 
Osmar Sandoval Espinosa #:

Yeap, after this topic I think that there is not much sense in defying what the market actually is.

I think that is better to attach mathematical apparatus to analyse it and that's all...

What mathematical ways are u thinking :)
 
Osmar Sandoval Espinosa #:
Sometimes it looks structured, sometimes it’s just messy.

That is absolutely correct.👍

And that is the reason that a good strategy filters in price movements that are "in-cycle" of its pattern and filters out price movements that are "off-cycle."

 
Thomas Eduard Van Der Jagt #:
What mathematical ways are u thinking :)
Time series analysis.
 
Osmar Sandoval Espinosa #:
Time series analysis.
IMHO, it's more specifically... data forecasting.
 
Ryan L Johnson #:
IMHO, it's more specifically... data forecasting.
Yeap, btw, talking about this, do you know a topic on the forum or articles about this?
 
Osmar Sandoval Espinosa #:
Yeap, btw, talking about this, do you know a topic on the forum or articles about this?

Not to be smug, but it's more or less all over mql5.com.

When I look at the MT5 Tester Report, all that I see is a data forecast. All of these technical indicators, custom utilities, etc. are basically data forecasting tools.

I actually dabbled with Tableau to what the "professional data scientist" hullabaloo was all about. Spoiler alert: It's like "My Pet Rock."